Detroit Pistons vs Miami Heat Prediction, 10/25/2023 Preview and Pick

Game: Detroit Pistons vs Miami Heat

Date: Wednesday, October 25, 2023

Location: Kaseya Center in Miami, FL

TV: Bally Sports Sun

Odds/Point Spread: Detroit (+10)

The Detroit Pistons (17-65 last year) are hitting the road to Kaseya Center on Wednesday where they will try to defeat the Miami Heat (44-38 last season). Miami opens this contest as 10-point favorites from oddsmakers. The total is set at 228.5.

The Pistons stepped onto the hardwood against the Bulls and went home with a loss by a final score of 103-81 in their last game. When talking about fouls, the Pistons ended up finishing with 16 and the Bulls totaled 16 fouls. They converted 6 of their 30 shots from beyond the arc. Chicago finished the game shooting 77.3% at the free throw line by burying 17 of their 22 attempts. Moreover, Chicago pulled down 48 rebounds (11 offensive, 37 defensive) and got 3 blocks. Chicago distributed 21 dimes and had 15 steals in this contest. In reference to the defense, Detroit allowed 42.1% from the field on 40 out of 95 shooting. They also dished out 20 assists for the contest while creating 3 turnovers and having 1 steal. Pertaining to hauling in rebounds, they earned a total of 59 with 15 of them being offensive. When they shot from the charity stripe, the Pistons made 10 of 13 tries for a rate of 76.9%. Detroit finished with a 36.5% FG percentage (31 out of 85) and made 9 of their 33 shots from distance.

Killian Hayes is one player who was a major factor for this game. He had 26 points on 8 out of 18 shooting. He was on the hardwood for 39 mins and also snagged 8 boards. Hayes ended up shooting 44.4% from the floor and also distributed 7 dimes.

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Detroit comes into this matchup after finishing with a win-loss record of 17-65 last season. They gave up possession 15.1 times per game and as a squad committed 22.1 fouls on a nightly basis. As a group, Detroit snagged 42.4 boards per game and earned 1,884 dimes last season, which was 27th in the NBA in terms of passing the ball. The Pistons hit on 35.1% on shots beyond the perimeter (934 of 2,659) and 77.1% from the free throw line. They had an average of 110.3 points per outing (29th in basketball) while hitting 45.4% from the floor.

On the defensive end of the court, the Pistons forced their opponents into 13.5 turnovers per game and they drew 21.0 fouls. They surrendered 36.0% on shots from downtown and they were 27th in the NBA in points per game from their opponents (118.5). The Pistons gave up a field goal percentage of 48.9% (3,533 of 7,222) and they conceded 44.7 rebounds per game as a group. They were ranked 18th in the NBA in giving up assists to the opposition with 2,112 conceded last year.

In their last game, the Heat took a loss by a final score of 94-89 when they faced the Nuggets. In the matter of cleaning up the glass, Miami allowed Denver to get 57 in total (11 on the offensive side). They wrapped up this game 17.9% from three-point range via 5 of 28 and finished the game at 13 out of 23 at the free throw line (56.5%). The Heat allowed the Nuggets to make 38 out of 84 tries from the field which had them at 45.2% in this contest. When this game wrapped up, the Heat ended up going 33 for 96 from the floor which gave them a percentage of 34.4%. With respect to 3-point shots, Miami knocked down 9 out of their 35 attempts (25.7%). They were able to make 14 of the free throw tries for a rate of 87.5%. The Nuggets earned 13 personal fouls for the game which took the Heat to the free throw line for a total of 16 attempts. They coughed up the ball 8 times, while getting 9 steals for the contest. The Heat corralled 33 defensive boards and 11 offensive rebounds for a total of 44 for the contest.

Jimmy Butler ended up being important for the Heat for this game. Butler recorded 21 points in his 41 mins on the court and tallied 5 assists for the matchup. He converted 5 of 18 for this game for a field goal percentage of 27.8%, and had 3 rebounds.

Miami had a record of 44-38 last season. The Heat were responsible for committing 18.5 personal fouls every game and they went 83.1% from the charity stripe. Their rate of dishing out assists was at 23.8 times per game (25th in the NBA) and they lost possession via turnover 13.5 times per contest. Miami totaled 8,977 pts throughout last season (109.5 per contest) and they averaged 40.6 rebounds per game. In terms of offensive execution, the Heat shot 46.0% from the floor, which ranked them 26th in the league.

The Miami defense gave up 36.7% on shots from behind the 3-point line (1,077 of 2,933) and opponents made 78.1% of their free throw attempts. They have relinquished 25.6 dimes and 41.8 boards per contest, which has them ranked 14th and 6th in the NBA. The Heat on the defensive end were ranked 2nd in the league in PPG given up with 109.8. They forced 15.7 turnovers per game and allowed teams to shoot 48.2% from the floor (22nd in basketball).

Who will win tonight's NBA game against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Miami (-10)

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