Milwaukee Bucks vs Miami Heat Prediction, 1/14/2023 Preview and Pick

Game: Milwaukee Bucks vs Miami Heat

Date: Saturday, January 14, 2023

Location: FTX Arena in Miami, FL

TV: Bally Sports Sun

Odds/Point Spread: Milwaukee (+1)

The Milwaukee Bucks are en route to FTX Arena on Saturday where they will go up against the Miami Heat. Miami opens this matchup as 1-point favorites from oddsmakers. The over/under comes in at 230.

The Bucks took the court against the Heat and went home with a loss by a final score of 108-102 in their last game. In the matter of fouls, the Bucks ended up finishing with 12 and the Heat finished the game with 8 fouls. They knocked down 9 of their 34 attempts from beyond the arc. Miami finished shooting 93.8% from the charity stripe by converting 15 of 16 shots. Additionally, Miami had 61 rebounds (18 offensive, 43 defensive) and got 2 blocked shots. Miami recorded 22 dimes and had 8 steals in this matchup. In the matter of defending, Milwaukee allowed the other team to go 44.2% from the floor on 42 out of 95 shooting. They also doled out 20 assists in the game as well as forcing 13 turnovers and getting 10 steals. In relation to getting rebounds, they earned 39 with 8 of them being offensive. At the free throw line, the Bucks knocked down 10 of 15 shots for a percentage of 66.7%. Milwaukee ended the contest with a 40.2% FG percentage (35 of 87) and buried 22 of their 57 shots from beyond the arc.

Jrue Holiday is one player who was a major contributor for this contest. Holiday finished shooting 70.0% from the field and also totaled 11 dimes. He was on the court for 33 mins and also grabbed 6 rebounds. He had 24 points on 7 out of 10 shooting.

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Milwaukee heads into this matchup with a mark of 27-15 for the year. They are losing possession via turnover 15.4 times per contest and as a team they commit 18.4 fouls on a nightly basis. As a unit, Milwaukee is grabbing 49.2 rebounds per contest and has accounted for 1,026 dimes so far this year, which is 16th in basketball in terms of passing. The Bucks are hitting 34.7% on three-point attempts (569 of 1,642) and 73.8% from the charity stripe. They currently have an average of 112.2 pts per contest (21st in the league) while going 45.3% from the floor.

Defensively, the Bucks are able to force 12.2 turnovers every game and they draw 19.0 fouls. They rank 2nd in the league in giving up assists with 956 conceded for the year. The Bucks defensively are giving up a FG percentage of 45.1% (1,740 of 3,858) and they surrender 44.1 boards per contest as a team. They are giving up 34.3% on 3-pointers and they are ranked 6th in basketball in opponents PPG (110.9).

In their last game, the Heat took home the win by a final score of 108-102 when they faced the Bucks. The Heat corralled 43 defensive boards and 18 offensive boards for a total of 61 for this contest. They also gave up possession of the ball 13 times, while earning 8 steals in this contest. The Bucks committed 12 fouls for the game which got the Heat to the free throw line for 16 tries. They were able to make 15 of those for a percentage of 93.8%. Concerning shooting from 3-point land, Miami buried 9 of 34 attempts (26.5%). When the final whistle blew, the Heat walked away from this one shooting 42 out of 95 from the field which had them at 44.2%. The Heat allowed the Bucks to knock down 35 out of their 87 tries from the floor which had them sitting at 40.2% in the game. They finished the game shooting 38.6% from beyond the arc by shooting 22 out of 57 and ended up going 10 out of 15 at the free throw line (66.7%). When it comes to team rebounding, Miami allowed Milwaukee to get 39 in total (8 on the offensive side).

Gabe Vincent ended up being a major contributor for the Heat for this contest. He made 10 out of 17 for the contest giving him a rate of 58.8%, and totaled 3 rebounds. Vincent tallied 28 points in his 41 minutes on the hardwood and had 6 assists for this contest.

Miami has a mark of 23-20 this season. As an offensive unit, the Heat are hitting on 45.1% from the floor, which is 27th in the league. Miami has totaled 4,677 points this season (108.8 per contest) and they average 41.1 rebounds per game. They are earning an assist 23.6 times per game (23rd in basketball) and they lose possession via turnover 13.5 times per contest. The Heat commit 18.9 fouls per game while shooting 82.8% from the charity stripe.

The Miami defense gives up 36.5% on shots from 3-point land (567 of 1,553) and opponents are making 77.8% of their free throw attempts. They have given up 25.2 assists and 43.0 total rebounds per game, which is 15th and 10th in the league. The Heat on defense are ranked 2nd in basketball in points given up per game with 108.8. They are forcing their opponents into 16.5 turnovers per game and have allowed teams to shoot 47.4% from the field (21st in the NBA).

Who will win tonight's NBA game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Milwaukee (+1)

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