Philadelphia 76ers vs Miami Heat Prediction, 12/25/2023 Preview and Pick

Game: Philadelphia 76ers vs Miami Heat

Date: Monday, December 25, 2023

Location: Kaseya Center in Miami, FL

TV: Bally Sports Sun

Odds/Point Spread: Philadelphia (+3)

Kaseya Center is where the Miami Heat (17-12) will take on the Philadelphia 76ers (20-8) on Monday. Philadelphia opens this matchup as 3-point underdogs. The total comes in at 224.5.

The 76ers played the Raptors and notched a win by a score of 121-111 in their last contest. In relation to fouls, the 76ers finished with 21 and the Raptors totaled 16 fouls. They also knocked down 9 out of their 33 attempts from downtown. Toronto shot 85.7% at the free throw line by burying 24 of their 28 shots. Moreover, Toronto pulled down 46 rebounds (11 offensive, 35 defensive) and had 6 blocks. Toronto doled out 30 dimes and had 9 steals in the matchup. When talking about defending, Philadelphia allowed the other team to go 44.8% from the field on 39 out of 87 shooting. They also recorded 34 dimes for the game in addition to forcing the other team into 12 turnovers and getting 6 steals. In the matter of grabbing rebounds, they collected 38 with 3 of them being of the offensive variety. When they shot from the charity stripe, the 76ers knocked down 19 of 21 attempts for a rate of 90.5%. Philadelphia walked away from the game having earned a 53.0% FG percentage (44 out of 83) and made 14 of their 31 3-pointers.

Tobias Harris is someone who was important in this contest. He ended up finishing with 33 points on 12 out of 23 shooting. He was on the court for 38 mins and also totaled 8 rebounds. Harris finished the contest at 52.2% from the field and distributed 7 dimes.

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Philadelphia steps onto the court with a mark of 20-8 on the campaign. They have an average of 122.3 pts per contest (4th in basketball) while connecting on 48.5% from the floor. The 76ers are connecting on 38.1% on 3-pointers (342 of 898) and 85.6% from the free throw line. As a team, Philadelphia is pulling down 45.2 boards per game and is sitting with 731 dimes this season, which has them ranked 20th in basketball in terms of passing. They are losing possession via turnover 13.0 times per contest and as a group are committing 20.5 fouls per contest.

On defense, the 76ers have forced 14.4 turnovers per contest while drawing 20.0 fouls. They are currently ranked 8th in the NBA in giving up assists to their opponents with 725 relinquished on the campaign. The 76ers defense is giving up a field goal percentage of 46.1% (1,136 of 2,462) and they concede 41.9 rebounds per game as a group. They are giving up 34.4% on shots from beyond the perimeter while they are 6th in the NBA in points per game from their opponents (111.0).

When they last stepped on the court, the Heat took home the win by a final score of 122-113 against the Hawks. The Heat collected 36 defensive rebounds and 12 offensive boards totaling 48 in this game. They also turned it over 17 times, while getting 7 steals in the game. The Hawks earned 23 personal fouls in this contest which got the Heat to the free throw line for 30 attempts. They were able to knock down 25 of those for a clip of 83.3%. Regarding shots from beyond the arc, Miami converted 17 out of 39 attempts (43.6%). At the conclusion of this game, the Heat finished shooting 40 out of 86 from the field which gave them a rate of 46.5%. The Heat allowed the Hawks to make 42 out of their 96 attempts from the field which gave them a percentage of 43.8% in this game. They went 35.2% from distance via 19 of 54 and ended up going 10 of 14 from the free throw line (71.4%). In reference to how they attacked the glass, Miami allowed Atlanta to get 43 overall (12 on the offensive side).

Tyler Herro was important for the Heat for the game. He buried 11 out of 21 in the matchup for a rate of 52.4%, and accumulated 7 rebounds. Herro racked up 30 points in his 34 mins of playing time and had 2 dimes in this contest.

Miami has a win-loss record of 17-12 so far this year. The Heat are committing 18.6 fouls per game while shooting 83.3% from the charity stripe. Their rate of earning assists is at 26.2 times per contest (12th in basketball) and they are turning it over 13.3 times per contest. Miami has totaled 3,283 pts on the year (113.2 per contest) and they pull in 40.9 boards per game. As an offensive unit, the Heat are connecting on 47.3% from the field, which is ranked 14th in basketball.

The Heat on the defensive end are ranked 7th in the NBA in points per game surrendered with 111.8. They are forcing 14.7 TO's every game and allow teams to shoot 48.2% from the field (19th in the NBA). The Miami defense gives up 37.6% on 3-pointers (396 of 1,054) and their opponents are knocking down 76.5% of their free throw attempts. They have relinquished 26.8 dimes and 42.4 rebounds per contest, which is ranked 19th and 7th in the league.

Who will win tonight's NBA game against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Philadelphia (+3)

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