Milwaukee Bucks vs Miami Heat Prediction, 4/22/2023 Preview and Pick

Game: Milwaukee Bucks vs Miami Heat

Date: Saturday, April 22, 2023

Location: Kaseya Center in Miami, FL

TV: ESPN

Odds/Point Spread: Milwaukee (-3)

Kaseya Center is where the Miami Heat will try to beat the Milwaukee Bucks on Saturday in Game 3 of their series. The series is tied 1-1. Miami opens as 3-point underdogs. The over/under is set at 219.5.

The Bucks walked away with a win by a score of 138-122 in Game 2. Milwaukee ended the contest having earned a 53.5% FG percentage (53 of 99) and knocked down 25 of 49 three-point attempts. When they shot from the charity stripe, the Bucks knocked down 7 of their 8 shots for a rate of 87.5%. With regard to grabbing rebounds, they compiled 45 with 9 of them being of the offensive sort. They also doled out 35 assists for the matchup while forcing 17 turnovers and earning 9 steals. Pertaining to the defense, Milwaukee let their opponent shoot 53.6% from the floor on 45 out of 84 shooting. Miami earned 26 dimes and had 10 steals in the matchup. Furthermore, Miami had 41 rebounds (7 offensive, 34 defensive) and got 4 blocked shots. Miami ended up shooting 69.6% when shooting free throws by making 16 of their 23 tries. They buried 16 of their 36 attempts from distance. In reference to fouls, the Bucks walked away with 16 while the Heat finished the game with 9 fouls.

Brook Lopez is a player who came through in the matchup. Lopez shot 70.6% from the field and also totaled 2 assists. He played 34 minutes and also pulled down 4 boards. He ended up walking away with 25 points on 12 of 17 shooting.

Get all of our NBA Picks Tonight

Milwaukee heads into this matchup with a mark of 58-24 this year. They have an average of 116.9 points per contest (8th in the NBA) on 47.3% from the field. The Bucks are hitting 36.8% on shots from downtown (1,217 of 3,306) and 74.3% from the free throw line. As a unit, Milwaukee is pulling in 48.6 rebounds per game and has racked up 2,115 dimes on the season, which ranks 12th in the league in terms of passing. They turn the ball over 14.6 times per game and as a group they are committing 18.1 fouls every game.

On the defensive end, the Bucks have forced 11.8 turnovers every game while drawing 19.0 fouls. They are ranked 5th in the NBA in giving up assists to their opponents with 1,963 conceded this year. The Bucks defense is giving up a FG percentage of 45.6% (3,483 of 7,644) and they concede 44.2 boards per game as a group. They surrender 35.4% on three-point shots and they are 14th in the league in PPG from their opponents (113.3).

When discussing rebounding in Game 2, Miami allowed Milwaukee to pull down 45 in total (9 on the offensive side). They wrapped up this game 51.0% from three-point range by going 25 of 49 and walked away from this one shooting 7 out of 8 at the free throw line (87.5%). The Heat permitted the Bucks to convert 53 of their 99 tries from the field which gave them a percentage of 53.5% for the game. Overall, the Heat went 45 out of 84 from the field which had them sitting at 53.6%. When discussing three-point shots, Miami converted 16 of their 36 tries (44.4%). They were able to convert 16 of them for a rate of 69.6%. The Bucks had 16 fouls for this contest which took the Heat to the charity stripe for a total of 23 tries. They also gave up possession of the ball 17 times, while earning 10 steals for the contest. The Heat recorded 34 defensive rebounds and 7 offensive boards for a total of 41 for this game.

Jimmy Butler ended up being a factor for the Heat for the game. He made 8 out of 12 in the matchup giving him a field goal percentage of 66.7%, and earned 3 rebounds. Butler scored 25 points in his 28 mins on the hardwood and had 3 dimes for the matchup.

Miami has a record of 44-38 this year. As an offensive team, the Heat are shooting 46.0% from the floor, which is ranked 26th in the NBA. Miami has tallied 8,977 pts on the campaign (109.5 per contest) and they average 40.6 boards per game. They are earning an assist 23.8 times per contest (25th in the NBA) and they cough up possession 13.5 times per game. The Heat commit 18.5 personal fouls every game and they go 83.1% from the free throw line.

The Miami defense concedes 36.7% on three-point shots (1,077 of 2,933) and opponents are making 78.1% of their foul shots. They relinquish 25.6 dimes and 41.8 boards on a nightly basis, which ranks 14th and 6th in the NBA. The Heat are ranked 2nd in the league in points given up per game with 109.8. They are able to force 15.7 turnovers per game and allow teams to shoot 48.2% from the floor (22nd in the league).

Who will win tonight's NBA game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Miami (+3)

Get $60 worth of FREE premium member picks. No Obligation. No Salesman. No Credit Card. Fast Sign up with Instant Access Click Here