Oklahoma City Thunder vs Minnesota Timberwolves Prediction, 11/28/2023 Preview and Pick
Game: Oklahoma City Thunder vs Minnesota Timberwolves
Date: Tuesday, November 28, 2023
Location: Target Center in Minneapolis, MN
TV: Bally Sports North
Odds/Point Spread: Oklahoma City (+3)
Target Center is the site where the Minnesota Timberwolves (12-4) will attempt to defeat the Oklahoma City Thunder (11-5) on Tuesday. Minnesota is 3-point favorites. The total comes in at 222.
The Thunder played the 76ers and took a loss by a final of 127-123 in their last contest. Oklahoma City ended the contest having earned a 43.9% FG percentage (43 of 98) and made 16 of their 43 three-point shots. From the free throw line, the Thunder converted 21 of their 26 shots for a rate of 80.8%. When talking about grabbing rebounds, they collected a total of 38 with 13 of them being of the offensive variety. They also doled out 29 assists in this matchup as well as forcing the other team into 12 turnovers and having 3 steals. Pertaining to the defense, Oklahoma City allowed 45.8% from the field on 38 out of 83 shooting. Philadelphia distributed 30 dimes and had 2 steals in this contest. In addition, Philadelphia collected 49 rebounds (17 offensive, 32 defensive) and earned 3 blocked shots. Philadelphia finished shooting 82.2% at the charity stripe by knocking down 37 of their 45 attempts. They converted 14 of 41 shots from beyond the arc. In regard to personal fouls, the Thunder walked away with 27 while the 76ers racked up 26 personal fouls.
Chet Holmgren is one guy who came through for the contest. He had 33 points on 13 of 21 shooting. He was on the court for 32 minutes and collected 6 rebounds. Holmgren finished shooting 61.9% from the floor and earned 2 dimes.
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Oklahoma City will play this game with a mark of 11-5 so far this year. They cough up possession 13.9 times per contest and as a unit they are committing 19.6 fouls on a nightly basis. As a team, Oklahoma City is collecting 41.3 rebounds per contest and has accounted for 411 assists on the season, which is 19th in basketball in terms of passing the ball. The Thunder are connecting on 40.5% on shots from distance (207 of 511) and 85.8% from the charity stripe. They are averaging 119.6 pts per game (4th in the league) while shooting 49.8% from the field.
When they are on defense, the Thunder are forcing 15.9 turnovers per game and they draw 20.1 fouls. They concede 34.1% from beyond the arc while they are 9th in the NBA in PPG allowed (111.3). The Thunder defense is allowing an opponent FG percentage of 43.4% (634 of 1,462) and they concede 46.1 rebounds per contest as a unit. They are currently ranked 17th in the NBA in giving up assists to their opponents with 428 surrendered so far this season.
In their last game, the Timberwolves walked away with a victory by a final of 119-97 when they played the Grizzlies. In the matter of how they cleaned up the glass, Minnesota permitted Memphis to collect 35 in all (11 offensive). They wrapped up this game 27.0% from beyond the perimeter by going 10 out of 37 and ended up shooting 19 of 27 at the free throw line (70.4%). The Timberwolves allowed the Grizzlies to bury 34 of their 88 tries from the field which had them at 38.6% in this game. When the final whistle was blown, the Timberwolves finished 43 for 81 from the floor which gave them a percentage of 53.1%. When it comes to three-point shots, Minnesota buried 15 out of 34 attempts (44.1%). They were able to make 18 of those for a percentage of 78.3%. The Grizzlies were called for 18 fouls in this game which got the Timberwolves to the charity stripe for a total of 23 shots. They gave up possession of the ball 14 times, while getting 5 steals in this matchup. The Timberwolves were able to snag 36 defensive boards and 6 offensive rebounds totaling 42 for the matchup.
Anthony Edwards ended up having an impact for the Timberwolves in this contest. Edwards had 24 points in his 34 mins on the court and had 7 dimes for the matchup. He knocked down 8 of 14 in the matchup for a rate of 57.1%, and accounted for 5 rebounds.
Minnesota has a mark of 12-4 this season. The Timberwolves commit 19.9 fouls per contest and they connect on 77.9% from the free throw line. They are earning an assist 25.6 times per contest (18th in the league) and they turn it over 15.3 times per game. Minnesota has accounted for 1,814 pts on the season (113.4 per contest) and they snag 45.1 rebounds per contest. As an offensive team, the Timberwolves are hitting on 48.8% from the field, which is 6th in the league.
The Timberwolves are ranked 3rd in the league in points per game surrendered with 106.4. They are forcing their opponents into 14.7 TO's per game and allow teams to shoot 43.1% from the field (1st in basketball). The Minnesota defense surrenders 33.0% on three-point shots (186 of 564) and their opposition makes 79.6% of their free throw attempts. They concede 24.4 dimes and 42.4 rebounds per game, ranking them 5th and 7th in the NBA.
Who will win tonight's NBA game against the spread?
Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Minnesota (-3)
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Additional Resources:
Minnesota Timberwolves - Twitter
Oklahoma City Thunder - Twitter