Miami Heat vs Atlanta Hawks Prediction, 1/16/2023 Preview and Pick

Game: Miami Heat vs Atlanta Hawks

Date: Monday, January 16, 2023

Location: State Farm Arena in Atlanta, GA

TV: Bally Sports Southeast-Atlanta

Odds/Point Spread: Miami (-1)

The Miami Heat are hitting the road to State Farm Arena on Monday where they will try to beat the Atlanta Hawks. Atlanta is 1-point dogs. The total is 228.

The Heat stepped onto the hardwood against the Bucks and took home the win by a score of 111-95 in their last game. Miami finished the game having earned a 51.7% field goal percentage (45 out of 87) and made 11 of their 22 shots from downtown. From the free throw line, the Heat made 10 of 12 tries for a rate of 83.3%. Concerning grabbing rebounds, they compiled 51 with 13 of them being of the offensive sort. They also dished out 17 dimes in the game while creating 10 turnovers and earning 9 steals. With regard to defending, Miami allowed their opponent to shoot 40.5% from the field on 34 of 84 shooting. Milwaukee recorded 26 dimes and had 7 steals in this matchup. In addition, Milwaukee totaled 32 rebounds (7 offensive, 25 defensive) and had 3 rejections. Milwaukee ended up shooting 66.7% from the free throw line by knocking down 8 of their 12 shots. They also made 19 out of their 48 attempts from 3-point range. When talking about fouls, the Heat ended up finishing with 14 and the Bucks recorded 13 fouls.

Gabe Vincent is one player who was a factor for this game. He accumulated 27 points on 11 of 14 shooting. He played 40 minutes and totaled 3 rebounds. Vincent ended up shooting 78.6% from the field and earned 2 assists.

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Miami steps onto the hardwood with a record of 24-20 for the campaign. They are losing possession via turnover 13.5 times per game and as a squad they commit 18.8 personal fouls on a nightly basis. As a unit, Miami is pulling in 41.4 boards per contest and has earned 1,030 assists for the season, which ranks 23rd in the league in terms of passing the rock. The Heat are shooting 34.0% on 3-point shots (537 of 1,580) and 82.8% from the charity stripe. They average 108.8 points per outing (30th in the league) while going 45.2% from the floor.

On the defensive end, the Heat are forcing 16.4 turnovers every game while drawing 19.7 fouls. They are currently ranked 23rd in the NBA in allowing assists to their opponents with 1,111 relinquished for the campaign. The Heat defense is giving up a shooting percentage of 47.3% (1,741 of 3,684) and they surrender 42.8 rebounds per game as a team. They concede 36.6% from beyond the arc while they are 2nd in the league in points per game allowed (108.5).

When they last stepped on the hardwood, the Hawks got the victory with a final of 114-103 against the Raptors. Regarding rebounding, Atlanta permitted Toronto to snag 43 overall (11 offensive). They shot 24.1% from distance by connecting on 7 of 29 and ended up going 24 out of 30 from the charity stripe (80.0%). The Hawks allowed the Raptors to make 36 of their 87 attempts from the field which gave them a percentage of 41.4% in the game. When the final whistle was blown, the Hawks finished 43 for 84 from the floor which gave them a rate of 51.2%. In terms of 3-point attempts, Atlanta made 11 of their 27 tries (40.7%). They were able to knock down 17 of the free throws for a percentage of 94.4%. The Raptors were called for 19 fouls in the matchup which took the Hawks to the free throw line for 18 tries. They also gave up possession of the ball 11 times, while recording 6 steals in the game. The Hawks pulled down 35 defensive rebounds and 5 offensive rebounds totaling 40 for the contest.

Trae Young ended up having an impact for the Hawks for this game. He buried 9 of 17 in the game for a rate of 52.9%, but didn't pull down a board. Young had 29 points in his 38 mins on the court and had 9 assists in the matchup.

Atlanta has a win-loss mark of 21-22 this year. As an offensive unit, the Hawks are connecting on 46.8% from the floor, which ranks 19th in the league. Atlanta has accounted for 4,942 pts for the season (114.9 per contest) and they collect 44.1 boards per game. They are assisting teammates 24.0 times per contest (21st in basketball) and they are losing possession via turnover 12.8 times per contest. The Hawks have committed 19.3 fouls per game and they hit 82.0% from the charity stripe.

The Atlanta defense concedes 34.2% on shots from 3-point land (484 of 1,416) and their opponents are knocking down 80.3% of their shots from the free throw line. They allow 25.4 dimes and 47.2 boards on a nightly basis, which ranks them 18th and 29th in the NBA. The Hawks are ranked 20th in the league in points given up per game with 115.9. They are forcing their opponents into 15.0 TO's every game and allow teams to shoot 47.0% from the floor (14th in the league).

Who will win tonight's NBA game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Miami (-1)

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