Denver Nuggets vs Minnesota Timberwolves Prediction, 4/23/2023 Preview and Pick

Game: Denver Nuggets vs Minnesota Timberwolves

Date: Sunday, April 23, 2023

Location: Target Center in Minneapolis, MN

TV: TNT

Odds/Point Spread: Denver (-3)

Target Center is where the Minnesota Timberwolves will go up against the Denver Nuggets on Sunday in Game 4 of their series. Denver leads 3-0. Minnesota opens this matchup as 3-point dogs from Vegas oddsmakers. The total comes in at 224.5.

The Nuggets went home with a win by a final score of 120-111 in Game 3. Concerning personal fouls, the Nuggets ended up with 26 while the Timberwolves finished the game with 21 personal fouls. They converted 10 of 27 attempts from beyond the perimeter. Minnesota ended up shooting 82.9% when shooting free throws by making 29 of 35 shots. On top of that, Minnesota collected 32 rebounds (6 offensive, 26 defensive) and earned 4 blocked shots. Minnesota distributed 24 assists and had 8 steals for the game. Pertaining to defense, Denver allowed their opponent to shoot 45.6% from the floor on 36 out of 79 shooting. They also recorded 32 assists for this game while forcing 13 turnovers and having 8 steals. With regard to pulling down rebounds, they collected a total of 40 with 5 of them being on the offensive end. At the charity stripe, the Nuggets made 11 of their 13 attempts for a rate of 84.6%. Denver ended having earned a 57.1% field goal percentage (48 of 84) and knocked down 13 of their 32 shots from 3-point land.

Michael Porter Jr. is one player who was a factor in the game. He ended up with 25 points on 10 of 17 shooting. He was on the court for 40 mins played and pulled down 9 rebounds. Porter walked away from this one shooting 58.8% from the field and distributed 2 assists.

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Denver will enter this contest with a record of 53-29 on the campaign. They turn it over 14.5 times per contest and as a squad are committing 18.6 personal fouls per contest. As a team, Denver is pulling down 43.0 boards per contest and has tallied 2,368 assists for the season, which ranks 2nd in the league in terms of passing the ball. The Nuggets are hitting 37.9% from downtown (969 of 2,559) and 75.1% from the charity stripe. They are averaging 115.8 points per game (12th in the league) on 50.4% from the floor.

Defensively, the Nuggets have forced 13.5 turnovers per game and they draw 19.5 personal fouls. They are giving up 34.4% on 3-point attempts and they are 8th in the NBA in points per game allowed (112.5). The Nuggets defensively are allowing an opponent shooting percentage of 47.8% (3,423 of 7,166) and they relinquish 40.8 boards per game as a team. They are ranked 16th in the NBA in allowing assists to the opposition with 2,105 relinquished so far this year.

In regard to attacking the glass in Game 3, Minnesota allowed Denver to collect 40 in total (5 offensive). They finished 40.6% from 3-point land by connecting on 13 out of 32 and ended up going 11 of 13 from the charity stripe (84.6%). The Timberwolves permitted the Nuggets to convert 48 of their 84 tries from the floor which had them at 57.1% in this game. In all, the Timberwolves shot 36 for 79 from the field which had them at 45.6%. When discussing 3-pointers, Minnesota made 10 out of their 27 tries (37.0%). They were able to make 29 of them for a rate of 82.9%. The Nuggets had 26 fouls in this game which got the Timberwolves to the charity stripe for 35 attempts. They also coughed up the ball 13 times, while getting 8 steals in this matchup. The Timberwolves snagged 26 defensive boards and 6 offensive boards for a total of 32 in this contest.

Anthony Edwards ended up being a factor for the Timberwolves in this contest. Edwards tallied 36 points in his 44 mins of playing time and added 5 dimes for the contest. He converted 10 of 22 in this matchup for a rate of 45.5%, and tallied 7 rebounds.

Minnesota has a mark of 42-40 so far this year. The Timberwolves have committed 21.6 fouls every game and they go 75.5% from the free throw line. They are assisting teammates 26.2 times per game (8th in the league) and they lose possession by turning the ball over 15.3 times per game. Minnesota has accounted for 9,494 points on the year (115.8 per game) and they pull down 41.9 boards per contest. As an offense, the Timberwolves are hitting on 49.0% from the field, which has them ranked 3rd in the league.

The Timberwolves on defense are ranked 18th in the league in PPG allowed with 115.8. They are forcing their opponents into 15.4 turnovers per game and allow teams to shoot 47.1% from the field (11th in basketball). The Minnesota defense concedes 36.9% on shots from 3-point land (1,007 of 2,728) and opponents are converting on 76.6% of their shots from the free throw line. They have conceded 25.0 assists and 44.7 boards per contest, ranking them 12th and 22nd in basketball.

Who will win tonight's NBA game against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Denver (-3)

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