Miami Heat vs New York Knicks Prediction, 4/30/2023 Preview and Pick

Game: Miami Heat vs New York Knicks

Date: Sunday, April 30, 2023

Location: Madison Square Garden in New York, NY

TV: TNT

Odds/Point Spread: Miami (+5)

The New York Knicks will try to defeat the Miami Heat at Madison Square Garden on Sunday in Game 1 of their series. New York opens this contest as 5-point favorites. The total has been set at 207.5.

The Heat faced the Bucks and earned the victory with a final of 128-126 in their last game. Miami ended with a 45.5% field goal percentage (50 out of 110) and buried 17 of their 45 three-point attempts. At the free throw line, the Heat buried 11 of 17 shots for a rate of 64.7%. With regard to hauling in rebounds, they collected 45 with 9 of them being offensive. They also distributed 25 assists for this game as well as forcing 15 turnovers and getting 6 steals. In the matter of the defense, Miami allowed the other team to shoot 46.2% from the field on 42 out of 91 shooting. Milwaukee earned 20 dimes and had 4 steals in this matchup. On top of that, Milwaukee collected 56 boards (10 offensive, 46 defensive) and added 5 blocks. Milwaukee finished the game shooting 62.2% when shooting free throws by making 28 of their 45 attempts. They also buried 14 of 33 shots from downtown. In relation to personal fouls, the Heat finished with 31 while the Bucks totaled 21 personal fouls.

Jimmy Butler is someone who was a major contributor for the contest. He scored 42 points on 17 of 33 shooting. He saw the court for 46 minutes and grabbed 8 rebounds. Butler finished the contest at 51.5% from the field and also earned 4 dimes.

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Miami will enter this contest with a record of 44-38 on the year. They are turning it over 13.5 times per contest and as a group they are committing 18.5 personal fouls per game. As a unit, Miami is pulling down 40.6 boards per game and has accumulated 1,955 dimes so far this year, which has them ranked 25th in the league in terms of passing. The Heat are shooting 34.4% on shots from downtown (980 of 2,852) and 83.1% from the free throw line. They average 109.5 pts per game (30th in the league) while connecting on 46.0% from the floor.

On defense, the Heat have forced 15.7 turnovers every game while drawing 20.0 fouls. They are 14th in the league in giving up assists with 2,097 relinquished so far this season. The Heat defense is allowing a field goal percentage of 48.2% (3,288 of 6,822) and they relinquish 41.8 boards per game as a group. They are conceding 36.7% on shots from beyond the perimeter and they are 2nd in the league in points per game from their opponents (109.8).

In their last game, the Knicks walked away with a victory by a final of 106-95 against the Cavaliers. The Knicks corralled 31 defensive rebounds and 17 offensive boards for a total of 48 in this contest. They also coughed up the ball 10 times, while earning 6 steals in this game. The Cavaliers were called for 22 personal fouls for this game which took the Knicks to the charity stripe for a total of 29 attempts. They were able to knock down 23 of the free throw tries for a percentage of 79.3%. In terms of shooting from downtown, New York knocked down 9 of 29 tries (31.0%). When all was said and done, the Knicks ended up going 37 out of 85 from the floor which gave them a rate of 43.5%. The Knicks allowed the Cavaliers to make 35 of their 75 tries from the field which gave them a rate of 46.7% for the contest. They wrapped up this game 39.4% from 3-point land via 13 of 33 and walked away from this one shooting 12 of 15 from the free throw line (80.0%). With respect to how they cleaned up the glass, New York allowed Cleveland to collect 30 overall (4 offensive).

Jalen Brunson ended up being a major contributor for the Knicks in this matchup. He made 8 of 22 for this game for a field goal rate of 36.4%, and earned 4 rebounds. Brunson scored 23 points in his 42 mins on the hardwood and had 4 dimes in this contest.

New York has a mark of 47-35 so far this season. The Knicks are responsible for committing 20.3 fouls every game while shooting 76.1% from the charity stripe. They are assisting teammates 22.9 times per game (28th in the league) and they are giving up possession 13.0 times per game. New York has 9,514 pts on the campaign (116.0 per game) and they pull in 46.6 boards per contest. As an offensive team, the Knicks are hitting on 47.0% from the floor, which is 20th in the NBA.

The New York defense surrenders 35.7% on shots from 3-point land (1,068 of 2,992) and opponents are making 78.2% of their free throw attempts. They concede 25.1 assists and 42.0 boards every game, which is ranked 13th and 7th in the league. The Knicks on the defensive side of the court are 13th in the NBA in points given up per game with 113.1. They have forced 12.7 turnovers per game and allow teams to shoot 46.2% from the field (3rd in basketball).

Who will win tonight's NBA game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take New York (-5)

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