Phoenix Suns vs Denver Nuggets Prediction, 5/9/2023 Preview and Pick

Game: Phoenix Suns vs Denver Nuggets

Date: Tuesday, May 9, 2023

Location: Ball Arena in Denver, CO

TV: TNT

Odds/Point Spread: Phoenix (+4)

Ball Arena is the location where the Denver Nuggets will attempt to defeat the Phoenix Suns on Tuesday in Game 5 of their series. The series is tied 2-2. Phoenix is 4-point dogs. The total comes in at 228.5.

The Suns notched a win by a score of 129-124 in Game 4. When talking about fouls, the Suns ended up finishing with 24 while the Nuggets had 19 fouls. They also made 7 of their 22 shots from long range. Denver finished 73.9% at the charity stripe by burying 17 of their 23 tries. Furthermore, Denver collected 32 rebounds (10 offensive, 22 defensive) and added 4 blocks. Denver distributed 28 dimes and had 6 steals in the matchup. With respect to the defense, Phoenix allowed the other team to go 56.2% from the field on 50 out of 89 shooting. They also recorded 28 dimes for this game in addition to forcing the other team into 8 turnovers and earning 6 steals. With respect to hauling in rebounds, they collected a total of 37 with 12 of them being offensive. From the charity stripe, the Suns converted 24 of their 29 attempts for a rate of 82.8%. Phoenix ended the contest having earned a 56.8% FG percentage (46 of 81) and buried 13 of 29 3-point attempts.

Devin Booker is a player who was a contributor for the matchup. He accounted for 36 points on 14 of 18 shooting. He played 40 mins and collected 6 rebounds. Booker finished 77.8% from the floor and totaled 12 dimes.

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Phoenix comes into this matchup with a win-loss mark of 45-37 for the year. They lose possession by turning the ball over 13.5 times per contest and as a team they are committing 21.2 fouls every game. As a team, Phoenix is grabbing 44.2 boards per game and has earned 2,235 dimes so far this season, which is 4th in the NBA in terms of passing the ball. The Suns are connecting on 37.4% on three-point attempts (1,001 of 2,674) and 79.3% from the charity stripe. They currently have an average of 113.6 points per contest (17th in the league) while going 46.7% from the floor.

When they are on defense, the Suns are able to force 14.4 turnovers every game while drawing 19.9 fouls. They surrender 35.7% from 3-point land and they are ranked 6th in the league in PPG from their opponents (111.6). The Suns defense is giving up a FG percentage of 46.6% (3,280 of 7,044) and they relinquish 42.9 rebounds per game as a squad. They are currently ranked 3rd in the league in allowing assists to the opposition with 1,915 surrendered this season.

In Game 4, the Nuggets snagged 22 defensive rebounds and 10 offensive rebounds totaling 32 in this game. They also turned the ball over 8 times, while earning 6 steals in this contest. The Suns had 24 personal fouls in the game which took the Nuggets to the charity stripe for 23 attempts. They were able to knock down 17 of them for a clip of 73.9%. Concerning shooting from beyond the arc, Denver knocked down 7 of their 22 tries (31.8%). Overall, the Nuggets finished the game shooting 50 for 89 from the floor which gave them a shooting percentage of 56.2%. The Nuggets allowed the Suns to convert 46 of 81 tries from the field which had them sitting at 56.8% for this game. They finished shooting 44.8% from downtown by going 13 out of 29 and finished the contest at 24 of 29 from the charity stripe (82.8%). When it comes to attacking the glass, Denver permitted Phoenix to collect 37 in all (12 on the offensive glass).

Nikola Jokic ended up having an impact for the Nuggets in this contest. He made 20 out of 30 for the game giving him a field goal percentage of 66.7%, and tallied 4 rebounds. Jokic had 53 points in his 39 mins of playing time and had 11 assists for the game.

Denver has a win-loss record of 53-29 this year. As an offensive unit, the Nuggets are shooting 50.4% from the floor, which ranks 1st in the league. Denver has totaled 9,495 pts so far this year (115.8 per game) and they pull down 43.0 rebounds per contest. Their rate of dishing out assists is at 28.9 times per contest (2nd in the NBA) and they are giving up possession 14.5 times per game. The Nuggets are responsible for committing 18.6 fouls every game and they go 75.1% from the charity stripe.

The Nuggets on the defensive end are ranked 8th in the NBA in PPG surrendered with 112.5. They are forcing 13.5 TO's every game and have let teams shoot 47.8% from the field (20th in basketball). The Denver defense concedes 34.4% on shots from distance (933 of 2,711) and their opponents are converting on 77.5% of their foul shots. They surrender 25.7 dimes and 40.8 rebounds every game, which is 16th and 1st in the league.

Who will win tonight's NBA game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Denver (-4)

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