Golden State Warriors vs Denver Nuggets Prediction, 12/25/2023 Preview and Pick

Game: Golden State Warriors vs Denver Nuggets

Date: Monday, December 25, 2023

Location: Ball Arena in Denver, CO

TV: Altitude

Odds/Point Spread: Golden State (+5)

Ball Arena is the site where the Denver Nuggets (21-10) will compete against the Golden State Warriors (15-14) on Monday. Denver opens this game as 5-point favorites. The total has been set at 233.

The Warriors played the Trail Blazers and notched a win by a score of 126-106 in their last game. When it comes to personal fouls, the Warriors left the arena with 14 and the Trail Blazers recorded 20 personal fouls. They made 13 of 35 shots from 3-point land. Portland went 68.0% at the free throw line by making 17 of their 25 tries. Furthermore, Portland snagged 30 rebounds (8 offensive, 22 defensive) and got 2 blocks. Portland doled out 26 dimes and had 13 steals in this matchup. Concerning the defense, Golden State allowed the other team to go 45.2% from the floor on 38 of 84 shooting. They also doled out 38 assists in the game while forcing the other team into 11 turnovers and having 8 steals. When discussing grabbing rebounds, they earned 49 with 13 of them being offensive. From the free throw line, the Warriors converted 20 of their 24 shots for a percentage of 83.3%. Golden State ended the game having earned a 57.8% FG percentage (48 out of 83) and knocked down 10 of their 33 shots from downtown.

Klay Thompson is someone who played a role for the game. He racked up 28 points on 11 out of 16 shooting. He saw the court for 31 mins played and also collected 3 boards. Thompson finished the contest at 68.8% from the floor but had no assists when the time ran out.

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Golden State heads into this matchup with a record of 15-14 on the year. They have an average of 117.2 points per game (9th in the league) while going 46.0% from the field. The Warriors are connecting on 37.1% on shots beyond the perimeter (433 of 1,167) and 79.5% from the charity stripe. As a unit, Golden State is pulling in 47.7 boards per game and has earned 818 assists for the season, which is 4th in the league in terms of passing the ball. They are turning it over 15.3 times per contest and as a group are committing 21.2 personal fouls on a nightly basis.

When they are on the defensive end, the Warriors are forcing 12.9 turnovers per contest and they draw 20.2 personal fouls. They are ranked 10th in basketball in allowing assists to the opposition with 730 relinquished for the campaign. The Warriors defensively are giving up a FG percentage of 46.2% (1,206 of 2,612) and they surrender 43.2 boards per game as a basketball team. They are giving up 34.5% on 3-pointers and they are 20th in basketball in points per game allowed (115.8).

The last time they took the hardwood, the Nuggets walked away with a victory by a final of 102-95 against the Hornets. The Nuggets snagged 36 defensive rebounds and 12 offensive boards for a total of 48 for the contest. They also gave up possession 14 times, while earning 11 steals for this game. The Hornets had 15 fouls for the matchup which took the Nuggets to the charity stripe for 14 attempts. They were able to knock down 12 of those for a rate of 85.7%. Pertaining to 3-point shots, Denver buried 12 of 30 tries (40.0%). When the final whistle blew, the Nuggets ended up going 39 out of 90 from the field which had them at 43.3%. The Nuggets allowed the Hornets to knock down 34 out of their 88 attempts from the field which gave them a shooting percentage of 38.6% in this matchup. They finished 28.6% from three-point range by going 8 of 28 and finished the contest at 19 out of 23 from the free throw line (82.6%). When discussing cleaning the glass, Denver allowed Charlotte to collect 47 in all (13 on the offensive side).

Michael Porter Jr. ended up having an impact for the Nuggets in the matchup. Porter tallied 22 points in his 31 mins on the hardwood and had 1 assist for the matchup. He made 8 of 14 in the matchup giving him a field goal percentage of 57.1%, and had 5 rebounds.

Denver has a mark of 21-10 this season. The Nuggets commit 19.0 fouls per game and they connect on 73.3% from the charity stripe. They are getting an assist 29.5 times per contest (2nd in the NBA) and they are losing possession via turnover 12.1 times per game. Denver has accumulated 3,564 pts for the campaign (115.0 per contest) and they average 44.7 rebounds per game. As an offensive team, the Nuggets are shooting 48.9% from the floor, which is ranked 4th in the NBA.

The Nuggets defensively are ranked 4th in basketball in PPG given up with 110.0. They are forcing 12.6 turnovers per game and allow teams to shoot 46.0% from the field (8th in basketball). The Denver defense gives up 35.6% on shots from 3-point land (342 of 961) and opponents are knocking down 79.3% of their free throw attempts. They have allowed 24.9 assists and 43.1 boards per contest, which is 6th and 12th in basketball.

Who will win tonight's NBA game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Golden State (+5)

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