Houston Rockets vs Dallas Mavericks Prediction, 11/28/2023 Preview and Pick

Game: Houston Rockets vs Dallas Mavericks

Date: Tuesday, November 28, 2023

Location: American Airlines Center in Dallas, TX

TV: Bally Sports Southwest-Dallas

Odds/Point Spread: Houston (+6)

The Houston Rockets (8-6) are traveling to American Airlines Center on Tuesday where they will attempt to beat the Dallas Mavericks (10-6). Houston is 6-point underdogs from oddsmakers. The over/under has been set at 230.

The Rockets stepped onto the hardwood against the Nuggets and went home with a win by a final score of 105-86 in their last contest. Houston walked away from the game with a 48.8% FG percentage (40 out of 82) and converted 12 of their 29 shots from beyond the perimeter. At the free throw line, the Rockets buried 13 of 15 attempts for a percentage of 86.7%. When discussing hauling in rebounds, they compiled a total of 49 with 6 of them being offensive. They also doled out 25 assists for the matchup as well as forcing the other team into 15 turnovers and earning 9 steals. When discussing defending, Houston allowed the other team to go 34.0% from the field on 32 out of 94 shooting. Denver recorded 17 assists and had 8 steals for this contest. Moreover, Denver collected 46 boards (16 offensive, 30 defensive) and earned 9 blocked shots. Denver finished shooting 71.4% at the charity stripe by making 15 of their 21 attempts. They also buried 7 out of their 30 tries from beyond the perimeter. In reference to personal fouls, the Rockets ended up finishing with 21 and the Nuggets accounted for 14 personal fouls.

Jalen Green is a player who played a role in this matchup. He ended up scoring 25 points on 10 out of 18 shooting. He played for 36 minutes and collected 5 rebounds. Green went 55.6% from the floor and earned 2 dimes.

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Houston will enter this matchup with a win-loss mark of 8-6 this year. They turn it over 12.7 times per contest and as a unit they commit 22.1 fouls per game. As a team, Houston is pulling down 44.1 boards per game and has racked up 362 assists so far this year, which ranks 29th in the league in terms of passing the ball. The Rockets are hitting 36.2% on three-point shots (175 of 484) and 75.8% from the free throw line. They have an average of 109.6 points per game (27th in the NBA) while hitting 46.7% from the field.

Defensively, the Rockets have forced 13.7 turnovers per contest and they draw 18.9 personal fouls. They are surrendering 32.2% on shots from beyond the arc while they are 1st in the league in points per game allowed (104.4). The Rockets defensively are giving up a FG percentage of 43.7% (518 of 1,186) and they concede 44.7 boards per contest as a group. They rank 1st in basketball in giving up assists to their opponents with 305 conceded this season.

When they last played, the Mavericks took a loss by a final score of 107-88 when they played the Clippers. The Mavericks were able to collect 27 defensive boards and 10 offensive rebounds totaling 37 for this game. They coughed up the ball 9 times, while recording 6 steals in the matchup. The Clippers earned 16 personal fouls in the matchup which took the Mavericks to the charity stripe for 14 shots. They were able to knock down 11 of them for a rate of 78.6%. When it comes to shots from 3-point land, Dallas converted 9 out of their 38 tries (23.7%). When the final whistle blew, the Mavericks finished shooting 34 out of 91 from the field which gave them a percentage of 37.4%. The Mavericks permitted the Clippers to bury 38 of their 88 attempts from the floor which gave them a rate of 43.2% for this game. They finished 27.6% from distance via 8 out of 29 and finished the contest at 23 out of 31 from the free throw line (74.2%). In reference to cleaning the glass, Dallas permitted Los Angeles to grab 57 in all (17 on the offensive side).

Luka Doncic pitched in for the Mavericks in the matchup. He buried 12 of 27 in this game for a field goal rate of 44.4%, and had 3 rebounds. Doncic scored 30 points in his 38 mins on the hardwood and tallied 4 assists for the game.

Dallas has a record of 10-6 so far this year. The Mavericks are committing 18.1 fouls per game and they go 73.9% from the charity stripe. They are getting an assist 24.9 times per contest (22nd in basketball) and they are giving up possession 11.8 times per game. Dallas has totaled 1,911 points so far this season (119.4 per contest) and they average 42.4 boards per contest. On the offensive side of the ball, the Mavericks are connecting on 47.1% from the floor, which is 15th in the league.

The Dallas defense gives up 36.5% on shots from beyond the perimeter (201 of 551) and their opponents are connecting on 74.0% of their shots from the charity stripe. They allow 27.7 dimes and 46.7 boards every game, which is 25th and 29th in the league. The Mavericks on defense are ranked 24th in basketball in points per game surrendered with 118.3. They are able to force 14.1 TO's per game and have allowed teams to shoot 49.3% from the field (27th in the NBA).

Who will win tonight's NBA game against the spread?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Houston (+6)

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