Miami Heat vs Milwaukee Bucks Prediction, 4/19/2023 Preview and Pick

Game: Miami Heat vs Milwaukee Bucks

Date: Wednesday, April 19, 2023

Location: Fiserv Forum in Milwaukee, WI

TV: NBATV

Odds/Point Spread: Miami (+6)

Fiserv Forum is the location where the Milwaukee Bucks will take on the Miami Heat on Wednesday in Game 2 of their series. Miami leads 1-0. Milwaukee opens this matchup as 6-point favorites. The total is set at 221.5.

The Heat went home with a win by a final score of 130-117 in Game 1. In the matter of personal fouls, the Heat walked away with 24 and the Bucks totaled 22 personal fouls. They also converted 11 out of their 45 attempts from 3-point land. Milwaukee finished 72.7% at the charity stripe by making 16 of their 22 shots. On top of that, Milwaukee grabbed 38 rebounds (8 offensive, 30 defensive) and added 1 block. Milwaukee doled out 29 dimes and had 3 steals for the contest. With regard to defending, Miami allowed the other team to shoot 49.5% from the field on 45 out of 91 shooting. They also distributed 32 assists in this game in addition to forcing the opposition into 13 turnovers and having 6 steals. With regard to grabbing rebounds, they compiled 36 with 4 of them being on the offensive end. When they shot from the charity stripe, the Heat knocked down 15 of 21 tries for a percentage of 71.4%. Miami finished the contest with a 59.5% FG percentage (50 of 84) and converted 15 of their 25 3-point shots.

Jimmy Butler is one guy who came through in this contest. He was able to score 35 points on 15 out of 27 shooting. He played for 43 minutes played and also grabbed 5 boards. Butler finished 55.6% from the floor and dished out 11 assists.

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Miami steps onto the hardwood with a record of 44-38 for the year. They turn it over 13.5 times per contest and as a unit are committing 18.5 fouls every game. As a team, Miami is pulling in 40.6 rebounds per contest and has totaled 1,955 dimes so far this season, which has them ranked 25th in the league in terms of passing the rock. The Heat are connecting on 34.4% on 3-point shots (980 of 2,852) and 83.1% from the charity stripe. They are averaging 109.5 points per game (30th in the NBA) on 46.0% from the field.

Defensively, the Heat are forcing their opponents into 15.7 turnovers on a nightly basis and they draw 20.0 fouls. They are conceding 36.7% on shots from beyond the perimeter and they are ranked 2nd in the NBA in points per game allowed (109.8). The Heat defense is giving up an opponent shooting percentage of 48.2% (3,288 of 6,822) and they concede 41.8 rebounds per game as a group. They are 14th in the league in giving up assists with 2,097 relinquished this season.

In Game 1, the Bucks were able to corral 30 defensive rebounds and 8 offensive rebounds for a total of 38 in this contest. They coughed it up 13 times, while earning 3 steals in this contest. The Heat were called for 24 personal fouls for the game which took the Bucks to the free throw line for 22 tries. They were able to knock down 16 of the free throw tries for a percentage of 72.7%. Concerning shots from 3-point land, Milwaukee converted 11 of 45 attempts (24.4%). In all, the Bucks finished shooting 45 out of 91 from the field which gave them a rate of 49.5%. The Bucks permitted the Heat to convert 50 of 84 tries from the field which left them with a shooting percentage of 59.5% in this contest. They went 60.0% from downtown by hitting 15 of 25 and walked away from this one shooting 15 of 21 at the free throw line (71.4%). With respect to how they rebounded, Milwaukee allowed Miami to snag 36 overall (4 offensive).

Khris Middleton ended up being a major contributor for the Bucks in this contest. He buried 12 out of 20 for the matchup giving him a field goal percentage of 60.0%, and totaled 9 rebounds. Middleton totaled 33 points in his 33 minutes on the hardwood and accumulated 4 assists for this contest.

Milwaukee has a win-loss mark of 58-24 for the season. As an offense, the Bucks are hitting on 47.3% from the floor, which is 19th in the league. Milwaukee has earned 9,589 pts so far this season (116.9 per contest) and they pull in 48.6 rebounds per game. Their rate of earning assists is at 25.8 times per contest (12th in basketball) and they turn the ball over 14.6 times per contest. The Bucks commit 18.1 fouls per game and they connect on 74.3% from the free throw line.

The Milwaukee defense allows 35.4% on shots from 3-point land (991 of 2,799) and opponents are converting on 77.6% of their free throw shots. They have relinquished 23.9 dimes and 44.2 total boards per game, which has them ranked 5th and 20th in the NBA. The Bucks on defense are ranked 14th in basketball in points given up per game with 113.3. They are able to force 11.8 turnovers per game and have let teams shoot 45.6% from the field (2nd in basketball).

Who will win tonight's NBA game against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Miami (+6)

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