Miami Heat vs Orlando Magic Prediction, 3/11/2023 Preview and Pick

Game: Miami Heat vs Orlando Magic

Date: Saturday, March 11, 2023

Location: Amway Center in Orlando, FL

TV: Bally Sports Florida

Odds/Point Spread: Miami (-3)

The Miami Heat are hitting the road to Amway Center on Saturday where they will play the Orlando Magic. Orlando is 3-point underdogs from oddsmakers. The betting total comes in at 228.5.

The Heat took the court against the Cavaliers and walked away from this one with a loss by a score of 104-100 in their last game. When it comes to personal fouls, the Heat ended up walking away with 19 while the Cavaliers totaled 23 personal fouls. They converted 9 of their 28 attempts from three-point range. Cleveland finished the contest at 89.5% from the charity stripe by converting 17 of their 19 shots. Additionally, Cleveland snagged 32 rebounds (7 offensive, 25 defensive) and got 4 blocked shots. Cleveland distributed 26 assists and had 13 steals for this game. With regard to defending, Miami allowed the other team to go 48.8% from the field on 39 out of 80 shooting. They also doled out 22 dimes in this matchup while forcing the other team into 15 turnovers and getting 7 steals. When talking about pulling down rebounds, they compiled a total of 37 with 10 of them being offensive. At the charity stripe, the Heat made 22 of 29 shots for a rate of 75.9%. Miami walked away from the game with a 50.0% FG percentage (35 of 70) and buried 8 of their 29 shots from distance.

Jimmy Butler is a guy who was a major factor in this matchup. Butler finished the contest at 57.1% from the floor and dished out 5 assists. He played for 35 minutes and totaled 5 rebounds. He ended up walking away with 28 points on 8 of 14 shooting.

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Miami will take the court with a win-loss record of 35-32 for the year. They cough up possession 13.6 times per contest and as a group are committing 18.8 fouls on a nightly basis. As a unit, Miami is pulling in 41.0 rebounds per game and has accounted for 1,569 dimes this year, which ranks 25th in the NBA in terms of passing the rock. The Heat are shooting 33.6% on shots from distance (777 of 2,314) and 82.8% from the free throw line. They currently have an average of 108.3 points per outing (30th in the league) while shooting 45.3% from the floor.

Defensively, the Heat are forcing 16.0 turnovers per game and they draw 20.2 fouls. They are giving up 36.6% from 3-point land while they are 2nd in the league in PPG allowed (109.1). The Heat are giving up a shooting percentage of 47.9% (2,660 of 5,554) and they relinquish 42.0 rebounds per contest as a group. They are currently ranked 11th in the NBA in allowing assists with 1,677 relinquished this year.

When they last stepped on the court, the Magic took a loss by a score of 131-124 when they played the Jazz. The Magic were able to pull down 24 defensive rebounds and 12 offensive rebounds for a total of 36 in this contest. They gave up possession of the ball 10 times, while getting 9 steals for the contest. The Jazz committed 26 personal fouls in this contest which got the Magic to the free throw line for 31 shots. They were able to knock down 20 of the free throw attempts for a rate of 64.5%. When it comes to shots from 3-point land, Orlando knocked down 16 of 34 attempts (47.1%). Overall, the Magic ended up shooting 44 for 94 from the field which gave them a shooting percentage of 46.8%. The Magic allowed the Jazz to convert 49 of their 88 tries from the field which gave them a shooting percentage of 55.7% for this game. They finished 38.2% from 3-point land by going 13 out of 34 and walked away from this one shooting 20 out of 21 at the charity stripe (95.2%). In regard to rebounding, Orlando permitted Utah to grab 42 in total (11 offensive).

Paolo Banchero ended up being a factor for the Magic for the game. Banchero earned 26 points in his 34 mins on the court and earned 2 assists for the game. He buried 8 out of 17 for the game for a field goal percentage of 47.1%, and had 8 rebounds.

Orlando has a win-loss record of 27-40 on the campaign. When it comes to executing on offense, the Magic are hitting on 47.1% from the field, which has them ranked 18th in the league. Orlando has accounted for 7,460 points on the year (111.3 per contest) and they pull in 42.7 boards per contest. Their rate of dishing out assists is at 22.7 times per contest (27th in the NBA) and they turn it over 15.0 times per contest. The Magic have committed 20.3 fouls every game while shooting 78.4% from the charity stripe.

The Orlando defense surrenders 35.1% from downtown (871 of 2,484) and their opposition makes 78.9% of their shots from the charity stripe. They have allowed 25.9 dimes and 42.0 boards per contest, which is ranked 22nd and 8th in the league. The Magic on the defensive end are ranked 17th in basketball in points per game surrendered with 114.3. They are able to force 14.7 turnovers per game and allow teams to shoot 47.8% from the floor (19th in basketball).

Who will win tonight's NBA game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Miami (-3)

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