New York Knicks vs Miami Heat Prediction, 5/8/2023 Preview and Pick

Game: New York Knicks vs Miami Heat

Date: Monday, May 8, 2023

Location: Kaseya Center in Miami, FL

TV: TNT

Odds/Point Spread: New York (+4)

The New York Knicks are on their way to Kaseya Center on Monday where they will take on the Miami Heat in Game 4 of their series. The Heat lead 2-1. Miami opens this contest as 4-point favorites from Vegas oddsmakers. The total is set at 206.5.

The Knicks went home with a loss by a final score of 105-86 in Game 3. When it comes to personal fouls, the Knicks ended up walking away with 22 while the Heat recorded 25 personal fouls. They made 7 of their 32 attempts from beyond the perimeter. Miami ended up going 90.3% from the charity stripe by making 28 of their 31 tries. In addition, Miami snagged 50 rebounds (13 offensive, 37 defensive) and earned 3 blocked shots. Miami doled out 17 dimes and had 3 steals in this game. In the matter of defense, New York let their opponent shoot 38.9% from the floor on 35 out of 90 shooting. They also doled out 15 assists for this game while forcing 13 turnovers and getting 4 steals. In reference to rebounding, they compiled 48 with 14 of them being offensive. When they shot from the free throw line, the Knicks buried 16 of their 22 shots for a rate of 72.7%. New York finished the game with a 34.1% field goal percentage (31 of 91) and converted 8 out of their 40 shots from beyond the arc.

Jalen Brunson is someone who had an impact in the matchup. He ended up with 20 points on 7 out of 20 shooting. He was on the court for 38 minutes played and also collected 6 boards. Brunson finished the contest at 35.0% from the field and also recorded 8 assists.

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New York will take the court with a record of 47-35 on the campaign. They turn it over 13.0 times per game and as a team they are committing 20.3 fouls every game. As a team, New York is pulling down 46.6 rebounds per game and has tallied 1,880 assists this year, which has them ranked 28th in basketball in terms of passing the ball. The Knicks are connecting on 35.4% on shots from distance (1,037 of 2,930) and 76.1% from the charity stripe. They have an average of 116.0 pts per game (11th in basketball) while hitting 47.0% from the floor.

On the defensive end, the Knicks have forced 12.7 turnovers per game while drawing 20.7 fouls. They are currently ranked 13th in the NBA in giving up assists to the opposition with 2,062 relinquished for the season. The Knicks are allowing and opponent field goal percentage of 46.2% (3,343 of 7,229) and they surrender 42.0 boards per contest as a team. They are conceding 35.7% from 3-point land and they are ranked 13th in the NBA in points per game allowed (113.1).

In Game 3, the Heat were able to pull down 37 defensive rebounds and 13 offensive boards for a total of 50 for the contest. They also coughed up the ball 13 times, while getting 3 steals in this game. The Knicks had 22 fouls for this contest which got the Heat to the free throw line for a total of 31 shots. They were able to knock down 28 of the free throws for a rate of 90.3%. In reference to 3-pointers, Miami knocked down 7 of their 32 tries (21.9%). Overall, the Heat ended up going 35 out of 90 from the floor which had them sitting at 38.9%. The Heat allowed the Knicks to convert 31 out of 91 tries from the floor which had them shooting 34.1% in the game. They finished 20.0% from distance by connecting on 8 of 40 and finished the game at 16 out of 22 from the charity stripe (72.7%). When discussing attacking the glass, Miami allowed New York to snag 48 in total (14 offensive).

Jimmy Butler ended up being important for the Heat for this contest. He made 9 out of 21 in the matchup for a field goal percentage of 42.9%, and totaled 4 rebounds. Butler totaled 28 points in his 36 minutes on the court and had 3 assists for the matchup.

Miami has a win-loss mark of 44-38 on the year. The Heat commit 18.5 fouls every game and they go 83.1% from the free throw line. They are getting an assist 23.8 times per game (25th in basketball) and they turn it over 13.5 times per game. Miami has totaled 8,977 points this season (109.5 per game) and they pull down 40.6 rebounds per game. When it comes to offensive execution, the Heat are shooting 46.0% from the floor, which is ranked 26th in basketball.

The Heat on defense are ranked 2nd in the league in points per game surrendered with 109.8. They are forcing their opponents into 15.7 turnovers per game and have allowed teams to shoot 48.2% from the field (22nd in the league). The Miami defense surrenders 36.7% on shots from distance (1,077 of 2,933) and their opponents are connecting on 78.1% of their free throw attempts. They have relinquished 25.6 dimes and 41.8 boards per game, which has them ranked 14th and 6th in the NBA.

Who will win tonight's NBA game against the spread?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take New York (+4)

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