Milwaukee Bucks vs Miami Heat Prediction, 11/28/2023 Preview and Pick

Game: Milwaukee Bucks vs Miami Heat

Date: Tuesday, November 28, 2023

Location: Kaseya Center in Miami, FL

TV: Bally Sports Sun

Odds/Point Spread: Milwaukee (+1)

The Miami Heat (10-7) are welcoming the Milwaukee Bucks (12-5) at Kaseya Center on Tuesday. Milwaukee opens this matchup as 1-point dogs. The total is 235.5.

The Bucks took the court against the Trail Blazers and notched a win by a score of 108-102 in their last contest. When discussing personal fouls, the Bucks walked away with 20 and the Trail Blazers had 26 personal fouls. They knocked down 13 of 32 shots from beyond the perimeter. Portland ended up going 75.0% from the free throw line by making 15 of 20 attempts. In addition, Portland snagged 40 boards (11 offensive, 29 defensive) and had 11 blocks. Portland doled out 21 dimes and had 15 steals in this game. Pertaining to the defense, Milwaukee allowed 40.7% from the field on 37 out of 91 shooting. They also dished out 19 assists for this contest in addition to forcing the opposition into 17 turnovers and having 13 steals. When discussing grabbing rebounds, they compiled 52 with 18 of them being offensive. When they shot from the charity stripe, the Bucks knocked down 24 of their 32 attempts for a percentage of 75.0%. Milwaukee finished with a 39.3% field goal percentage (35 out of 89) and knocked down 14 out of their 42 shots from beyond the perimeter.

Giannis Antetokounmpo is one player who was a contributor for the contest. Antetokounmpo finished the game shooting 52.4% from the floor and also recorded 6 dimes. He played for 39 mins played and also totaled 16 rebounds. He racked up 33 points on 11 of 21 shooting.

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Milwaukee enters this contest with a record of 12-5 for the year. They are turning it over 13.6 times per contest and as a group they commit 19.6 fouls every game. As a team, Milwaukee is snagging 43.8 rebounds per game and has earned 414 assists this year, which is 16th in the NBA in terms of passing the rock. The Bucks are shooting 37.4% on shots from distance (238 of 637) and 76.4% from the charity stripe. They currently have an average of 120.4 points per game (3rd in the NBA) while hitting 49.0% from the field.

When they are on the defensive end, the Bucks are forcing their opponents into 13.3 turnovers per game and they draw 20.7 fouls. They surrender 35.9% on shots from beyond the arc and they are 23rd in the NBA in PPG allowed (117.5). The Bucks are giving up a shooting percentage of 46.9% (743 of 1,585) and they concede 44.8 rebounds per game as a unit. They are ranked 22nd in the NBA in allowing assists to the opposition with 441 conceded on the year.

When they last stepped on the court, the Heat took a loss by a final score of 112-97 when they played the Nets. When discussing rebounds, Miami permitted Brooklyn to collect 42 overall (8 on the offensive side). They finished 38.9% from three-point range by going 14 out of 36 and finished the contest at 20 of 23 from the free throw line (87.0%). The Heat permitted the Nets to make 39 out of 78 attempts from the floor which gave them a rate of 50.0% for the matchup. In all, the Heat finished 38 out of 87 from the floor which gave them a rate of 43.7%. When talking about 3-point attempts, Miami made 11 of their 34 attempts (32.4%). They were able to knock down 10 of the free throws for a clip of 76.9%. The Nets were called for 18 personal fouls in the matchup which got the Heat to the free throw line for a total of 13 tries. They gave up possession of the ball 17 times, while recording 6 steals in the matchup. The Heat were able to pull down 31 defensive rebounds and 13 offensive rebounds totaling 44 for the matchup.

Caleb Martin was important for the Heat for the game. He made 9 of 18 in the game for a rate of 50.0%, and accumulated 7 rebounds. Martin tallied 22 points in his 31 minutes on the hardwood and accumulated 3 dimes for the matchup.

Miami has a record of 10-7 this year. As an offense, the Heat are connecting on 46.1% from the field, which ranks them 23rd in basketball. Miami has tallied 1,867 pts this year (109.8 per contest) and they grab 41.4 boards per game. They are dishing out assists 25.6 times per game (17th in the NBA) and they cough up possession 13.5 times per contest. The Heat are committing 17.6 fouls per game and they hit 85.3% from the charity stripe.

The Miami defense gives up 38.1% from downtown (230 of 604) and their opponents are knocking down 75.2% of their free throw shots. They surrender 25.6 dimes and 43.5 total boards per game, which is ranked 16th and 11th in the NBA. The Heat on the defensive end are ranked 6th in the NBA in PPG allowed with 107.8. They are forcing their opponents into 16.4 turnovers on a nightly basis and have allowed teams to shoot 47.3% from the floor (20th in the NBA).

So what is Tonights Parlay prediction?

Parlay's Pundit's Pick: Take Miami (-1) and under 235.5 points

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