Phoenix Suns vs Dallas Mavericks Prediction, 3/5/2023 Preview and Pick

Game: Phoenix Suns vs Dallas Mavericks

Date: Sunday, March 5, 2023

Location: American Airlines Center in Dallas, TX

TV: Bally Sports Southwest

Odds/Point Spread: Phoenix (+1)

The Phoenix Suns are hitting the road to American Airlines Center on Sunday where they will try to defeat the Dallas Mavericks. Dallas opens as 1-point favorites. The total has been set at 228.

The Suns played the Bulls and went home with a win by a final score of 125-104 in their last game. With respect to personal fouls, the Suns finished with 20 while the Bulls recorded 15 personal fouls. They also knocked down 7 out of their 23 tries from 3-point land. Chicago finished the game shooting 76.0% from the free throw line by burying 19 of 25 tries. Moreover, Chicago pulled down 34 rebounds (9 offensive, 25 defensive) and added 7 blocks. Chicago dished out 24 dimes and had 7 steals for this contest. Concerning defending, Phoenix allowed 47.0% from the field on 39 out of 83 shooting. They also dished out 29 assists in the game as well as forcing 8 turnovers and earning 6 steals. In regard to grabbing rebounds, they earned a total of 41 with 13 of them being offensive. From the charity stripe, the Suns knocked down 21 of 25 shots for a rate of 84.0%. Phoenix finished the contest with a 50.0% FG percentage (42 out of 84) and buried 20 out of their 47 shots from 3-point land.

Devin Booker is one guy who was a contributor in this game. Booker finished shooting 50.0% from the field and earned 6 dimes. He played 36 mins and snagged 5 boards. He totaled 35 points on 12 of 24 shooting.

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Phoenix will enter this matchup with a record of 35-29 on the year. They are turning it over 14.0 times per contest and as a group are committing 21.0 fouls on a nightly basis. As a unit, Phoenix is snagging 44.3 rebounds per game and has accumulated 1,735 dimes for the campaign, which has them ranked 3rd in basketball in terms of passing the ball. The Suns are connecting on 37.9% on shots from beyond the arc (790 of 2,087) and 79.1% from the free throw line. They average 112.8 points per contest (21st in the league) while shooting 46.5% from the floor.

On defense, the Suns are forcing 14.7 turnovers on a nightly basis and they draw 20.2 personal fouls. They rank 7th in the league in giving up assists with 1,499 surrendered on the season. The Suns defense is giving up an opponent shooting percentage of 46.5% (2,553 of 5,495) and they concede 43.0 rebounds per game as a group. They give up 35.6% on shots from downtown and they are 4th in basketball in PPG allowed (110.8).

The last time they took the court, the Mavericks got the victory with a final of 133-126 when they played the 76ers. The Mavericks were able to collect 26 defensive boards and 5 offensive boards for a total of 31 in this matchup. They coughed it up 12 times, while earning 8 steals in the matchup. The 76ers earned 24 personal fouls in the matchup which took the Mavericks to the free throw line for a total of 27 attempts. They were able to knock down 18 of the free throw tries for a percentage of 66.7%. With regard to shots from 3-point land, Dallas made 25 of their 48 attempts (52.1%). When the final whistle blew, the Mavericks walked away from this one shooting 45 for 82 from the floor which had them sitting at 54.9%. The Mavericks permitted the 76ers to make 45 out of 78 tries from the field which gave them a shooting percentage of 57.7% in this game. They finished 44.4% from distance by going 12 of 27 and ended up going 24 out of 29 from the charity stripe (82.8%). In the matter of team rebounding, Dallas allowed Philadelphia to snag 37 in total (5 offensive).

Luka Doncic pitched in for the Mavericks in the game. He knocked down 13 of 22 in the game for a field goal percentage of 59.1%, and added 4 rebounds. Doncic had 42 points in his 40 minutes on the hardwood and had 12 dimes for this contest.

Dallas has a mark of 33-31 on the season. The Mavericks are committing 20.9 personal fouls per contest and they go 74.6% from the charity stripe. They are getting an assist 22.5 times per contest (28th in basketball) and they turn it over 12.3 times per contest. Dallas has accumulated 7,285 pts this year (113.8 per game) and they snag 38.6 rebounds per game. In terms of offensive execution, the Mavericks are connecting on 47.5% from the floor, which ranks 15th in basketball.

The Dallas defense gives up 35.1% on shots from beyond the arc (698 of 1,989) and their opponents are connecting on 78.3% of their foul shots. They have allowed 24.5 dimes and 43.8 boards every game, which ranks them 9th and 19th in the league. The Mavericks on defense are ranked 13th in the NBA in points per game surrendered with 112.9. They are forcing 13.4 turnovers per game and allow teams to shoot 48.6% from the field (25th in the league).

Who will win tonight's NBA game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Dallas (-1)

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