Denver Nuggets vs Miami Heat Prediction, 6/9/2023 Preview and Pick

Game: Denver Nuggets vs Miami Heat

Date: Friday, June 9, 2023

Location: Kaseya Center in Miami, FL

TV: ABC

Odds/Point Spread: Denver (-3)

The Denver Nuggets are on their way to Kaseya Center on Friday where they will meet the Miami Heat in Game 4 of the NBA Finals. Denver leads 2-1. Miami opens this matchup as 3-point dogs. The betting total comes in at 211.

The Nuggets walked away with a win by a score of 109-94 in Game 3. When discussing fouls, the Nuggets ended up with 18 while the Heat finished the game with 22 fouls. They converted 11 of 35 attempts from 3-point range. Miami shot 78.9% from the charity stripe by converting 15 of 19 shots. Additionally, Miami grabbed 33 rebounds (10 offensive, 23 defensive) and earned 5 blocks. Miami earned 20 assists and had 7 steals for the contest. Concerning defending, Denver allowed the other team to shoot 37.0% from the floor on 34 out of 92 shooting. They also recorded 28 dimes in this contest in addition to forcing 4 turnovers and having 3 steals. Regarding hauling in boards, they compiled 58 with 13 of them being of the offensive sort. From the free throw line, the Nuggets knocked down 22 of their 27 tries for a rate of 81.5%. Denver finished with a 51.3% FG percentage (41 of 80) and buried 5 of their 18 3-point attempts.

Jamal Murray is a player who played a role for this game. He had 34 points on 12 out of 22 shooting. He played for 45 mins and also grabbed 10 rebounds. Murray finished the game at 54.5% from the floor and also distributed 10 assists.

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Denver will enter this contest with a mark of 53-29 on the campaign. They lose possession by turning the ball over 14.5 times per game and as a basketball team they commit 18.6 fouls on a nightly basis. As a unit, Denver is snagging 43.0 rebounds per game and has accounted for 2,368 dimes for the campaign, which ranks 2nd in basketball in terms of passing the rock. The Nuggets are shooting 37.9% on shots from distance (969 of 2,559) and 75.1% from the free throw line. They currently have an average of 115.8 pts per game (12th in the NBA) while hitting 50.4% from the field.

When they are on the defensive end, the Nuggets are forcing their opponents into 13.5 turnovers per game and they draw 19.5 personal fouls. They relinquish 34.4% on shots from beyond the arc and they rank 8th in the NBA in PPG allowed (112.5). The Nuggets defense is giving up a FG percentage of 47.8% (3,423 of 7,166) and they relinquish 40.8 rebounds per game as a squad. They are ranked 16th in the league in allowing assists to the opposition with 2,105 conceded this year.

In Game 3, the Heat corralled 23 defensive boards and 10 offensive rebounds for a total of 33 for the game. They also gave up possession of the ball 4 times, while earning 7 steals for this contest. The Nuggets earned 18 personal fouls in this contest which got the Heat to the free throw line for a total of 19 shots. They were able to convert 15 of those for a clip of 78.9%. In reference to 3-point attempts, Miami knocked down 11 of their 35 attempts (31.4%). Overall, the Heat finished the game shooting 34 out of 92 from the field which gave them a rate of 37.0%. The Heat allowed the Nuggets to make 41 out of 80 attempts from the field which left them with a rate of 51.3% for the contest. They finished 27.8% from distance by going 5 out of 18 and ended up going 22 out of 27 at the free throw line (81.5%). When discussing rebounding, Miami permitted Denver to pull down 58 in total (13 on the offensive glass).

Jimmy Butler ended up being important for the Heat in this contest. Butler earned 28 points in his 40 minutes on the hardwood and had 4 dimes in the matchup. He converted 11 out of 24 for the contest giving him a rate of 45.8%, and totaled 2 rebounds.

Miami has a win-loss mark of 44-38 this season. In terms of offensive execution, the Heat are connecting on 46.0% from the field, which is 26th in the NBA. Miami has scored 8,977 points for the season (109.5 per contest) and they grab 40.6 boards per contest. They are earning an assist 23.8 times per contest (25th in the NBA) and they cough up possession 13.5 times per game. The Heat are committing 18.5 fouls every game and they connect on 83.1% from the free throw line.

The Miami defense concedes 36.7% on 3-point attempts (1,077 of 2,933) and their opponents are making 78.1% of their shots from the charity stripe. They have allowed 25.6 dimes and 41.8 rebounds every game, which ranks 14th and 6th in basketball. The Heat on the defensive end are ranked 2nd in basketball in PPG given up with 109.8. They are forcing 15.7 TO's every game and allow teams to shoot 48.2% from the field (22nd in the league).

Who will win tonight's NBA game against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Denver (-3)

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