New York Knicks vs Miami Heat Prediction, 5/6/2023 Preview and Pick

Game: New York Knicks vs Miami Heat

Date: Saturday, May 6, 2023

Location: Kaseya Center in Miami, FL

TV: ABC

Kaseya Center is where the Miami Heat will compete against the New York Knicks on Saturday in Game 3 of their series. The series is tied 1-1.

The Knicks notched a win by a score of 111-105 in Game 2. Concerning fouls, the Knicks walked away with 20 while the Heat recorded 24 fouls. They knocked down 17 out of their 49 tries from 3-point range. Miami finished the game at 70.6% at the free throw line by converting 12 of 17 shots. Additionally, Miami collected 34 rebounds (8 offensive, 26 defensive) and added 2 blocked shots. Miami distributed 24 assists and had 1 steal for the matchup. In terms of defending, New York allowed the other team to go 44.7% from the floor on 38 out of 85 shooting. They also dished out 23 assists for the game as well as creating 6 turnovers and earning 4 steals. In regard to rebounding, they collected 50 with 11 of them being on the offensive end. At the free throw line, the Knicks knocked down 21 of 30 attempts for a percentage of 70.0%. New York ended with a 45.1% FG percentage (37 out of 82) and converted 16 of their 40 3-point shots.

Jalen Brunson is a guy who was a major contributor in this contest. He totaled 30 points on 10 of 19 shooting. He saw the court for 39 minutes played and collected 5 rebounds. Brunson walked away from this one shooting 52.6% from the floor and totaled 2 assists.

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New York enters this contest with a mark of 47-35 for the season. They currently have an average of 116.0 pts per contest (11th in the league) while going 47.0% from the field. The Knicks are shooting 35.4% on shots beyond the perimeter (1,037 of 2,930) and 76.1% from the free throw line. As a unit, New York is grabbing 46.6 rebounds per game and has accounted for 1,880 assists so far this year, which ranks 28th in the league in terms of passing the ball. They are losing possession via turnover 13.0 times per contest and as a unit they commit 20.3 personal fouls per game.

On the defensive end, the Knicks have forced 12.7 turnovers on a nightly basis and they draw 20.7 fouls. They are giving up 35.7% on 3-point shots and they are 13th in the league in PPG allowed (113.1). The Knicks defense is allowing a field goal percentage of 46.2% (3,343 of 7,229) and they relinquish 42.0 boards per game as a group. They currently rank 13th in the NBA in allowing assists to their opponents with 2,062 conceded so far this year.

In relation to how they cleaned up the glass in Game 2, Miami allowed New York to grab 50 in total (11 on the offensive side). They finished shooting 40.0% from three-point range by connecting on 16 out of 40 and ended up shooting 21 out of 30 from the free throw line (70.0%). The Heat permitted the Knicks to bury 37 of their 82 attempts from the field which had them shooting 45.1% for this game. Overall, the Heat went 38 out of 85 from the field which had them shooting 44.7%. In reference to 3-pointers, Miami knocked down 17 out of 49 tries (34.7%). They were able to convert 12 of the free throws for a percentage of 70.6%. The Knicks committed 20 personal fouls for the game which got the Heat to the charity stripe for 17 attempts. They also turned it over 6 times, while getting 1 steal in this matchup. The Heat pulled down 26 defensive rebounds and 8 offensive boards for a total of 34 in this matchup.

Caleb Martin ended up being a factor for the Heat for the game. Martin earned 22 points in his 38 minutes on the hardwood and had 1 assist for the game. He converted 8 of 15 in this game giving him a rate of 53.3%, and had 8 rebounds.

Miami has a mark of 44-38 so far this year. As an offense, the Heat are shooting 46.0% from the field, which ranks 26th in the NBA. Miami has 8,977 pts for the year (109.5 per contest) and they average 40.6 boards per game. They are dishing out assists 23.8 times per contest (25th in basketball) and they turn it over 13.5 times per contest. The Heat commit 18.5 personal fouls every game and they shoot 83.1% from the charity stripe.

The Heat are ranked 2nd in basketball in PPG allowed with 109.8. They are forcing 15.7 turnovers per game and have allowed teams to shoot 48.2% from the floor (22nd in the league). The Miami defense concedes 36.7% on shots from beyond the arc (1,077 of 2,933) and opponents are making 78.1% of their free throw attempts. They allow 25.6 dimes and 41.8 rebounds on a nightly basis, which ranks them 14th and 6th in the NBA.

Who will win tonight's NBA game against the spread?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take New York

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