San Antonio Spurs vs Dallas Mavericks Prediction, 2/23/2023 Preview and Pick

Game: San Antonio Spurs vs Dallas Mavericks

Date: Thursday, February 23, 2023

Location: American Airlines Center in Dallas, TX

TV: Bally Sports Southwest

Odds/Point Spread: San Antonio (+14)

The San Antonio Spurs are traveling to American Airlines Center on Thursday where they will try to defeat the Dallas Mavericks. San Antonio opens this contest as 14-point underdogs. The total is 233.5.

The Spurs played the Hornets and walked away from this one with a loss by a score of 120-110 in their last contest. Regarding personal fouls, the Spurs ended up walking away with 24 and the Hornets accounted for 17 personal fouls. They converted 14 of their 35 tries from beyond the arc. Charlotte walked away from this one shooting 69.0% at the charity stripe by burying 20 of 29 attempts. In addition, Charlotte grabbed 58 rebounds (15 offensive, 43 defensive) and earned 6 rejections. Charlotte distributed 26 assists and had 8 steals for the matchup. In relation to the defense, San Antonio allowed 44.8% from the floor on 43 out of 96 shooting. They also distributed 24 dimes for the matchup as well as forcing 15 turnovers and getting 7 steals. Pertaining to hauling in boards, they earned 58 with 20 of them being offensive. When they shot from the charity stripe, the Spurs converted 15 of their 20 attempts for a percentage of 75.0%. San Antonio walked away from the game having earned a 38.3% FG percentage (41 out of 107) and made 13 out of their 38 shots from beyond the arc.

Keldon Johnson is one guy who was a factor for the contest. Johnson ended up shooting 30.0% from the field and totaled 4 assists. He saw the court for 35 mins played and also grabbed 8 rebounds. He ended up walking away with 21 points on 6 out of 20 shooting.

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San Antonio comes into this game with a mark of 14-45 on the year. They are losing possession via turnover 15.6 times per contest and as a team they commit 20.2 fouls on a nightly basis. As a unit, San Antonio is snagging 43.0 rebounds per contest and has totaled 1,590 dimes for the season, which ranks 4th in the league in terms of passing the ball. The Spurs are shooting 34.1% on shots from distance (622 of 1,825) and 74.7% from the free throw line. They currently have an average of 112.4 pts per game (24th in the league) while going 46.9% from the floor.

When they are on defense, the Spurs are able to force 14.0 turnovers per contest while drawing 18.6 personal fouls. They are currently ranked 28th in the league in giving up assists with 1,565 surrendered this year. The Spurs defense is giving up a field goal percentage of 50.9% (2,714 of 5,334) and they concede 44.2 boards per game as a team. They give up 39.4% on 3-pointers and they are ranked 30th in the NBA in points per game allowed (122.6).

The last time they took the court, the Mavericks took a defeat with a final score of 118-109 against the Nuggets. In relation to team rebounding, Dallas permitted Denver to snag 43 overall (6 on the offensive glass). They finished the game shooting 35.5% from three-point range by connecting on 11 out of 31 and finished the contest at 11 out of 15 at the charity stripe (73.3%). The Mavericks allowed the Nuggets to make 48 out of 84 attempts from the field which left them with a shooting percentage of 57.1% in this matchup. At the conclusion of this game, the Mavericks finished the game shooting 39 out of 84 from the floor which gave them a rate of 46.4%. When it comes to shots from 3-point land, Dallas converted 14 out of 39 tries (35.9%). They were able to bury 17 of the free throws for a percentage of 85.0%. The Nuggets were called for 14 personal fouls in the matchup which got the Mavericks to the free throw line for a total of 20 shots. They also turned the ball over 12 times, while earning 8 steals for the contest. The Mavericks collected 25 defensive rebounds and 6 offensive boards for a total of 31 in this game.

Luka Doncic ended up being important for the Mavericks for the game. He made 12 out of 22 in the matchup giving him a field goal percentage of 54.5%, and had 4 rebounds. Doncic had 37 points in his 35 mins on the court and earned 9 dimes in the game.

Dallas has a win-loss record of 31-29 on the campaign. As an offensive unit, the Mavericks are connecting on 47.3% from the floor, which is ranked 16th in basketball. Dallas has scored 6,780 points on the year (113.0 per contest) and they average 38.7 boards per game. They are earning an assist 22.4 times per game (30th in the league) and they lose possession by turning the ball over 12.4 times per contest. The Mavericks commit 20.7 fouls every game and they connect on 74.9% from the free throw line.

The Mavericks are ranked 12th in basketball in points per game surrendered with 112.5. They are forcing 13.5 turnovers on a nightly basis and allow teams to shoot 48.4% from the field (26th in the league). The Dallas defense surrenders 35.1% on 3-point shots (659 of 1,875) and opponents are knocking down 78.4% of their free throw shots. They concede 24.3 dimes and 43.8 rebounds per contest, which ranks 9th and 18th in the league.

Who will win tonight's NBA game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take San Antonio (+14)

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