Toronto Raptors vs Denver Nuggets Prediction, 3/6/2023 Preview and Pick

Game: Toronto Raptors vs Denver Nuggets

Date: Monday, March 6, 2023

Location: Ball Arena in Denver, CO

TV: Altitude

Odds/Point Spread: Toronto (+8)

The Toronto Raptors are en route to Ball Arena on Monday where they will try to defeat the Denver Nuggets. Toronto opens this game as 8-point underdogs from Vegas oddsmakers. The total has been set at 228.

The Raptors faced the Wizards and walked away with a win by a score of 116-109 in their last game. In the matter of personal fouls, the Raptors ended up finishing with 21 and the Wizards had 16 personal fouls. They also converted 14 of 24 attempts from 3-point land. Washington ended up shooting 86.4% from the charity stripe by converting 19 of 22 shots. In addition, Washington pulled down 43 rebounds (9 offensive, 34 defensive) and got 4 rejections. Washington doled out 26 dimes and had 9 steals in this game. With regard to defense, Toronto allowed the other team to shoot 50.7% from the field on 38 of 75 shooting. They also doled out 30 assists for the game in addition to creating 24 turnovers and earning 14 steals. With regard to getting rebounds, they compiled 34 with 10 of them being on the offensive end. From the charity stripe, the Raptors knocked down 10 of 14 tries for a rate of 71.4%. Toronto walked away from the game with a 52.2% FG percentage (47 of 90) and converted 12 out of their 30 shots from beyond the perimeter.

Gary Trent Jr. is one player who came through in the matchup. He walked away with 26 points on 11 of 18 shooting. He was on the hardwood for 35 minutes played and snagged 5 rebounds. Trent ended up going 61.1% from the field and also recorded 4 dimes.

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Toronto heads into this contest with a win-loss record of 32-33 so far this season. They currently have an average of 112.6 pts per game (22nd in the NBA) while going 45.4% from the field. The Raptors are hitting 33.5% on shots from distance (702 of 2,094) and 78.1% from the charity stripe. As a unit, Toronto is pulling down 42.8 boards per contest and has 1,519 dimes on the year, which has them ranked 24th in the NBA in terms of passing the rock. They turn the ball over 11.9 times per contest and as a basketball team are committing 20.3 personal fouls on a nightly basis.

When they are on defense, the Raptors are forcing their opponents into 16.7 turnovers every game and they draw 20.5 personal fouls. They currently rank 29th in the NBA in allowing assists to their opponents with 1,699 conceded so far this year. The Raptors defense is allowing a FG percentage of 49.0% (2,634 of 5,375) and they concede 42.6 boards per game as a group. They give up 37.7% from beyond the arc and they are 7th in the league in PPG allowed (112.0).

The last time they took the court, the Nuggets walked away with a victory by a final of 113-97 when they played the Grizzlies. The Nuggets collected 40 defensive boards and 13 offensive boards totaling 53 for the game. They also turned the ball over 8 times, while getting 6 steals for the matchup. The Grizzlies earned 24 fouls for this contest which got the Nuggets to the charity stripe for a total of 31 shots. They were able to knock down 25 of the free throw attempts for a rate of 80.6%. When talking about shooting from downtown, Denver knocked down 8 out of 31 tries (25.8%). Overall, the Nuggets finished shooting 40 out of 87 from the field which had them shooting 46.0%. The Nuggets allowed the Grizzlies to knock down 31 of their 84 tries from the floor which had them shooting 36.9% for this contest. They went 34.4% from behind the 3-point line by connecting on 11 out of 32 and walked away from this one shooting 24 of 31 at the free throw line (77.4%). Regarding rebounding, Denver permitted Memphis to collect 40 in all (10 offensive).

Michael Porter Jr. was important for the Nuggets in this game. Porter recorded 26 points in his 30 minutes on the court and had 1 assist for this contest. He made 8 of 14 in the game giving him a field goal percentage of 57.1%, and had 8 rebounds.

Denver has a record of 45-19 on the season. The Nuggets commit 19.0 personal fouls every game and they go 75.3% from the free throw line. They are earning an assist 29.3 times per game (2nd in basketball) and they are losing possession via turnover 14.8 times per contest. Denver has tallied 7,497 points for the season (117.1 per game) and they pull in 43.2 rebounds per game. As an offense, the Nuggets are hitting on 50.9% from the floor, which ranks 1st in basketball.

The Denver defense gives up 34.6% on three-point shots (736 of 2,126) and opponents are knocking down 76.5% of their foul shots. They concede 25.7 assists and 40.2 boards per contest, ranking them 19th and 1st in the NBA. The Nuggets on defense are ranked 11th in the NBA in points per game surrendered with 112.6. They are forcing 13.7 turnovers per game and have let teams shoot 47.8% from the floor (21st in the league).

Who will win tonight's NBA game against the spread?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Denver (-8)

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