Miami Heat vs Detroit Pistons Prediction, 4/4/2023 Preview and Pick

Game: Miami Heat vs Detroit Pistons

Date: Tuesday, April 4, 2023

Location: Little Caesars Arena in Detroit, MI

TV: Bally Sports Detroit

Odds/Point Spread: Miami (-11)

Little Caesars Arena is the location where the Detroit Pistons will attempt to defeat the Miami Heat on Tuesday. Miami opens this contest as 11-point favorites. The total comes in at 232.

The Heat took the court against the Mavericks and went home with a win by a final score of 129-122 in their last game. With respect to fouls, the Heat left the arena with 16 while the Mavericks totaled 23 fouls. They knocked down 14 of 34 attempts from three-point range. Dallas finished shooting 87.5% from the free throw line by burying 14 of their 16 shots. Moreover, Dallas grabbed 31 boards (1 offensive, 30 defensive), but wasn't able to record a block. Dallas distributed 32 dimes and had 3 steals in the game. In reference to defending, Miami let their opponent shoot 61.0% from the floor on 47 of 77 shooting. They also doled out 27 assists in the matchup while forcing the other team into 14 turnovers and having 6 steals. Regarding pulling down boards, they collected a total of 36 with 10 of them being offensive. From the charity stripe, the Heat converted 26 of their 29 attempts for a rate of 89.7%. Miami wrapped up the game with a 52.3% FG percentage (45 out of 86) and made 13 of their 37 3-pointers.

Jimmy Butler is someone who came through in this contest. He ended up with 35 points on 12 out of 16 shooting. He saw the court for 37 mins and also totaled 3 boards. Butler finished the contest at 75.0% from the floor and recorded 12 dimes.

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Miami comes into this one with a record of 41-37 so far this season. They are giving up possession 13.5 times per contest and as a group are committing 18.4 fouls on a nightly basis. As a unit, Miami is snagging 40.6 boards per game and is sitting with 1,834 assists for the season, which ranks 25th in basketball in terms of passing the ball. The Heat are connecting on 34.1% on shots beyond the perimeter (916 of 2,686) and 83.3% from the charity stripe. They are averaging 109.0 pts per game (30th in the league) while connecting on 45.7% from the floor.

On the defensive end, the Heat are able to force 15.7 turnovers per contest and they draw 20.1 personal fouls. They relinquish 37.0% on shots from beyond the perimeter and they rank 2nd in the league in PPG allowed (109.9). The Heat defensively are allowing a FG percentage of 48.3% (3,136 of 6,499) and they relinquish 41.9 boards per game as a basketball team. They currently rank 16th in basketball in allowing assists to their opponents with 2,001 relinquished so far this season.

The last time they took the court, the Pistons went home defeated by a final of 128-102 against the Magic. The Pistons were able to collect 29 defensive rebounds and 9 offensive boards totaling 38 for this contest. They also coughed up the ball 16 times, while earning 4 steals in the matchup. The Magic committed 26 fouls for this contest which got the Pistons to the free throw line for 36 shots. They were able to knock down 29 of the free throw tries for a clip of 80.6%. Regarding shots from 3-point land, Detroit knocked down 9 out of 33 tries (27.3%). In all, the Pistons finished the game shooting 32 for 78 from the field which gave them a percentage of 41.0%. The Pistons allowed the Magic to knock down 43 of 75 attempts from the floor which left them with a shooting percentage of 57.3% in the matchup. They finished the game shooting 51.5% from beyond the perimeter via 17 of 33 and finished the contest at 25 out of 40 from the free throw line (62.5%). With respect to rebounds, Detroit allowed Orlando to collect 41 in all (7 offensive).

Killian Hayes was important for the Pistons in this game. Hayes tallied 20 points in his 34 mins on the hardwood and added 7 assists for the contest. He knocked down 6 of 12 in the game for a field goal percentage of 50.0%, and tallied 2 rebounds.

Detroit has a win-loss record of 16-62 for the year. The Pistons commit 22.2 fouls every game and they hit 76.9% from the charity stripe. Their rate of assisting teammates is at 23.0 times per contest (27th in basketball) and they turn it over 15.0 times per game. Detroit has accounted for 8,629 pts so far this season (110.6 per game) and they pull down 42.4 rebounds per contest. When it comes to executing on offense, the Pistons are connecting on 45.4% from the floor, which has them ranked 30th in the NBA.

The Pistons on defense are ranked 27th in basketball in points allowed per contest with 118.7. They are forcing their opponents into 13.6 turnovers on a nightly basis and have allowed teams to shoot 48.9% from the floor (26th in basketball). The Detroit defense gives up 36.1% from downtown (937 of 2,592) and their opposition knocks down 77.6% of their foul shots. They surrender 25.6 dimes and 45.0 rebounds every game, ranking them 15th and 26th in the league.

Who will win tonight's NBA game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Detroit (+11)

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