Miami Heat vs Charlotte Hornets Prediction, 2/25/2023 Preview and Pick

Game: Miami Heat vs Charlotte Hornets

Date: Saturday, February 25, 2023

Location: Spectrum Center in Charlotte, NC

TV: Bally Sports Southeast-Charlotte

Odds/Point Spread: Miami (-6)

Spectrum Center is the site where the Charlotte Hornets will meet the Miami Heat on Saturday. Charlotte opens this matchup as 6-point underdogs. The over/under is 232.

The Heat stepped onto the hardwood against the Nets and walked away from this one with a loss by a score of 116-105 in their last contest. When talking about fouls, the Heat ended up finishing with 18 while the Nets had 27 fouls. They buried 17 out of their 39 tries from beyond the arc. Brooklyn finished shooting 85.0% at the free throw line by converting 17 of 20 shots. Additionally, Brooklyn collected 36 rebounds (5 offensive, 31 defensive) and earned 3 blocks. Brooklyn recorded 26 dimes and had 3 steals in the matchup. In the matter of the defense, Miami allowed 53.2% from the field on 41 of 77 shooting. They also recorded 19 assists in the matchup while forcing 11 turnovers and earning 4 steals. In regard to rebounding, they compiled 41 with 12 of them being offensive. From the charity stripe, the Heat made 21 of their 29 shots for a percentage of 72.4%. Miami walked away from the game with a 45.8% field goal percentage (38 of 83) and converted 8 out of their 28 3-point shots.

Bam Adebayo is a guy who came through for the contest. Adebayo finished the contest at 52.6% from the field and totaled 6 dimes. He played for 38 minutes and collected 13 rebounds. He finished with 24 points on 10 out of 19 shooting.

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Miami heads into this matchup with a record of 32-27 so far this season. They are averaging 108.3 points per game (30th in basketball) while connecting on 45.2% from the field. The Heat are connecting on 33.4% on 3-point shots (686 of 2,054) and 82.8% from the free throw line. As a unit, Miami is pulling down 41.4 boards per game and has earned 1,382 assists so far this year, which ranks 25th in the league in terms of passing. They are giving up possession 13.3 times per contest and as a unit they are committing 18.8 fouls per contest.

On defense, the Heat have forced 16.3 turnovers per game while drawing 19.9 personal fouls. They rank 11th in basketball in allowing assists with 1,486 surrendered for the season. The Heat are allowing a field goal percentage of 47.7% (2,328 of 4,880) and they concede 42.2 boards per game as a unit. They give up 36.7% on shots from beyond the perimeter and they are 2nd in the NBA in points per game allowed (108.3).

The last time they took the court, the Hornets walked away with a victory by a final of 120-110 against the Spurs. In relation to how they attacked the glass, Charlotte permitted San Antonio to get 58 in all (20 offensive). They shot 34.2% from beyond the arc via 13 of 38 and ended up going 15 out of 20 at the free throw line (75.0%). The Hornets permitted the Spurs to convert 41 of their 107 tries from the field which gave them a shooting percentage of 38.3% for this contest. At the conclusion of this game, the Hornets went 43 for 96 from the floor which gave them a percentage of 44.8%. In terms of three-point shots, Charlotte converted 14 of 35 attempts (40.0%). They were able to make 20 of the free throw attempts for a percentage of 69.0%. The Spurs had 24 fouls in this game which took the Hornets to the charity stripe for 29 attempts. They coughed up the ball 15 times, while earning 8 steals for the contest. The Hornets snagged 43 defensive rebounds and 15 offensive boards totaling 58 for this game.

LaMelo Ball ended up being important for the Hornets for the game. He knocked down 10 of 26 for this game for a field goal rate of 38.5%, and totaled 12 rebounds. Ball earned 28 points in his 39 minutes of playing time and tallied 10 assists in the matchup.

Charlotte has a record of 17-43 this season. The Hornets commit 20.7 fouls every game and they connect on 74.5% from the free throw line. Their rate of dishing out assists is at 25.3 times per contest (14th in basketball) and they are turning it over 13.8 times per contest. Charlotte has earned 6,750 points this year (112.5 per contest) and they pull in 44.9 rebounds per game. As an offensive team, the Hornets are hitting on 45.5% from the floor, which has them ranked 27th in the league.

The Hornets defensively are ranked 28th in the NBA in points allowed per contest with 118.9. They have forced 15.0 turnovers per game and allow teams to shoot 48.0% from the field (24th in the league). The Charlotte defense gives up 36.8% on shots from 3-point land (778 of 2,116) and their opposition knocks down 79.4% of their shots from the charity stripe. They have relinquished 26.6 assists and 46.7 total boards per game, which is ranked 30th and 29th in the NBA.

Who will win tonight's NBA game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Miami (-6)

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