Boston Celtics vs Miami Heat Prediction, 1/25/2024 Preview and Pick

Game: Boston Celtics vs Miami Heat

Date: Thursday, January 25, 2024

Location: Kaseya Center in Miami, FL

TV: Bally Sports Sun

The Boston Celtics (34-10) are traveling to Kaseya Center on Thursday where they will play the Miami Heat (24-19).

The Celtics took the court against the Mavericks and notched a win by a score of 119-110 in their last game. When talking about fouls, the Celtics ended up finishing with 20 while the Mavericks had 20 fouls. They made 14 of 40 attempts from 3-point land. Dallas finished 71.4% at the charity stripe by converting 10 of 14 attempts. Moreover, Dallas snagged 48 rebounds (10 offensive, 38 defensive) and got 8 rejections. Dallas dished out 24 dimes and had 4 steals for this contest. In reference to the defense, Boston let their opponent shoot 44.3% from the floor on 43 of 97 shooting. They also recorded 26 assists for this contest in addition to forcing the other team into 10 turnovers and earning 7 steals. When discussing rebounding, they compiled 44 with 5 of them being on the offensive end. From the charity stripe, the Celtics made 22 of their 30 attempts for a rate of 73.3%. Boston walked away from the contest with a 46.6% field goal percentage (41 of 88) and knocked down 15 out of their 46 shots from beyond the perimeter.

Jayson Tatum is one guy who had an impact for the contest. Tatum went 52.4% from the field and also distributed 5 assists. He was on the hardwood for 41 mins played and also snagged 11 boards. He walked away with 39 points on 11 of 21 shooting.

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Boston enters this matchup with a win-loss record of 34-10 on the year. They turn it over 12.7 times per contest and as a squad are committing 17.5 fouls every game. As a unit, Boston is pulling down 47.4 rebounds per game and has accounted for 1,125 dimes so far this year, which has them ranked 17th in the league in terms of passing the rock. The Celtics are hitting 37.8% on shots beyond the perimeter (711 of 1,882) and 80.1% from the free throw line. They have an average of 120.3 pts per contest (4th in basketball) while connecting on 47.5% from the floor.

When they are on the defensive end, the Celtics are forcing their opponents into 12.1 turnovers on a nightly basis while drawing 18.8 fouls. They rank 7th in the NBA in giving up assists to their opponents with 1,086 surrendered on the season. The Celtics defensively are giving up a FG percentage of 45.1% (1,827 of 4,054) and they relinquish 44.0 rebounds per game as a unit. They are surrendering 35.0% on three-point shots and they are 4th in the league in points per game allowed (110.6).

For their last game, the Heat took a loss by a score of 105-87 when they faced the Magic. When it comes to cleaning the glass, Miami allowed Orlando to pull down 44 overall (12 on the offensive side). They went 32.1% from three-point range by going 9 of 28 and walked away from this one shooting 22 out of 28 at the charity stripe (78.6%). The Heat permitted the Magic to knock down 37 of their 78 tries from the field which left them shooting 47.4% in the matchup. Overall, the Heat shot 30 for 80 from the field which gave them a rate of 37.5%. In reference to shooting from beyond the arc, Miami buried 12 of their 37 attempts (32.4%). They were able to convert 15 of the free throw tries for a rate of 83.3%. The Magic earned 16 personal fouls in this contest which got the Heat to the free throw line for a total of 18 attempts. They also turned it over 14 times, while getting 9 steals in the matchup. The Heat were able to collect 24 defensive boards and 12 offensive rebounds for a total of 36 for the game.

Bam Adebayo ended up being a major contributor for the Heat in this contest. Adebayo accumulated 22 points in his 34 minutes on the court and had 7 assists for the matchup. He made 8 out of 17 for this game giving him a field goal percentage of 47.1%, and had 11 rebounds.

Miami has a record of 24-19 so far this year. In terms of offensive execution, the Heat are connecting on 46.4% from the floor, which is ranked 22nd in the league. Miami has 4,767 points on the season (110.9 per contest) and they average 41.6 boards per game. They are assisting teammates 25.7 times per game (19th in the league) and they lose possession via turnover 13.5 times per game. The Heat commit 18.5 personal fouls per game and they go 82.3% from the charity stripe.

The Heat defensively are ranked 5th in basketball in points given up per game with 110.7. They have forced 14.2 turnovers on a nightly basis and allow teams to shoot 47.3% from the floor (18th in the NBA). The Miami defense allows 36.1% on shots from 3-point land (570 of 1,578) and their opponents are converting on 76.7% of their shots from the charity stripe. They concede 26.6 dimes and 42.6 boards per game, which is 15th and 9th in basketball.

So what is Tonights Parlay prediction?

Parlay's Pundit's Pick: Take Miami and under the total points

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