Miami Heat vs Dallas Mavericks Prediction, 1/20/2023 Preview and Pick

Game: Miami Heat vs Dallas Mavericks

Date: Friday, January 20, 2023

Location: American Airlines Center in Dallas, TX

TV: Bally Sports Southwest

The Dallas Mavericks will take on the Miami Heat at American Airlines Center on Friday.

The Heat took the court against the Pelicans and went home with a win by a final score of 124-98 in their last game. When discussing fouls, the Heat finished with 17 while the Pelicans accumulated 17 fouls. They converted 13 of 30 shots from three-point range. New Orleans walked away from this one shooting 61.1% at the charity stripe by making 11 of their 18 tries. On top of that, New Orleans grabbed 38 boards (9 offensive, 29 defensive) and had 2 rejections. New Orleans distributed 27 dimes and had 5 steals in this matchup. In terms of the defense, Miami allowed the other team to shoot 46.3% from the field on 37 out of 80 shooting. They also doled out 37 assists for the contest while creating 18 turnovers and having 11 steals. When it comes to getting rebounds, they compiled a total of 43 with 10 of them being offensive. From the free throw line, the Heat buried 12 of 16 tries for a rate of 75.0%. Miami ended the game with a 53.2% FG percentage (50 out of 94) and made 12 of their 35 shots from 3-point land.

Bam Adebayo is one guy who was a major contributor for the contest. He racked up 26 points on 11 of 15 shooting. He was on the court for 31 mins and collected 8 rebounds. Adebayo finished 73.3% from the floor and distributed 1 assist.

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Miami will play this game with a mark of 25-21 this season. They lose possession by turning the ball over 13.5 times per game and as a group they are committing 18.8 fouls on a nightly basis. As a unit, Miami is pulling down 41.4 boards per contest and has 1,097 assists this season, which ranks 19th in basketball in terms of passing the rock. The Heat are hitting 33.8% on 3-point shots (557 of 1,646) and 83.0% from the charity stripe. They are averaging 109.2 points per contest (29th in basketball) while hitting 45.5% from the floor.

Defensively, the Heat have forced 16.4 turnovers per game and they draw 19.6 fouls. They are 23rd in basketball in giving up assists with 1,165 surrendered on the season. The Heat defensively are giving up a shooting percentage of 47.5% (1,823 of 3,840) and they surrender 42.3 rebounds per game as a basketball team. They give up 36.9% on shots from distance and they rank 3rd in basketball in PPG allowed (108.6).

When they last played, the Mavericks went home defeated by a final of 130-122 when they faced the Hawks. With respect to how they rebounded, Dallas permitted Atlanta to get 35 overall (7 on the offensive glass). They finished shooting 50.0% from behind the 3-point line by shooting 13 of 26 and walked away from this one shooting 19 out of 20 at the free throw line (95.0%). The Mavericks permitted the Hawks to convert 49 of 86 tries from the field which gave them a rate of 57.0% for this contest. When the final whistle was blown, the Mavericks finished 44 for 84 from the field which gave them a percentage of 52.4%. When discussing 3-point attempts, Dallas buried 16 of 42 tries (38.1%). They were able to convert 18 of those for a rate of 75.0%. The Hawks earned 23 fouls for this contest which got the Mavericks to the free throw line for a total of 24 attempts. They gave up possession of the ball 16 times, while earning 5 steals for the game. The Mavericks earned 21 defensive boards and 10 offensive boards for a total of 31 in this contest.

Luka Doncic ended up having an impact for the Mavericks in this matchup. Doncic totaled 30 points in his 39 mins on the court and had 8 dimes in the game. He made 9 out of 19 for the matchup giving him a field goal percentage of 47.4%, and earned 4 rebounds.

Dallas has a win-loss record of 24-22 so far this year. As an offensive team, the Mavericks are hitting on 47.2% from the field, which is ranked 17th in the league. Dallas has earned 5,193 points on the season (112.9 per contest) and they average 38.7 boards per game. They are dishing out assists 22.2 times per contest (29th in the league) and they turn it over 12.5 times per contest. The Mavericks commit 21.1 fouls per game and they connect on 74.4% from the charity stripe.

The Mavericks defensively are ranked 13th in basketball in points allowed per contest with 112.7. They are forcing 13.7 TO's per game and allow teams to shoot 48.1% from the field (25th in basketball). The Dallas defense gives up 35.7% on shots from beyond the perimeter (518 of 1,452) and opponents are making 77.9% of their shots from the charity stripe. They have conceded 24.3 assists and 44.0 rebounds on a nightly basis, which is 10th and 20th in basketball.

Who will win tonight's NBA game against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Dallas

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