New York Knicks vs Miami Heat Prediction, 5/12/2023 Preview and Pick

Game: New York Knicks vs Miami Heat

Date: Friday, May 12, 2023

Location: Kaseya Center in Miami, FL

TV: ESPN

Odds/Point Spread: New York (+5)

The New York Knicks are on their way to Kaseya Center on Friday where they will meet the Miami Heat in Game 6 of their series. The Heat lead 3-2. Miami is 5-point favorites from Vegas oddsmakers. The over/under is 210.

The Knicks took home the win by a score of 112-103 in Game 5. Concerning personal fouls, the Knicks ended up finishing with 19 while the Heat totaled 30 personal fouls. They buried 13 out of their 43 attempts from long range. Miami went 84.2% when shooting free throws by making 16 of their 19 attempts. Additionally, Miami pulled down 34 rebounds (11 offensive, 23 defensive) and earned 4 blocks. Miami distributed 27 assists and had 11 steals for the game. In reference to the defense, New York allowed their opponent to shoot 42.0% from the floor on 37 out of 88 shooting. They also dished out 23 assists in this contest as well as forcing 12 turnovers and getting 6 steals. In terms of rebounding, they collected 50 with 14 of them being offensive. At the free throw line, the Knicks converted 29 of 40 attempts for a percentage of 72.5%. New York wrapped up the contest having earned a 49.3% FG percentage (35 of 71) and buried 13 out of their 34 3-point attempts.

Jalen Brunson is one guy who came through in this matchup. He racked up 38 points on 12 of 22 shooting. He saw the court for 48 mins and pulled down 9 boards. Brunson shot 54.5% from the field and dished out 7 dimes.

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New York steps onto the hardwood with a win-loss mark of 47-35 on the season. They turn it over 13.0 times per contest and as a unit are committing 20.3 fouls every game. As a unit, New York is snagging 46.6 boards per contest and has accounted for 1,880 dimes for the season, which has them ranked 28th in the NBA in terms of passing. The Knicks are shooting 35.4% on 3-point shots (1,037 of 2,930) and 76.1% from the charity stripe. They average 116.0 pts per game (11th in the NBA) while going 47.0% from the field.

On defense, the Knicks have forced 12.7 turnovers per contest and they draw 20.7 fouls. They relinquish 35.7% on shots from beyond the perimeter and they rank 13th in basketball in PPG allowed (113.1). The Knicks are allowing a shooting percentage of 46.2% (3,343 of 7,229) and they surrender 42.0 rebounds per contest as a group. They are 13th in the league in giving up assists to the opposition with 2,062 relinquished on the campaign.

In Game 5, the Heat collected 23 defensive boards and 11 offensive rebounds totaling 34 in this game. They also turned it over 12 times, while earning 11 steals in the matchup. The Knicks earned 19 personal fouls for this contest which took the Heat to the charity stripe for a total of 19 shots. They were able to make 16 of the free throw attempts for a clip of 84.2%. When talking about three-point shots, Miami knocked down 13 of their 43 attempts (30.2%). When the final whistle blew, the Heat shot 37 out of 88 from the floor which gave them a percentage of 42.0%. The Heat allowed the Knicks to convert 35 of 71 tries from the field which gave them a percentage of 49.3% for this contest. They went 38.2% from distance by shooting 13 of 34 and ended up going 29 of 40 from the free throw line (72.5%). With respect to team rebounding, Miami allowed New York to snag 50 in total (14 on the offensive side).

Jimmy Butler was important for the Heat in this matchup. Butler recorded 19 points in his 43 minutes on the court and accounted for 9 assists for this game. He converted 5 out of 12 in the game for a field goal percentage of 41.7%, and had 7 rebounds.

Miami has a record of 44-38 so far this year. The Heat are responsible for committing 18.5 personal fouls per contest and they shoot 83.1% from the free throw line. They are earning an assist 23.8 times per contest (25th in basketball) and they cough up possession 13.5 times per game. Miami has accumulated 8,977 pts for the season (109.5 per game) and they pull in 40.6 rebounds per contest. On the offensive side of the ball, the Heat are shooting 46.0% from the floor, which ranks 26th in basketball.

The Heat are ranked 2nd in the league in points given up per game with 109.8. They are forcing 15.7 TO's every game and have allowed teams to shoot 48.2% from the field (22nd in the league). The Miami defense concedes 36.7% on shots from distance (1,077 of 2,933) and their opponents are making 78.1% of their shots from the free throw line. They have conceded 25.6 assists and 41.8 rebounds per game, ranking them 14th and 6th in the NBA.

Who will win tonight's NBA game against the spread?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take New York (+5)

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