Miami Heat vs Boston Celtics Prediction, 5/29/2023 Preview and Pick

Game: Miami Heat vs Boston Celtics

Date: Monday, May 29, 2023

Location: TD Garden in Boston, MA

TV: TNT

Odds/Point Spread: Miami (+9)

The Boston Celtics will go up against the Miami Heat at TD Garden on Monday in Game 7 of the Eastern Conference Finals. Miami opens this contest as 9-point dogs. The total has been set at 203.

The Heat ended up losing by a score of 104-103 in Game 6 on a buzzer beating tip-in by Derrick White. Miami wrapped up the contest having earned a 35.5% FG percentage (33 out of 93) and knocked down 14 of their 30 three-point shots. At the free throw line, the Heat knocked down 23 of 29 shots for a percentage of 79.3%. In reference to getting rebounds, they compiled a total of 47 with 17 of them being of the offensive sort. They also recorded 22 assists in this contest as well as forcing 12 turnovers and earning 5 steals. When discussing defense, Miami allowed their opponent to shoot 43.6% from the floor on 34 out of 78 shooting. Boston distributed 18 assists and had 4 steals in this matchup. In addition, Boston grabbed 47 boards (12 offensive, 35 defensive) and earned 4 blocks. Boston ended up going 85.3% at the free throw line by making 29 of 34 attempts. They converted 7 of their 35 shots from beyond the perimeter. In reference to fouls, the Heat ended up finishing with 24 and the Celtics totaled 22 fouls.

Jimmy Butler is someone who was a factor for the contest. He ended up scoring 24 points on 5 of 21 shooting. He was on the court for 47 minutes played and also collected 11 boards. Butler shot 23.8% from the floor and distributed 8 assists.

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Miami comes into this game with a win-loss record of 44-38 for the year. They turn the ball over 13.5 times per contest and as a unit are committing 18.5 personal fouls every game. As a team, Miami is pulling down 40.6 rebounds per contest and has accounted for 1,955 assists for the year, which has them ranked 25th in the NBA in terms of passing the ball. The Heat are shooting 34.4% on shots from downtown (980 of 2,852) and 83.1% from the charity stripe. They are averaging 109.5 points per outing (30th in basketball) while shooting 46.0% from the floor.

On the defensive end of the court, the Heat are able to force 15.7 turnovers per contest and they draw 20.0 fouls. They give up 36.7% on 3-point attempts and they are ranked 2nd in the league in opponents PPG (109.8). The Heat are allowing an opponent FG percentage of 48.2% (3,288 of 6,822) and they relinquish 41.8 rebounds per contest as a group. They are 14th in the league in giving up assists with 2,097 surrendered for the season.

In terms of team rebounding in Game 6, Boston allowed Miami to pull down 47 in total (17 on the offensive side). They finished 46.7% from three-point range by shooting 14 of 30 and ended up going 23 of 29 at the charity stripe (79.3%). The Celtics allowed the Heat to make 33 of their 93 tries from the floor which had them sitting at 35.5% in the game. Overall, the Celtics ended up going 34 for 78 from the floor which gave them a shooting percentage of 43.6%. With regard to 3-point attempts, Boston knocked down 7 out of 35 tries (20.0%). They were able to make 29 of them for a percentage of 85.3%. The Heat had 24 personal fouls in the game which took the Celtics to the charity stripe for a total of 34 tries. They turned it over 12 times, while earning 4 steals for this game. The Celtics pulled down 35 defensive boards and 12 offensive boards for a total of 47 in this matchup.

Jayson Tatum pitched in for the Celtics for this contest. He made 8 of 22 for the contest for a field goal rate of 36.4%, and had 12 rebounds. Tatum totaled 31 points in his 44 minutes on the court and added 5 assists for the matchup.

Boston has a win-loss mark of 57-25 for the campaign. On the offensive side of the court, the Celtics are shooting 47.5% from the field, which ranks them 14th in the league. Boston has totaled 9,671 points so far this season (117.9 per game) and they collect 45.3 boards per game. They are dishing out assists 26.7 times per game (7th in the league) and they cough up possession 13.4 times per contest. The Celtics have committed 18.8 fouls every game and they hit 81.2% from the charity stripe.

The Celtics on defense are ranked 5th in the NBA in PPG allowed with 111.4. They are able to force 12.7 turnovers on a nightly basis and allow teams to shoot 46.3% from the field (5th in the NBA). The Boston defense surrenders 34.5% on shots from beyond the perimeter (954 of 2,763) and opponents are connecting on 76.9% of their free throw attempts. They have allowed 23.1 assists and 44.0 total boards per game, which has them ranked 2nd and 18th in the NBA.

So what is Tonights Parlay prediction?

Parlay's Pundit's Pick: Take Boston (-9) and under 203 points

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