Miami Heat vs Boston Celtics Prediction, 10/27/2023 Preview and Pick

Game: Miami Heat vs Boston Celtics

Date: Friday, October 27, 2023

Location: TD Garden in Boston, MA

TV: NBC Sports Boston

The Boston Celtics (57-25 last season) will try to beat the Miami Heat (44-38 last year) at TD Garden on Friday.

The Heat took the court against the Pistons and went home with a win by a final score of 103-102 in their last contest. When discussing personal fouls, the Heat ended up with 18 and the Pistons finished the game with 23 personal fouls. They knocked down 11 out of their 32 shots from beyond the perimeter. Detroit finished the game shooting 60.0% when shooting free throws by knocking down 9 of 15 shots. On top of that, Detroit totaled 56 boards (17 offensive, 39 defensive) and got 3 blocked shots. Detroit distributed 28 dimes and had 3 steals for the game. When talking about defending, Miami allowed the other team to shoot 44.6% from the field on 41 out of 92 shooting. They also dished out 22 dimes for the game in addition to forcing the other team into 16 turnovers and having 11 steals. In regard to hauling in boards, they compiled 48 with 16 of them being of the offensive variety. From the charity stripe, the Heat knocked down 21 of their 26 shots for a percentage of 80.8%. Miami ended the contest having earned a 40.2% FG percentage (37 of 92) and converted 8 of their 22 three-point shots.

Bam Adebayo is one guy who was a major factor for the game. Adebayo ended up going 53.8% from the field and also distributed 3 dimes. He was on the hardwood for 32 mins played and also totaled 8 boards. He ended up walking away with 22 points on 7 out of 13 shooting.

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Miami enters this contest after finishing with a mark of 44-38 last year. They had an average of 109.5 points per contest (30th in basketball) while shooting 46.0% from the field. The Heat connected on 34.4% on shots from distance (980 of 2,852) and 83.1% from the charity stripe. As a group, Miami pulled down 40.6 boards per contest and accumulated 1,955 assists throughout last season, which ranked 25th in the league in terms of passing. They gave up possession 13.5 times per game and as a group committed 18.5 personal fouls on a nightly basis.

On defense, the Heat forced their opponents into 15.7 turnovers per game and they drew 20.0 fouls. They gave up 36.7% from beyond the arc and they ranked 2nd in basketball in opponents points per game (109.8). The Heat defense allowed an opponent FG percentage of 48.2% (3,288 of 6,822) and they conceded 41.8 boards per game as a unit. They were 14th in basketball in giving up assists to the opposition with 2,097 surrendered last season.

In their last game, the Celtics went home victorious with a score of 108-104 when they played the Knicks. The Celtics collected 39 defensive boards and 7 offensive rebounds for a total of 46 in the game. They turned it over 13 times, while getting 6 steals for the matchup. The Knicks were called for 22 fouls in the matchup which took the Celtics to the free throw line for 26 shots. They were able to make 22 of the free throws for a percentage of 84.6%. In regard to 3-pointers, Boston converted 12 of 39 tries (30.8%). In all, the Celtics finished the game shooting 37 out of 77 from the floor which had them shooting 48.1%. The Celtics allowed the Knicks to make 36 of their 97 attempts from the floor which left them shooting 37.1% for this game. They wrapped up this game 43.9% from three-point range by shooting 18 out of 41 and finished the game at 14 out of 26 from the free throw line (53.8%). In relation to rebounding, Boston permitted New York to get 47 in total (17 offensive).

Jayson Tatum was important for the Celtics for the game. He buried 13 of 22 for the matchup for a rate of 59.1%, and added 11 rebounds. Tatum earned 34 points in his 39 mins on the court and had 4 dimes in the game.

Boston had a record of 57-25 last season. The Celtics were responsible for committing 18.8 personal fouls every game and they hit 81.2% from the charity stripe. They earned an assist 26.7 times per game (7th in the NBA) and they lost possession via turnover 13.4 times per contest. Boston earned 9,671 points throughout last year (117.9 per contest) and they collected 45.3 rebounds per game. When it comes to executing on offense, the Celtics shot 47.5% from the floor, which was ranked 14th in basketball.

The Celtics were ranked 5th in the league in points given up per game with 111.4. They forced their opponents into 12.7 TO's per game and let teams shoot 46.3% from the field (5th in the league). The Boston defense surrendered 34.5% on shots from behind the 3-point line (954 of 2,763) and opponents connected on 76.9% of their free throw attempts. They have allowed 23.1 dimes and 44.0 boards every game, which has them ranked 2nd and 18th in the NBA.

So what is Tonights Parlay prediction?

Parlay's Pundit's Pick: Take Boston and under the total points

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