Miami Heat vs Milwaukee Bucks Prediction, 4/16/2023 Preview and Pick

Game: Miami Heat vs Milwaukee Bucks

Date: Sunday, April 16, 2023

Location: Fiserv Forum in Milwaukee, WI

TV: TNT

Odds/Point Spread: Miami (+10)

The Milwaukee Bucks will try to beat the Miami Heat at Fiserv Forum on Sunday. Milwaukee opens this contest as 10-point favorites from Vegas oddsmakers. The total comes in at 219.

The Heat took the court against the Bulls and earned the victory with a final of 102-91 in their last game. Miami finished having earned a 41.0% field goal percentage (32 of 78) and buried 10 of 30 shots from downtown. From the free throw line, the Heat knocked down 28 of their 32 tries for a rate of 87.5%. In reference to pulling down rebounds, they earned a total of 51 with 41 of them being on the offensive end. They also recorded 19 assists in the matchup in addition to forcing the other team into 11 turnovers and getting 7 steals. In regard to the defense, Miami allowed the other team to go 43.9% from the field on 36 of 82 shooting. Chicago earned 24 assists and had 5 steals in this game. Moreover, Chicago collected 37 rebounds (5 offensive, 32 defensive) and added 2 rejections. Chicago went 73.3% from the charity stripe by making 11 of their 15 attempts. They also made 8 out of their 28 shots from 3-point land. In regard to personal fouls, the Heat ended up finishing with 20 and the Bulls recorded 25 personal fouls.

Jimmy Butler is someone who was a contributor in the matchup. He ended up scoring 31 points on 11 of 24 shooting. He saw the court for 43 minutes played and also totaled 5 rebounds. Butler finished the contest at 45.8% from the floor and dished out 3 assists.

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Miami comes into this game with a record of 44-38 this year. They average 109.5 pts per contest (30th in the league) while shooting 46.0% from the field. The Heat are shooting 34.4% on shots from distance (980 of 2,852) and 83.1% from the free throw line. As a team, Miami is pulling in 40.6 boards per game and has accounted for 1,955 assists this season, which is 25th in basketball in terms of passing the ball. They turn it over 13.5 times per contest and as a team they commit 18.5 personal fouls on a nightly basis.

On defense, the Heat have forced 15.7 turnovers per game while drawing 20.0 personal fouls. They give up 36.7% on shots from downtown and they are ranked 2nd in the NBA in PPG allowed (109.8). The Heat defense is allowing and opponent field goal percentage of 48.2% (3,288 of 6,822) and they relinquish 41.8 rebounds per game as a team. They are ranked 14th in the league in allowing assists with 2,097 conceded this year.

In their last game, the Bucks took a loss by a final score of 121-105 when they faced the Raptors. When discussing how they cleaned up the glass, Milwaukee permitted Toronto to get 45 in total (7 offensive). They finished the game shooting 33.3% from distance by shooting 11 out of 33 and ended up shooting 14 out of 16 from the free throw line (87.5%). The Bucks allowed the Raptors to bury 48 out of 95 attempts from the field which had them at 50.5% for the game. When the final whistle was blown, the Bucks shot 38 for 82 from the field which had them at 46.3%. When talking about 3-pointers, Milwaukee knocked down 12 of their 34 attempts (35.3%). They were able to make 17 of them for a rate of 81.0%. The Raptors committed 19 personal fouls for the matchup which took the Bucks to the free throw line for 21 tries. They turned it over 14 times, while earning 5 steals for the game. The Bucks earned 31 defensive boards and 7 offensive rebounds totaling 38 in the game.

Lindell Wigginton ended up being important for the Bucks in this contest. Wigginton totaled 17 points in his 27 minutes of playing time and accumulated 1 assist for the game. He made 5 of 8 for the game for a rate of 62.5%, and had 1 rebound.

Milwaukee has a record of 58-24 on the year. The Bucks are committing 18.1 fouls per contest and they hit 74.3% from the free throw line. Their rate of earning assists is at 25.8 times per contest (12th in basketball) and they turn it over 14.6 times per contest. Milwaukee has tallied 9,589 points for the year (116.9 per contest) and they average 48.6 boards per contest. On the offensive side of the ball, the Bucks are shooting 47.3% from the floor, which is ranked 19th in the league.

The Bucks on the defensive side of the court are 14th in the NBA in points allowed per contest with 113.3. They are forcing their opponents into 11.8 turnovers on a nightly basis and have allowed teams to shoot 45.6% from the floor (2nd in the league). The Milwaukee defense gives up 35.4% on 3-point attempts (991 of 2,799) and opponents are connecting on 77.6% of their shots from the charity stripe. They relinquish 23.9 assists and 44.2 total rebounds per game, which has them ranked 5th and 20th in the league.

Who will win tonight's NBA game against the spread?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Miami (+10)

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