Los Angeles Lakers vs Dallas Mavericks Prediction, 2/26/2023 Preview and Pick

Game: Los Angeles Lakers vs Dallas Mavericks

Date: Sunday, February 26, 2023

Location: American Airlines Center in Dallas, TX

TV: Bally Sports Southwest

Odds/Point Spread: Los Angeles (+4)

The Dallas Mavericks will compete against the Los Angeles Lakers at American Airlines Center on Sunday. Los Angeles opens as 4-point underdogs. The over/under has been set at 234.

The Lakers played the Warriors and went home with a win by a final score of 124-111 in their last game. Los Angeles ended the contest with a 48.8% FG percentage (42 of 86) and converted 16 of their 30 three-point attempts. When they shot from the charity stripe, the Lakers made 24 of 34 attempts for a percentage of 70.6%. When discussing grabbing boards, they collected 58 with 10 of them being offensive. They also distributed 30 dimes for this game in addition to forcing 10 turnovers and earning 8 steals. In reference to the defense, Los Angeles allowed the other team to go 38.1% from the floor on 40 out of 105 shooting. Golden State totaled 24 assists and had 10 steals for the contest. In addition, Golden State collected 48 rebounds (17 offensive, 31 defensive) and earned 3 blocked shots. Golden State finished shooting 81.0% at the charity stripe by making 17 of 21 attempts. They also made 14 out of their 49 attempts from 3-point land. When it comes to fouls, the Lakers finished with 20 while the Warriors racked up 23 fouls.

Malik Beasley is someone who came through in this matchup. He left the arena with 25 points on 9 out of 16 shooting. He was on the hardwood for 26 mins and totaled 3 boards. Beasley shot 56.3% from the floor and also distributed 1 assist.

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Los Angeles will enter this contest with a mark of 28-32 this season. They are giving up possession 14.1 times per contest and as a team they commit 18.5 fouls per game. As a unit, Los Angeles is pulling down 45.5 boards per game and has 1,515 dimes on the campaign, which ranks 14th in basketball in terms of passing the rock. The Lakers are shooting 34.0% on 3-pointers (632 of 1,859) and 77.4% from the charity stripe. They are averaging 117.1 pts per game (6th in basketball) while going 48.2% from the field.

On defense, the Lakers are forcing 12.7 turnovers per game and they draw 21.3 fouls. They currently rank 25th in the league in giving up assists to their opponents with 1,551 conceded this year. The Lakers defensively are giving up an opponent shooting percentage of 47.0% (2,658 of 5,650) and they concede 45.7 rebounds per game as a squad. They are surrendering 34.6% on 3-pointers while they are 24th in the league in points per game allowed (118.1).

The last time they took the court, the Mavericks went home victorious with a score of 142-116 when they faced the Spurs. The Mavericks pulled down 33 defensive boards and 3 offensive rebounds totaling 36 for the matchup. They also turned it over 6 times, while getting 10 steals in this contest. The Spurs committed 25 fouls in this matchup which got the Mavericks to the charity stripe for a total of 36 attempts. They were able to knock down 28 of them for a percentage of 77.8%. When it comes to shots from beyond the arc, Dallas made 22 out of 42 attempts (52.4%). When the game finished, the Mavericks ended up shooting 46 out of 82 from the floor which gave them a shooting percentage of 56.1%. The Mavericks allowed the Spurs to bury 45 of 86 tries from the floor which gave them a percentage of 52.3% in this contest. They shot 40.0% from beyond the arc by shooting 10 of 25 and ended up shooting 16 of 23 from the free throw line (69.6%). When discussing rebounds, Dallas allowed San Antonio to get 45 in total (10 on the offensive side).

Luka Doncic was important for the Mavericks for this contest. Doncic tallied 28 points in his 30 mins of playing time and added 10 dimes for this game. He buried 8 of 16 in the matchup giving him a field goal percentage of 50.0%, and had 7 rebounds.

Dallas has a record of 32-29 for the year. The Mavericks have committed 20.7 fouls per game and they connect on 75.0% from the charity stripe. They are earning an assist 22.4 times per game (28th in the league) and they lose possession via turnover 12.3 times per contest. Dallas has totaled 6,922 points this season (113.5 per game) and they pull in 38.6 rebounds per game. On the offensive side of the court, the Mavericks are shooting 47.4% from the field, which ranks 15th in the league.

The Dallas defense gives up 35.2% on 3-point shots (669 of 1,900) and their opposition knocks down 78.3% of their free throw attempts. They have surrendered 24.4 dimes and 43.8 boards on a nightly basis, which is ranked 9th and 18th in the NBA. The Mavericks on the defensive side of the court are 11th in the NBA in points allowed per game with 112.6. They are able to force 13.5 turnovers on a nightly basis and have allowed teams to shoot 48.5% from the field (26th in the NBA).

Who will win tonight's NBA game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Dallas (-4)

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