Miami Heat vs Denver Nuggets Prediction, 6/4/2023 Preview and Pick

Game: Miami Heat vs Denver Nuggets

Date: Sunday, June 4, 2023

Location: Ball Arena in Denver, CO

TV: ABC

Odds/Point Spread: Miami (+9)

Ball Arena is the site where the Denver Nuggets will meet the Miami Heat on Sunday in Game 2 of the NBA Finals. The Nuggets lead 1-0. Denver opens this contest as 9-point favorites from Vegas oddsmakers. The betting total comes in at 212.5.

The Heat took a loss by a final of 104-93 in Game 1. When talking about fouls, the Heat ended up finishing with 15 and the Nuggets finished the game with 8 fouls. They also converted 8 of 27 attempts from 3-point range. Denver ended up shooting 80.0% when shooting free throws by knocking down 16 of 20 attempts. Furthermore, Denver collected 45 boards (6 offensive, 39 defensive) and got 4 rejections. Denver earned 29 assists and had 4 steals for this contest. When it comes to defending, Miami allowed the other team to go 50.6% from the floor on 40 of 79 shooting. They also distributed 26 assists for this game in addition to forcing the opposition into 10 turnovers and earning 5 steals. Pertaining to getting rebounds, they earned 43 with 11 of them being on the offensive end. At the free throw line, the Heat converted 2 of 2 attempts for a rate of 100.0%. Miami finished the contest having earned a 40.6% FG percentage (39 out of 96) and converted 13 of their 39 3-point shots.

Bam Adebayo is one player who played a role in this game. Adebayo finished 52.0% from the field and also distributed 5 assists. He played 40 minutes and also totaled 13 rebounds. He was able to score 26 points on 13 of 25 shooting.

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Miami comes into this game with a mark of 44-38 so far this year. They turn the ball over 13.5 times per contest and as a basketball team they commit 18.5 personal fouls every game. As a unit, Miami is grabbing 40.6 rebounds per game and is sitting with 1,955 dimes on the year, which is 25th in the league in terms of passing. The Heat are shooting 34.4% on 3-pointers (980 of 2,852) and 83.1% from the charity stripe. They average 109.5 points per game (30th in the league) while shooting 46.0% from the floor.

On the defensive end of the court, the Heat are forcing 15.7 turnovers per game and they draw 20.0 personal fouls. They relinquish 36.7% on shots from beyond the perimeter and they are 2nd in the NBA in PPG allowed (109.8). The Heat are giving up a FG percentage of 48.2% (3,288 of 6,822) and they relinquish 41.8 boards per game as a group. They are currently ranked 14th in basketball in giving up assists to their opponents with 2,097 surrendered this season.

When it comes to rebounding in Game 1, Denver permitted Miami to collect 43 in total (11 offensive). They finished shooting 33.3% from behind the 3-point line by hitting 13 out of 39 and ended up shooting 2 of 2 at the free throw line (100.0%). The Nuggets allowed the Heat to make 39 of 96 attempts from the field which left them with a shooting percentage of 40.6% for the contest. Overall, the Nuggets went 40 out of 79 from the floor which had them sitting at 50.6%. With respect to shots from distance, Denver converted 8 out of 27 attempts (29.6%). They were able to convert 16 of those for a percentage of 80.0%. The Heat committed 15 personal fouls in the game which took the Nuggets to the charity stripe for 20 attempts. They also turned the ball over 10 times, while earning 4 steals in this contest. The Nuggets collected 39 defensive rebounds and 6 offensive rebounds totaling 45 in this game.

Nikola Jokic ended up having an impact for the Nuggets in the matchup. Jokic recorded 27 points in his 40 minutes on the hardwood and had 14 assists in this matchup. He made 8 out of 12 for the game for a rate of 66.7%, and had 10 rebounds.

Denver has a win-loss mark of 53-29 this year. When it comes to executing on offense, the Nuggets are hitting on 50.4% from the floor, which ranks 1st in the league. Denver has accounted for 9,495 points so far this year (115.8 per game) and they pull in 43.0 boards per game. Their rate of earning assists is at 28.9 times per game (2nd in the league) and they cough up possession 14.5 times per game. The Nuggets are committing 18.6 fouls every game and they go 75.1% from the charity stripe.

The Nuggets defensively are ranked 8th in the league in points allowed per contest with 112.5. They are forcing their opponents into 13.5 TO's per game and allow teams to shoot 47.8% from the floor (20th in the league). The Denver defense gives up 34.4% from downtown (933 of 2,711) and opponents are connecting on 77.5% of their foul shots. They have surrendered 25.7 assists and 40.8 total boards per game, which has them ranked 16th and 1st in the league.

Who will win tonight's NBA game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Denver (-9)

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