Miami Heat vs Toronto Raptors Prediction, 3/28/2023 Preview and Pick

Game: Miami Heat vs Toronto Raptors

Date: Tuesday, March 28, 2023

Location: Scotiabank Arena in Toronto, ON

TV: TSN

Odds/Point Spread: Miami (+3)

Scotiabank Arena is where the Toronto Raptors will try to beat the Miami Heat on Tuesday. Toronto opens this matchup as 3-point favorites. The total is set at 230.

The Heat stepped onto the hardwood against the Nets and took a loss by a score of 129-100 in their last game. When it comes to personal fouls, the Heat left the arena with 19 while the Nets accounted for 18 personal fouls. They also converted 18 out of their 40 shots from beyond the perimeter. Brooklyn finished the game shooting 92.0% from the free throw line by converting 23 of 25 shots. On top of that, Brooklyn totaled 45 rebounds (17 offensive, 28 defensive) and earned 4 blocked shots. Brooklyn distributed 30 assists and had 6 steals in this contest. In regard to defending, Miami allowed the other team to go 49.4% from the field on 44 of 89 shooting. They also distributed 22 assists for the game as well as forcing the opposition into 6 turnovers and getting 5 steals. Concerning grabbing boards, they collected 32 with 8 of them being on the offensive end. When they shot from the charity stripe, the Heat knocked down 12 of their 14 tries for a percentage of 85.7%. Miami finished the contest with a 47.5% FG percentage (38 out of 80) and knocked down 12 out of their 30 shots from downtown.

Tyler Herro is a player who was a contributor in the game. Herro shot 56.3% from the floor and totaled 3 assists. He saw the court for 33 mins and grabbed 2 rebounds. He left the arena with 23 points on 9 out of 16 shooting.

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Miami steps onto the court with a win-loss mark of 40-35 on the season. They are losing possession via turnover 13.5 times per game and as a team they are committing 18.6 fouls every game. As a unit, Miami is pulling in 40.7 rebounds per game and has accounted for 1,769 dimes for the campaign, which has them ranked 23rd in the league in terms of passing the ball. The Heat are shooting 34.1% on 3-point shots (880 of 2,577) and 83.2% from the free throw line. They average 109.1 pts per contest (30th in basketball) while hitting 45.7% from the field.

On the defensive end of the court, the Heat are able to force 15.8 turnovers every game while drawing 20.2 fouls. They currently rank 16th in the league in giving up assists to the opposition with 1,915 conceded so far this year. The Heat defensively are giving up a field goal percentage of 48.1% (3,006 of 6,253) and they concede 41.9 rebounds per game as a team. They are relinquishing 37.1% on shots from distance while they are 2nd in basketball in points per game allowed (109.9).

In their last game, the Raptors went home victorious with a score of 114-104 when they faced the Wizards. The Raptors snagged 35 defensive rebounds and 18 offensive rebounds totaling 53 in this contest. They turned the ball over 11 times, while getting 13 steals for this game. The Wizards committed 12 personal fouls for the matchup which got the Raptors to the free throw line for 16 tries. They were able to knock down 13 of the free throws for a rate of 81.3%. In regard to shooting from distance, Toronto converted 11 out of their 31 tries (35.5%). In all, the Raptors finished the game shooting 45 out of 98 from the field which gave them a rate of 45.9%. The Raptors allowed the Wizards to convert 38 of their 86 attempts from the field which gave them a shooting percentage of 44.2% for the game. They shot 44.4% from beyond the perimeter by going 16 of 36 and walked away from this one shooting 12 of 20 from the charity stripe (60.0%). Regarding rebounding, Toronto allowed Washington to pull down 45 in total (12 on the offensive glass).

OG Anunoby ended up being a major contributor for the Raptors in this game. He knocked down 11 of 21 for this contest for a field goal rate of 52.4%, and had 8 rebounds. Anunoby totaled 29 points in his 37 mins on the court and earned 1 assist for this game.

Toronto has a record of 37-38 so far this season. When it comes to offense, the Raptors are connecting on 45.7% from the floor, which is ranked 27th in the league. Toronto has accounted for 8,474 points on the season (113.0 per game) and they collect 43.1 rebounds per game. They are assisting teammates 23.6 times per game (24th in the NBA) and they are losing possession via turnover 11.9 times per contest. The Raptors have committed 20.3 fouls per contest and they connect on 78.2% from the free throw line.

The Raptors on defense are ranked 5th in the league in points allowed per game with 111.9. They are forcing 16.6 turnovers per game and have let teams shoot 49.2% from the floor (28th in the NBA). The Toronto defense allows 37.6% on 3-pointers (914 of 2,434) and opponents are connecting on 79.6% of their free throw shots. They concede 26.2 assists and 42.2 boards every game, which is 25th and 9th in the league.

Who will win tonight's NBA game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Toronto (-3)

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