Boston Celtics vs Dallas Mavericks Prediction, 6/14/2024 Preview and Pick

Game: Boston Celtics vs Dallas Mavericks

Date: Friday, June 14, 2024

Location: American Airlines Center in Dallas, TX

TV: ABC

Odds/Point Spread: Boston (+3)

The Dallas Mavericks will take on the Boston Celtics at American Airlines Center on Friday in Game 4 of the NBA Finals. The Celtics lead the series 3-0. Dallas opens this game as 3-point favorites from oddsmakers. The over/under comes in at 212.5.

The Celtics took home the win by a score of 106-99 in Game 3. Boston walked away from the contest with a 46.3% field goal percentage (38 out of 82) and converted 17 of 46 shots from beyond the arc. From the charity stripe, the Celtics converted 13 of their 14 tries for a rate of 92.9%. When discussing rebounding, they earned 36 with 6 of them being on the offensive end. They also recorded 26 assists in this matchup while creating 8 turnovers and earning 4 steals. In the matter of the defense, Boston allowed their opponent to shoot 44.2% from the floor on 38 out of 86 shooting. Dallas doled out 15 assists and had 5 steals for this game. Additionally, Dallas snagged 43 rebounds (7 offensive, 36 defensive) and added 6 blocked shots. Dallas finished shooting 87.5% at the charity stripe by converting 14 of their 16 tries. They buried 9 out of their 25 shots from distance. In relation to personal fouls, the Celtics ended up finishing with 19 while the Mavericks accounted for 17 personal fouls.

Jayson Tatum is one player who was a major contributor for this game. He ended up finishing with 31 points on 11 of 26 shooting. He played for 42 minutes and also pulled down 6 rebounds. Tatum went 42.3% from the field and also earned 5 assists.

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Boston enters this contest with a win-loss mark of 64-18 so far this year. They turn it over 11.9 times per game and as a squad they commit 16.2 personal fouls every game. As a unit, Boston is pulling down 46.3 boards per game and is sitting with 2,207 assists this season, which has them ranked 14th in basketball in terms of passing the rock. The Celtics are connecting on 38.8% from downtown (1,351 of 3,482) and 80.7% from the free throw line. They are averaging 120.6 pts per contest (2nd in the league) while connecting on 48.7% from the field.

On the defensive end of the court, the Celtics are able to force 12.0 turnovers per contest while drawing 17.3 personal fouls. They are relinquishing 35.2% from 3-point land while they are 5th in the league in points per game from their opponents (109.2). The Celtics are giving up a field goal percentage of 45.3% (3,403 of 7,515) and they concede 43.3 rebounds per game as a team. They are ranked 5th in the league in giving up assists to the opposition with 2,042 relinquished on the year.

When it came to crashing the glass in Game 3, Dallas allowed Boston to snag 36 in total (6 offensive). They went 37.0% from distance by going 17 out of 46 and finished the game at 13 of 14 from the free throw line (92.9%). The Mavericks permitted the Celtics to make 38 out of 82 tries from the floor which gave them a shooting percentage of 46.3% for the matchup. Overall, the Mavericks finished shooting 38 out of 86 from the floor which had them shooting 44.2%. In regard to shooting from 3-point land, Dallas converted 9 out of their 25 tries (36.0%). They were able to convert 14 of them for a clip of 87.5%. The Celtics had 19 fouls in the matchup which got the Mavericks to the free throw line for a total of 16 attempts. They also gave up possession of the ball 8 times, while recording 5 steals in the game. The Mavericks were able to collect 36 defensive boards and 7 offensive boards for a total of 43 in this game.

Kyrie Irving pitched in for the Mavericks in the matchup. He knocked down 13 out of 28 in the matchup for a field goal percentage of 46.4%, and had 3 rebounds. Irving had 35 points in his 45 minutes on the court and had 2 assists in the game.

Dallas has a win-loss record of 50-32 for the season. The Mavericks are committing 18.3 fouls per contest and they hit 75.8% from the charity stripe. They are dishing out assists 25.7 times per contest (19th in the league) and they turn it over 12.5 times per game. Dallas has 9,664 pts for the campaign (117.9 per game) and they collect 42.9 rebounds per game. As an offensive unit, the Mavericks are hitting on 48.1% from the floor, which is 11th in basketball.

The Dallas defense allows 36.8% on shots from behind the 3-point line (1,075 of 2,921) and opponents are making 77.0% of their foul shots. They have given up 27.5 assists and 45.1 rebounds per contest, which is 22nd and 25th in basketball. The Mavericks are ranked 20th in basketball in points per game surrendered with 115.6. They are forcing their opponents into 13.7 TO's per game and allow teams to shoot 47.5% from the floor (20th in the NBA).

Who will win tonight's NBA game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Dallas (-3)

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