Denver Nuggets vs Phoenix Suns Prediction, 5/7/2023 Preview and Pick

Game: Denver Nuggets vs Phoenix Suns

Date: Sunday, May 7, 2023

Location: Footprint Center in Phoenix, AZ

TV: TNT

Odds/Point Spread: Denver (+4)

The Phoenix Suns are hosting the Denver Nuggets at Footprint Center on Sunday in Game 4 of their series. The Nuggets lead the series 2-1. Denver opens as 4-point dogs. The total is 226.

The Nuggets walked away from Game 3 with a loss by a score of 121-114. With respect to personal fouls, the Nuggets ended up with 21 and the Suns finished the game with 24 personal fouls. They made 9 of their 28 attempts from 3-point land. Phoenix went 88.9% at the free throw line by making 16 of 18 tries. On top of that, Phoenix snagged 41 rebounds (7 offensive, 34 defensive) and added 5 blocked shots. Phoenix doled out 24 dimes and had 5 steals for this contest. With respect to defending, Denver allowed their opponent to shoot 50.5% from the floor on 48 out of 95 shooting. They also recorded 27 assists for the game while forcing the other team into 9 turnovers and earning 6 steals. In the matter of hauling in boards, they collected 51 with 16 of them being on the offensive end. From the charity stripe, the Nuggets made 18 of their 21 shots for a rate of 85.7%. Denver finished the contest with a 44.3% field goal percentage (43 of 97) and made 10 of their 30 three-point attempts.

Jamal Murray is someone who was a factor in this game. He had 32 points on 13 out of 29 shooting. He played 41 minutes and also totaled 6 rebounds. Murray went 44.8% from the field and earned 5 assists.

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Denver comes into this game with a win-loss record of 53-29 this year. They turn it over 14.5 times per game and as a team they commit 18.6 personal fouls per contest. As a unit, Denver is pulling in 43.0 rebounds per game and has tallied 2,368 dimes for the season, which is 2nd in the league in terms of passing. The Nuggets are shooting 37.9% on shots from distance (969 of 2,559) and 75.1% from the charity stripe. They are averaging 115.8 pts per contest (12th in the NBA) while going 50.4% from the floor.

On the defensive end, the Nuggets are forcing their opponents into 13.5 turnovers on a nightly basis and they draw 19.5 fouls. They are 16th in the league in allowing assists to the opposition with 2,105 conceded for the season. The Nuggets defense is giving up a shooting percentage of 47.8% (3,423 of 7,166) and they relinquish 40.8 boards per contest as a team. They give up 34.4% on shots from downtown while they are 8th in the NBA in PPG from their opponents (112.5).

In Game 3 the Suns earned 34 defensive rebounds and 7 offensive rebounds for a total of 41 in this game. They also coughed up the ball 9 times, while recording 5 steals for the contest. The Nuggets earned 21 fouls for the matchup which got the Suns to the free throw line for 18 tries. They were able to convert 16 of the free throw attempts for a clip of 88.9%. Regarding shooting from beyond the arc, Phoenix buried 9 of 28 attempts (32.1%). When all was said and done, the Suns finished shooting 48 for 95 from the field which gave them a percentage of 50.5%. The Suns permitted the Nuggets to convert 43 of their 97 tries from the floor which gave them a rate of 44.3% for the contest. They shot 33.3% from three-point range by going 10 out of 30 and ended up shooting 18 of 21 at the free throw line (85.7%). In relation to rebounds, Phoenix allowed Denver to get 51 in total (16 on the offensive glass).

Devin Booker ended up having an impact for the Suns for the matchup. He made 20 of 25 in the matchup giving him a rate of 80.0%, and accumulated 6 rebounds. Booker tallied 47 points in his 42 minutes on the court and earned 9 assists in this matchup.

Phoenix has a win-loss record of 45-37 for the year. The Suns are responsible for committing 21.2 personal fouls per game and they connect on 79.3% from the free throw line. Their rate of earning assists is at 27.3 times per contest (4th in basketball) and they turn it over 13.5 times per game. Phoenix has accounted for 9,319 pts this year (113.6 per game) and they average 44.2 boards per game. When it comes to executing on offense, the Suns are hitting on 46.7% from the field, which ranks 23rd in the league.

The Phoenix defense gives up 35.7% on shots from 3-point land (938 of 2,628) and their opponents are converting on 78.6% of their shots from the free throw line. They have given up 23.4 dimes and 42.9 rebounds per game, which ranks them 3rd and 11th in the league. The Suns on the defensive side of the court are 6th in the league in PPG surrendered with 111.6. They are forcing their opponents into 14.4 TO's every game and allow teams to shoot 46.6% from the floor (6th in the league).

Who will win tonight's NBA game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Phoenix (-4)

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