Miami Heat vs New York Knicks Prediction, 5/10/2023 Preview and Pick

Game: Miami Heat vs New York Knicks

Date: Wednesday, May 10, 2023

Location: Madison Square Garden in New York, NY

TV: TNT

Odds/Point Spread: Miami (+3)

The New York Knicks will take on the Miami Heat at Madison Square Garden on Wednesday in Game 5 of their series. The Heat lead 3-1. Miami opens this contest as 3-point dogs. The betting total comes in at 210.

The Heat went home with a win by a final score of 109-101 in Game 4. Miami ended the game with a 47.1% field goal percentage (40 out of 85) and knocked down 13 out of their 39 shots from beyond the arc. At the charity stripe, the Heat converted 16 of their 22 shots for a rate of 72.7%. When talking about getting rebounds, they earned 44 with 13 of them being of the offensive variety. They also recorded 28 assists for the contest as well as forcing the other team into 16 turnovers and getting 7 steals. When it comes to defending, Miami allowed 48.7% from the floor on 37 of 76 shooting. New York dished out 21 assists and had 5 steals for this contest. Furthermore, New York pulled down 35 rebounds (8 offensive, 27 defensive) and earned 4 blocked shots. New York finished 75.0% at the charity stripe by burying 18 of their 24 tries. They converted 9 out of their 28 tries from long range. Concerning fouls, the Heat ended up with 21 and the Knicks totaled 23 fouls.

Jimmy Butler is a player who was a major factor in the game. Butler ended up shooting 52.9% from the field and also distributed 10 dimes. He played for 42 minutes and also grabbed 6 rebounds. He ended up finishing with 27 points on 9 out of 17 shooting.

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Miami will take the court with a win-loss record of 44-38 for the season. They lose possession by turning the ball over 13.5 times per contest and as a group they commit 18.5 personal fouls per game. As a team, Miami is pulling in 40.6 rebounds per game and has totaled 1,955 assists so far this year, which ranks 25th in basketball in terms of passing the ball. The Heat are connecting on 34.4% on three-point attempts (980 of 2,852) and 83.1% from the free throw line. They average 109.5 points per outing (30th in basketball) while shooting 46.0% from the field.

On the defensive end, the Heat are able to force 15.7 turnovers on a nightly basis while drawing 20.0 fouls. They are currently ranked 14th in basketball in allowing assists with 2,097 conceded for the campaign. The Heat defense is allowing an opponent shooting percentage of 48.2% (3,288 of 6,822) and they surrender 41.8 boards per game as a squad. They are surrendering 36.7% on 3-point attempts and they are 2nd in the NBA in points per game allowed (109.8).

In the matter of how they rebounded in Game 4, New York allowed Miami to snag 44 in total (13 offensive). They finished 33.3% from distance by hitting 13 out of 39 and ended up going 16 of 22 from the free throw line (72.7%). The Knicks allowed the Heat to bury 40 of their 85 tries from the floor which gave them a rate of 47.1% in the matchup. At the conclusion of this game, the Knicks finished the game shooting 37 for 76 from the field which gave them a percentage of 48.7%. When talking about shooting from beyond the arc, New York converted 9 of their 28 attempts (32.1%). They were able to knock down 18 of them for a rate of 75.0%. The Heat were called for 21 fouls in the game which got the Knicks to the charity stripe for a total of 24 attempts. They gave up possession of the ball 16 times, while getting 5 steals for the contest. The Knicks corralled 27 defensive boards and 8 offensive boards for a total of 35 in the matchup.

Jalen Brunson was important for the Knicks for the game. Brunson totaled 32 points in his 44 minutes on the hardwood and totaled 11 assists for the game. He buried 10 out of 21 for this contest giving him a rate of 47.6%, and earned 4 rebounds.

New York has a mark of 47-35 this year. The Knicks are responsible for committing 20.3 fouls every game and they go 76.1% from the free throw line. They are earning an assist 22.9 times per game (28th in basketball) and they turn it over 13.0 times per contest. New York has totaled 9,514 points so far this year (116.0 per game) and they snag 46.6 rebounds per game. On the offensive side of the ball, the Knicks are hitting on 47.0% from the field, which is ranked 20th in the league.

The Knicks defensively are ranked 13th in the league in points given up per game with 113.1. They are forcing 12.7 turnovers per game and have allowed teams to shoot 46.2% from the floor (3rd in the NBA). The New York defense gives up 35.7% on 3-pointers (1,068 of 2,992) and opponents are making 78.2% of their shots from the charity stripe. They allow 25.1 dimes and 42.0 total rebounds per game, which ranks them 13th and 7th in the NBA.

Who will win tonight's NBA game against the spread?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Miami (+3)

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