Los Angeles Lakers vs Miami Heat Prediction, 11/6/2023 Preview and Pick

Game: Los Angeles Lakers vs Miami Heat

Date: Monday, November 6, 2023

Location: Kaseya Center in Miami, FL

TV: Bally Sports Sun

Odds/Point Spread: Los Angeles (+1)

The Miami Heat (2-4) will go up against the Los Angeles Lakers (3-3) at Kaseya Center on Monday. Miami opens this contest as 1-point favorites. The total has been set at 220.

The Lakers stepped onto the hardwood against the Magic and went home with a loss by a final score of 120-101 in their last contest. In reference to fouls, the Lakers finished with 21 while the Magic totaled 18 fouls. They also made 12 out of their 33 tries from 3-point range. Orlando walked away from this one shooting 84.2% at the free throw line by burying 16 of their 19 shots. On top of that, Orlando snagged 51 rebounds (19 offensive, 32 defensive) and added 10 blocked shots. Orlando dished out 29 dimes and had 6 steals for this contest. In reference to defense, Los Angeles allowed 45.5% from the field on 46 of 101 shooting. They also recorded 17 dimes for the contest in addition to forcing the other team into 15 turnovers and having 6 steals. When discussing rebounding, they compiled 40 with 10 of them being on the offensive end. At the free throw line, the Lakers made 19 of 21 shots for a rate of 90.5%. Los Angeles finished having earned a 44.0% FG percentage (37 of 84) and buried 8 out of their 30 shots from beyond the arc.

Anthony Davis is a player who was a major factor in this game. Davis finished the game at 66.7% from the field and recorded 3 assists. He played 32 mins played and pulled down 13 rebounds. He scored 28 points on 10 out of 15 shooting.

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Los Angeles comes into this game with a record of 3-3 for the season. They are giving up possession 14.5 times per contest and as a basketball team are committing 20.8 fouls per contest. As a team, Los Angeles is pulling in 45.0 rebounds per game and has accounted for 147 dimes on the year, which ranks 14th in basketball in terms of passing. The Lakers are shooting 29.7% from downtown (57 of 192) and 78.5% from the free throw line. They have an average of 111.8 points per contest (16th in the league) while hitting 46.7% from the field.

On the defensive end, the Lakers are forcing 14.3 turnovers per game while drawing 22.5 personal fouls. They concede 37.2% on three-point shots while they are 20th in the NBA in points per game allowed (115.7). The Lakers defensively are giving up a FG percentage of 45.9% (262 of 571) and they concede 46.5 boards per game as a team. They currently rank 21st in the NBA in allowing assists to the opposition with 154 surrendered for the campaign.

When they last played, the Heat got the victory with a final of 121-114 when they faced the Wizards. With respect to how they cleaned up the glass, Miami allowed Washington to grab 30 in total (4 offensive). They finished 46.4% from distance by connecting on 13 out of 28 and ended up going 9 out of 17 from the free throw line (52.9%). The Heat allowed the Wizards to bury 46 of 81 attempts from the field which left them with a rate of 56.8% for the matchup. When this game wrapped up, the Heat finished 48 out of 80 from the field which gave them a rate of 60.0%. When it comes to 3-pointers, Miami buried 13 out of 27 tries (48.1%). They were able to make 12 of them for a percentage of 85.7%. The Wizards were called for 18 personal fouls in the game which got the Heat to the free throw line for a total of 14 attempts. They also coughed it up 19 times, while earning 9 steals in this game. The Heat recorded 30 defensive boards and 7 offensive boards for a total of 37 for the matchup.

Tyler Herro ended up being a factor for the Heat for the game. Herro had 24 points in his 37 minutes of playing time and had 9 dimes in this game. He knocked down 9 of 17 in this game for a field goal rate of 52.9%, and had 10 rebounds.

Miami has a win-loss mark of 2-4 on the campaign. The Heat are committing 17.3 fouls every game while shooting 80.9% from the free throw line. They are assisting teammates 25.7 times per game (13th in basketball) and they lose possession by turning the ball over 14.7 times per game. Miami has 644 points so far this year (107.3 per game) and they grab 43.0 rebounds per contest. On the offensive side of the court, the Heat are hitting on 45.3% from the field, which has them ranked 22nd in the league.

The Heat are ranked 16th in the league in points per game surrendered with 112.0. They are able to force 16.8 turnovers on a nightly basis and allow teams to shoot 49.1% from the floor (26th in basketball). The Miami defense concedes 38.8% on shots from behind the 3-point line (80 of 206) and opponents are making 67.8% of their shots from the charity stripe. They have given up 27.0 assists and 46.3 rebounds per contest, which has them ranked 22nd and 21st in the league.

Who will win tonight's NBA game against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Miami (-1)

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