Miami Heat vs Detroit Pistons Prediction, 3/19/2023 Preview and Pick

Game: Miami Heat vs Detroit Pistons

Date: Sunday, March 19, 2023

Location: Little Caesars Arena in Detroit, MI

TV: Bally Sports Detroit

Odds/Point Spread: Miami (-10)

The Detroit Pistons will try to defeat the Miami Heat at Little Caesars Arena on Sunday. Detroit opens this matchup as 10-point dogs. The total comes in at 234.

The Heat faced off with the Grizzlies and took home the win by a score of 138-119 in their last game. When talking about personal fouls, the Heat left the arena with 16 and the Grizzlies finished the game with 20 personal fouls. They also converted 18 out of their 46 tries from long range. Memphis finished the game shooting 64.3% when shooting free throws by knocking down 9 of 14 attempts. Furthermore, Memphis collected 39 rebounds (12 offensive, 27 defensive) and earned 5 blocked shots. Memphis earned 29 dimes and had 6 steals for the matchup. Concerning defense, Miami allowed their opponent to shoot 50.5% from the field on 46 out of 91 shooting. They also doled out 33 assists in this game in addition to forcing the other team into 16 turnovers and having 8 steals. In relation to hauling in boards, they collected 41 with 8 of them being offensive. At the charity stripe, the Heat converted 27 of 33 shots for a rate of 81.8%. Miami finished the contest with a 59.8% FG percentage (49 of 82) and buried 13 out of their 29 3-point shots.

Bam Adebayo is someone who was a major contributor in the game. He notched 26 points on 10 out of 15 shooting. He played 33 minutes played and also totaled 8 rebounds. Adebayo finished the game at 66.7% from the floor and distributed 3 assists.

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Miami enters this contest with a record of 38-33 for the season. They currently have an average of 109.1 pts per contest (30th in the league) while connecting on 45.6% from the floor. The Heat are hitting 33.9% from downtown (829 of 2,443) and 83.1% from the charity stripe. As a unit, Miami is pulling down 40.9 boards per game and is sitting with 1,663 dimes so far this year, which is 23rd in the league in terms of passing. They turn the ball over 13.6 times per game and as a unit are committing 18.7 fouls on a nightly basis.

When they are on defense, the Heat have forced 16.0 turnovers per game while drawing 20.2 personal fouls. They give up 36.8% from beyond the arc and they are ranked 2nd in the NBA in PPG allowed (109.6). The Heat defense is allowing an opponent shooting percentage of 47.9% (2,837 of 5,920) and they concede 42.1 rebounds per game as a group. They are 15th in the league in allowing assists with 1,796 relinquished so far this year.

When they last stepped on the court, the Pistons took a defeat with a final score of 119-100 against the Nuggets. When discussing how they attacked the glass, Detroit allowed Denver to grab 47 in total (13 on the offensive glass). They went 33.3% from three-point range by going 8 out of 24 and ended up shooting 17 out of 25 at the charity stripe (68.0%). The Pistons allowed the Nuggets to convert 47 of their 89 attempts from the floor which left them with a rate of 52.8% in the game. Overall, the Pistons went 39 for 85 from the field which gave them a shooting percentage of 45.9%. Regarding shooting from downtown, Detroit made 12 of 27 tries (44.4%). They were able to knock down 10 of the free throw tries for a percentage of 55.6%. The Nuggets had 15 personal fouls in the matchup which took the Pistons to the charity stripe for a total of 18 attempts. They also coughed up the ball 17 times, while recording 8 steals in the matchup. The Pistons were able to corral 24 defensive boards and 13 offensive rebounds for a total of 37 for this game.

Rodney McGruder ended up being a factor for the Pistons for the matchup. He made 7 out of 15 for this game giving him a rate of 46.7%, and had 8 rebounds. McGruder recorded 20 points in his 34 mins of playing time and tallied 3 dimes in this contest.

Detroit has a record of 16-55 this year. When it comes to offensive execution, the Pistons are shooting 45.4% from the floor, which ranks them 30th in the league. Detroit has totaled 7,885 points for the year (111.1 per contest) and they average 42.7 boards per game. They are assisting teammates 22.9 times per game (26th in the NBA) and they are turning it over 15.1 times per game. The Pistons are committing 22.1 personal fouls every game and they hit 76.8% from the free throw line.

The Pistons on defense are ranked 29th in the NBA in points allowed per contest with 118.6. They are able to force 13.9 TO's every game and allow teams to shoot 49.1% from the field (27th in the league). The Detroit defense surrenders 36.1% on shots from beyond the perimeter (845 of 2,340) and their opponents are making 77.7% of their shots from the free throw line. They concede 25.6 dimes and 44.8 total boards per game, which ranks them 16th and 24th in basketball.

Who will win tonight's NBA game against the spread?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Miami (-10)

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