Miami Heat vs Milwaukee Bucks Prediction, 2/24/2023 Preview and Pick

Game: Miami Heat vs Milwaukee Bucks

Date: Friday, February 24, 2023

Location: Fiserv Forum in Milwaukee, WI

TV: Bally Sports Wisconsin

Odds/Point Spread: Miami (+1)

The Milwaukee Bucks will play the Miami Heat at Fiserv Forum on Friday. Milwaukee opens this game as 1-point favorites. The betting total is set at 232.

The Heat faced off with the Nets and took a loss by a final of 116-105 in their last game. Concerning fouls, the Heat walked away with 18 while the Nets recorded 27 fouls. They also converted 17 out of their 39 attempts from 3-point land. Brooklyn shot 85.0% at the charity stripe by burying 17 of 20 attempts. Furthermore, Brooklyn collected 36 rebounds (5 offensive, 31 defensive) and earned 3 blocks. Brooklyn doled out 26 assists and had 3 steals for this game. In terms of the defense, Miami allowed the other team to shoot 53.2% from the floor on 41 of 77 shooting. They also recorded 19 assists for the matchup in addition to creating 11 turnovers and getting 4 steals. When it comes to pulling down rebounds, they earned 41 with 12 of them being on the offensive end. From the charity stripe, the Heat made 21 of 29 attempts for a percentage of 72.4%. Miami wrapped up the game having earned a 45.8% FG percentage (38 out of 83) and knocked down 8 out of their 28 shots from distance.

Bam Adebayo is a player who played a role for this contest. Adebayo finished the game shooting 52.6% from the floor and also totaled 6 assists. He played for 38 mins and grabbed 13 rebounds. He ended up with 24 points on 10 out of 19 shooting.

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Miami will take the court with a record of 32-27 for the season. They are turning it over 13.3 times per contest and as a team they are committing 18.8 fouls per game. As a team, Miami is snagging 41.4 rebounds per game and has accounted for 1,382 dimes this season, which ranks 24th in basketball in terms of passing the rock. The Heat are connecting on 33.4% on 3-point shots (686 of 2,054) and 82.8% from the charity stripe. They average 108.3 pts per contest (30th in the NBA) while hitting 45.2% from the field.

Defensively, the Heat are forcing their opponents into 16.3 turnovers per game while drawing 19.9 fouls. They are 13th in the league in giving up assists with 1,486 conceded so far this season. The Heat defensively are giving up a shooting percentage of 47.7% (2,328 of 4,880) and they surrender 42.2 boards per game as a group. They concede 36.7% on shots from downtown and they rank 2nd in the league in points per game allowed (108.3).

The last time they took the hardwood, the Bucks got the win with a final of 112-100 when they faced the Bulls. The Bucks were able to snag 43 defensive boards and 9 offensive rebounds for a total of 52 in the game. They also turned the ball over 8 times, while earning 4 steals in this matchup. The Bulls committed 17 fouls in this contest which got the Bucks to the free throw line for a total of 18 tries. They were able to make 14 of those for a rate of 77.8%. Pertaining to 3-pointers, Milwaukee converted 18 of 47 tries (38.3%). At the conclusion of this game, the Bucks finished the game shooting 40 out of 88 from the floor which gave them a shooting percentage of 45.5%. The Bucks allowed the Bulls to convert 37 out of 97 tries from the floor which had them sitting at 38.1% for the contest. They went 31.3% from distance by connecting on 10 of 32 and ended up going 16 out of 21 from the free throw line (76.2%). In regard to rebounds, Milwaukee allowed Chicago to collect 51 overall (15 on the offensive side).

Brook Lopez was important for the Bucks in this contest. He converted 13 out of 18 for the contest for a field goal rate of 72.2%, and earned 7 rebounds. Lopez totaled 33 points in his 33 minutes on the court and had 2 assists for the contest.

Milwaukee has a mark of 41-17 on the campaign. The Bucks are committing 18.4 fouls per game while shooting 73.8% from the free throw line. They are assisting teammates 24.7 times per game (18th in basketball) and they are turning it over 15.0 times per contest. Milwaukee has accounted for 6,660 points for the year (114.8 per game) and they grab 49.2 rebounds per game. On the offensive side of the court, the Bucks are hitting on 46.3% from the floor, which ranks 23rd in the league.

The Milwaukee defense gives up 34.6% from downtown (671 of 1,941) and opponents are connecting on 77.9% of their shots from the charity stripe. They have given up 22.8 assists and 44.1 boards every game, which has them ranked 2nd and 20th in basketball. The Bucks on defense are ranked 6th in the league in points per game surrendered with 111.6. They are forcing 12.0 TO's per game and allow teams to shoot 45.3% from the field (2nd in the league).

So what is Tonights Parlay prediction?

Parlay's Pundit's Pick: Take Milwaukee (-1) and under 232 points

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