Los Angeles Lakers vs Golden State Warriors Prediction, 5/2/2023 Preview and Pick

Game: Los Angeles Lakers vs Golden State Warriors

Date: Tuesday, May 2, 2023

Location: Chase Center in San Francisco, CA

TV: TNT

Odds/Point Spread: Los Angeles (+5)

The Golden State Warriors are hosting the Los Angeles Lakers at Chase Center on Tuesday in Game 1 of their series. Golden State opens as 5-point favorites. The betting total comes in at 227.5.

The Lakers faced the Grizzlies and earned the victory with a final of 125-85 in their last contest to close out their 1st round series. When talking about fouls, the Lakers ended up walking away with 16 and the Grizzlies finished the game with 17 fouls. They converted 12 of their 38 attempts from long range. Memphis finished the contest at 75.0% at the free throw line by converting 15 of 20 shots. On top of that, Memphis collected 45 boards (14 offensive, 31 defensive) and earned 15 rejections. Memphis earned 19 assists and had 10 steals for this game. Regarding the defense, Los Angeles allowed their opponent to shoot 30.2% from the field on 29 of 96 shooting. They also distributed 33 assists for the contest in addition to forcing the opposition into 14 turnovers and earning 6 steals. In relation to grabbing rebounds, they earned a total of 52 with 9 of them being on the offensive end. When they shot from the charity stripe, the Lakers converted 12 of their 15 shots for a rate of 80.0%. Los Angeles wrapped up the contest with a 53.8% FG percentage (49 of 91) and made 15 of their 44 shots from beyond the perimeter.

D'Angelo Russell is one guy who was a factor in the game. Russell shot 70.6% from the floor and also distributed 4 assists. He was on the hardwood for 30 minutes and also grabbed 2 rebounds. He ended up finishing with 31 points on 12 of 17 shooting.

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Los Angeles enters this game with a win-loss record of 43-39 for the season. They average 117.2 points per outing (6th in the league) on 48.2% from the floor. The Lakers are connecting on 34.6% on shots from distance (885 of 2,558) and 77.5% from the free throw line. As a unit, Los Angeles is snagging 45.7 rebounds per contest and has 2,072 dimes so far this season, which is 15th in basketball in terms of passing. They turn it over 14.1 times per contest and as a basketball team they are committing 17.9 personal fouls on a nightly basis.

On defense, the Lakers have forced 12.6 turnovers every game and they draw 21.5 personal fouls. They are giving up 34.4% on three-point shots and they rank 20th in the NBA in opponents points per game (116.6). The Lakers defense is allowing an opponent shooting percentage of 46.9% (3,607 of 7,698) and they surrender 44.9 boards per contest as a team. They are 15th in the NBA in giving up assists with 2,104 surrendered for the year.

The last time they took the court, the Warriors went home victorious with a score of 120-100 when they played the Kings in Game 7 of their 1st round series. The Warriors earned 37 defensive rebounds and 18 offensive boards for a total of 55 in this contest. They also turned the ball over 7 times, while recording 4 steals in this matchup. The Kings were called for 23 fouls for this contest which took the Warriors to the free throw line for 30 shots. They were able to knock down 19 of the free throw attempts for a rate of 63.3%. Pertaining to 3-pointers, Golden State knocked down 15 out of their 46 attempts (32.6%). Overall, the Warriors went 43 for 100 from the floor which gave them a percentage of 43.0%. The Warriors allowed the Kings to knock down 36 of 96 attempts from the floor which gave them a percentage of 37.5% in the game. They shot 25.5% from distance by shooting 12 out of 47 and finished the game at 16 of 27 from the free throw line (59.3%). When discussing rebounding, Golden State allowed Sacramento to grab 49 in all (14 on the offensive glass).

Stephen Curry was important for the Warriors for the game. He knocked down 20 of 38 for the contest for a field goal percentage of 52.6%, and had 8 rebounds. Curry accumulated 50 points in his 38 mins of playing time and had 6 dimes in the matchup.

Golden State has a win-loss mark of 44-38 on the season. The Warriors commit 21.4 fouls every game and they connect on 79.4% from the free throw line. They are assisting teammates 29.8 times per contest (1st in the NBA) and they are giving up possession 16.3 times per game. Golden State has accounted for 9,753 pts so far this year (118.9 per contest) and they average 44.6 rebounds per contest. On the offensive side of the court, the Warriors are hitting on 47.9% from the field, which ranks 12th in the NBA.

The Golden State defense gives up 36.4% on shots from beyond the arc (1,060 of 2,915) and their opponents are converting on 76.9% of their shots from the free throw line. They have surrendered 25.7 dimes and 43.3 boards per game, which ranks 17th and 15th in the league. The Warriors are ranked 21st in the league in PPG given up with 117.1. They are able to force 14.3 TO's every game and allow teams to shoot 46.9% from the field (9th in the NBA).

Who will win tonight's NBA game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Golden State (-5)

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