Denver Nuggets vs Phoenix Suns Prediction, 5/11/2023 Preview and Pick

Game: Denver Nuggets vs Phoenix Suns

Date: Thursday, May 11, 2023

Location: Footprint Center in Phoenix, AZ

TV: ESPN

Odds/Point Spread: Denver (-5)

The Phoenix Suns host the Denver Nuggets at Footprint Center on Thursday in Game 6 of their series. The Nuggets lead 3-2. Denver opens as 5-point favorites from Vegas oddsmakers. The over/under is set at 228.5.

The Nuggets walked away with a win by a score of 118-102 in Game 5. When discussing fouls, the Nuggets left the arena with 17 and the Suns accounted for 22 fouls. They also buried 9 of 27 shots from 3-point land. Phoenix ended up shooting 70.8% from the free throw line by burying 17 of their 24 shots. Additionally, Phoenix pulled down 42 boards (8 offensive, 34 defensive) and earned 6 blocks. Phoenix dished out 22 assists and had 6 steals in this matchup. Concerning defending, Denver allowed the other team to go 43.2% from the floor on 38 of 88 shooting. They also doled out 32 dimes in the game in addition to forcing 10 turnovers and getting 6 steals. In regard to grabbing rebounds, they earned 50 with 10 of them being of the offensive sort. From the charity stripe, the Nuggets made 21 of 28 tries for a rate of 75.0%. Denver ended having earned a 49.4% field goal percentage (42 out of 85) and made 13 of their 27 3-point shots.

Nikola Jokic is a guy who came through in this game. He racked up 29 points on 12 of 20 shooting. He was on the hardwood for 38 minutes played and also grabbed 13 boards. Jokic finished shooting 60.0% from the floor and also distributed 12 dimes.

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Denver enters this one with a win-loss record of 53-29 so far this year. They currently have an average of 115.8 points per contest (12th in basketball) while shooting 50.4% from the field. The Nuggets are shooting 37.9% on shots beyond the perimeter (969 of 2,559) and 75.1% from the free throw line. As a team, Denver is snagging 43.0 rebounds per game and has accounted for 2,368 dimes on the season, which has them ranked 2nd in basketball in terms of passing. They lose possession via turnover 14.5 times per game and as a unit are committing 18.6 fouls every game.

When they are on the defensive end, the Nuggets have forced 13.5 turnovers per contest while drawing 19.5 personal fouls. They are relinquishing 34.4% on shots from distance and they are 8th in the NBA in opponents PPG (112.5). The Nuggets defense is allowing and opponent field goal percentage of 47.8% (3,423 of 7,166) and they concede 40.8 rebounds per contest as a squad. They are ranked 16th in the league in giving up assists to the opposition with 2,105 surrendered on the campaign.

In reference to team rebounding in Game 5, Phoenix allowed Denver to get 50 in total (10 on the offensive side). They finished shooting 48.1% from distance by shooting 13 of 27 and finished the contest at 21 out of 28 at the charity stripe (75.0%). The Suns permitted the Nuggets to convert 42 of their 85 tries from the floor which gave them a shooting percentage of 49.4% for this contest. When the final whistle blew, the Suns walked away from this one shooting 38 out of 88 from the floor which had them shooting 43.2%. With regard to three-point shots, Phoenix converted 9 of their 27 tries (33.3%). They were able to knock down 17 of the free throws for a percentage of 70.8%. The Nuggets had 17 fouls in this contest which got the Suns to the charity stripe for a total of 24 attempts. They also coughed up the ball 10 times, while earning 6 steals for this contest. The Suns were able to collect 34 defensive boards and 8 offensive boards totaling 42 in this contest.

Devin Booker was important for the Suns in this contest. Booker scored 28 points in his 41 minutes on the court and tallied 4 dimes in the game. He buried 8 out of 19 in the game for a field goal rate of 42.1%, and accounted for 6 rebounds.

Phoenix has a win-loss mark of 45-37 for the campaign. The Suns have committed 21.2 fouls per contest and they shoot 79.3% from the free throw line. They are getting an assist 27.3 times per game (4th in basketball) and they turn it over 13.5 times per contest. Phoenix has 9,319 pts this season (113.6 per game) and they average 44.2 boards per game. On the offensive side of the court, the Suns are hitting on 46.7% from the floor, which ranks 23rd in basketball.

The Phoenix defense surrenders 35.7% on shots from beyond the arc (938 of 2,628) and their opposition knocks down 78.6% of their free throw attempts. They give up 23.4 dimes and 42.9 rebounds per game, which has them ranked 3rd and 11th in the league. The Suns on the defensive end are ranked 6th in the NBA in points allowed per contest with 111.6. They have forced 14.4 TO's per game and allow teams to shoot 46.6% from the floor (6th in the league).

Who will win tonight's NBA game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Phoenix (+5)

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