Memphis Grizzlies vs Miami Heat Prediction, 3/15/2023 Preview and Pick

Game: Memphis Grizzlies vs Miami Heat

Date: Wednesday, March 15, 2023

Location: FTX Arena in Miami, FL

TV: Bally Sports Sun

Odds/Point Spread: Memphis (+3)

FTX Arena is where the Miami Heat will take on the Memphis Grizzlies on Wednesday. Miami opens this matchup as 3-point favorites from oddsmakers. The betting total is set at 230.

The Grizzlies faced the Mavericks and went home with a win by a final score of 104-88 in their last contest. When talking about personal fouls, the Grizzlies ended up finishing with 17 while the Mavericks recorded 16 personal fouls. They knocked down 12 of their 46 shots from three-point range. Dallas went 75.0% from the charity stripe by making 6 of 8 shots. Furthermore, Dallas snagged 41 rebounds (8 offensive, 33 defensive) and added 3 rejections. Dallas recorded 23 assists and had 3 steals in this matchup. In relation to defense, Memphis allowed the other team to go 38.9% from the field on 35 out of 90 shooting. They also recorded 23 assists in this matchup as well as forcing the other team into 13 turnovers and earning 9 steals. With regard to hauling in rebounds, they earned 47 with 7 of them being offensive. At the charity stripe, the Grizzlies converted 16 of their 19 tries for a percentage of 84.2%. Memphis finished the contest having earned a 45.8% field goal percentage (38 of 83) and knocked down 12 of 37 shots from distance.

Desmond Bane is someone who was a factor for the game. He ended up with 23 points on 7 out of 13 shooting. He saw the court for 29 mins and pulled down 8 boards. Bane shot 53.8% from the floor and recorded 7 assists.

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Memphis comes into this contest with a win-loss mark of 41-26 on the year. They average 115.6 points per game (11th in the NBA) while hitting 46.8% from the floor. The Grizzlies are hitting 34.3% on shots beyond the perimeter (767 of 2,234) and 72.8% from the free throw line. As a team, Memphis is pulling down 47.1 rebounds per game and has accumulated 1,699 assists for the year, which is 17th in the league in terms of passing the ball. They turn the ball over 13.7 times per contest and as a squad are committing 20.1 personal fouls per game.

Defensively, the Grizzlies have forced 15.3 turnovers per contest while drawing 20.6 fouls. They are 16th in basketball in giving up assists to their opponents with 1,750 relinquished so far this year. The Grizzlies defensively are allowing an opponent shooting percentage of 44.8% (2,688 of 6,003) and they concede 44.6 boards per contest as a squad. They are giving up 35.1% on shots from beyond the arc and they rank 5th in the league in points per game allowed (111.6).

The last time they took the hardwood, the Heat went home victorious with a score of 119-115 when they played the Jazz. When talking about rebounding, Miami permitted Utah to get 48 in total (16 offensive). They finished 42.1% from three-point range by shooting 16 of 38 and finished the game at 13 of 18 at the charity stripe (72.2%). The Heat allowed the Jazz to knock down 43 of their 90 tries from the floor which gave them a shooting percentage of 47.8% for the matchup. When the game finished, the Heat walked away from this one shooting 37 for 79 from the field which had them shooting 46.8%. Regarding shots from beyond the perimeter, Miami made 14 of their 34 attempts (41.2%). They were able to make 31 of those for a percentage of 86.1%. The Jazz committed 25 fouls for the matchup which took the Heat to the free throw line for a total of 36 tries. They gave up possession 13 times, while earning 12 steals for the game. The Heat were able to snag 28 defensive rebounds and 9 offensive rebounds for a total of 37 for the game.

Jimmy Butler ended up having an impact for the Heat in this matchup. Butler accumulated 24 points in his 31 mins of playing time and added 4 assists in this matchup. He converted 5 of 14 in this game giving him a rate of 35.7%, and tallied 8 rebounds.

Miami has a mark of 37-33 this season. As an offensive unit, the Heat are hitting on 45.4% from the field, which ranks them 30th in basketball. Miami has 7,610 pts this year (108.7 per game) and they collect 40.9 rebounds per contest. Their rate of assisting teammates is at 23.3 times per game (24th in the NBA) and they are turning it over 13.6 times per contest. The Heat commit 18.7 fouls every game and they hit 83.2% from the charity stripe.

The Miami defense allows 36.8% on three-point shots (918 of 2,496) and their opponents are converting on 78.1% of their foul shots. They have surrendered 25.2 assists and 42.1 total rebounds per game, which is 14th and 9th in basketball. The Heat are ranked 2nd in the league in points allowed per contest with 109.5. They have forced 16.0 TO's every game and have allowed teams to shoot 47.9% from the field (21st in the NBA).

Who will win tonight's NBA game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Miami (-3)

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