Sacramento Kings vs Golden State Warriors Prediction, 4/23/2023 Preview and Pick

Game: Sacramento Kings vs Golden State Warriors

Date: Sunday, April 23, 2023

Location: Chase Center in San Francisco, CA

TV: ABC

Odds/Point Spread: Sacramento (+8)

Chase Center is where the Golden State Warriors will attempt to defeat the Sacramento Kings on Sunday in Game 4 of their series. Sacramento leads 2-1. Golden State opens this matchup as 8-point favorites. The over/under comes in at 238.

The Kings went home with a loss by a final score of 114-97 in Game 3. Sacramento ended the contest with a 38.0% FG percentage (35 of 92) and buried 11 of their 47 shots from 3-point land. At the charity stripe, the Kings made 16 of their 23 shots for a percentage of 69.6%. In the matter of pulling down rebounds, they collected a total of 53 with 13 of them being on the offensive end. They also dished out 21 assists in the game while forcing 11 turnovers and earning 6 steals. When discussing defending, Sacramento let their opponent shoot 40.0% from the floor on 40 out of 100 shooting. Golden State doled out 31 dimes and had 12 steals for the game. Additionally, Golden State snagged 59 boards (18 offensive, 41 defensive) and got 3 blocked shots. Golden State ended up shooting 78.3% from the free throw line by making 18 of their 23 tries. They knocked down 16 of their 50 shots from downtown. In relation to fouls, the Kings finished with 22 and the Warriors accumulated 19 fouls.

De'Aaron Fox is a guy who was a factor for the game. He was able to score 26 points on 9 out of 22 shooting. He saw the court for 38 mins and pulled down 9 boards. Fox walked away from this one shooting 40.9% from the floor and also dished out 9 assists.

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Sacramento enters this one with a mark of 48-34 on the campaign. They are turning it over 13.5 times per contest and as a basketball team are committing 19.7 personal fouls every game. As a unit, Sacramento is snagging 42.5 rebounds per game and has tallied 2,237 assists for the season, which has them ranked 3rd in basketball in terms of passing. The Kings are hitting 36.9% on shots from distance (1,128 of 3,060) and 79.0% from the free throw line. They have an average of 120.7 points per outing (1st in the NBA) while hitting 49.4% from the field.

On defense, the Kings are able to force 14.2 turnovers on a nightly basis and they draw 20.9 personal fouls. They concede 37.3% on shots from beyond the perimeter while they are 25th in the NBA in points per game allowed (118.1). The Kings defensively are giving up a shooting percentage of 49.2% (3,589 of 7,288) and they concede 42.2 rebounds per game as a group. They currently rank 28th in basketball in giving up assists to their opponents with 2,187 relinquished this year.

In the matter of how they rebounded in Game 3, Golden State allowed Sacramento to pull down 53 overall (13 on the offensive glass). They finished 23.4% from beyond the perimeter by going 11 of 47 and finished the game at 16 of 23 from the free throw line (69.6%). The Warriors permitted the Kings to knock down 35 of their 92 tries from the floor which left them with a rate of 38.0% in this contest. Overall, the Warriors walked away from this one shooting 40 for 100 from the field which gave them a rate of 40.0%. With regard to shooting from 3-point land, Golden State converted 16 out of their 50 attempts (32.0%). They were able to convert 18 of the free throw attempts for a percentage of 78.3%. The Kings were called for 22 fouls for the contest which got the Warriors to the free throw line for a total of 23 tries. They also turned the ball over 11 times, while getting 12 steals for this game. The Warriors were able to collect 41 defensive boards and 18 offensive rebounds totaling 59 for the matchup.

Stephen Curry ended up being a factor for the Warriors in the matchup. He converted 12 of 25 for the matchup for a field goal percentage of 48.0%, and totaled 6 rebounds. Curry tallied 36 points in his 37 mins on the court and added 3 assists in this matchup.

Golden State has a record of 44-38 on the season. The Warriors commit 21.4 personal fouls every game while shooting 79.4% from the free throw line. Their rate of assisting teammates is at 29.8 times per contest (1st in the league) and they lose possession via turnover 16.3 times per contest. Golden State has accounted for 9,753 pts for the year (118.9 per contest) and they average 44.6 boards per contest. As an offensive team, the Warriors are connecting on 47.9% from the floor, which ranks 12th in the league.

The Warriors on defense are ranked 21st in the NBA in points given up per game with 117.1. They are forcing 14.3 TO's every game and have allowed teams to shoot 46.9% from the field (9th in the league). The Golden State defense surrenders 36.4% on three-point shots (1,060 of 2,915) and opponents are converting on 76.9% of their shots from the charity stripe. They have given up 25.7 dimes and 43.3 total boards per game, which is 17th and 15th in the NBA.

Who will win tonight's NBA game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Sacramento (+8)

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