Denver Nuggets vs Houston Rockets Prediction, 4/4/2023 Preview and Pick

Game: Denver Nuggets vs Houston Rockets

Date: Tuesday, April 4, 2023

Location: Toyota Center in Houston, TX

TV: AT&T Sportsnet Southwest

Odds/Point Spread: Denver (-11)

The Denver Nuggets are traveling to Toyota Center on Tuesday where they will attempt to beat the Houston Rockets. Denver opens this matchup as 11-point favorites. The over/under is set at 228.

The Nuggets faced off with the Warriors and took home the win by a score of 112-110 in their last game. Denver wrapped up the game with a 44.0% FG percentage (44 of 100) and converted 9 of 33 shots from downtown. At the charity stripe, the Nuggets converted 15 of 18 attempts for a rate of 83.3%. In reference to pulling down rebounds, they earned 47 with 17 of them being on the offensive end. They also doled out 24 assists in this contest while forcing 15 turnovers and earning 11 steals. In the matter of defending, Denver allowed the other team to go 40.0% from the floor on 42 out of 105 shooting. Golden State earned 26 dimes and had 9 steals for this contest. In addition, Golden State collected 57 rebounds (22 offensive, 35 defensive) and earned 7 blocks. Golden State finished shooting 100.0% at the free throw line by making 17 of 17 tries. They knocked down 9 of 42 tries from beyond the arc. In the matter of fouls, the Nuggets left the arena with 17 while the Warriors recorded 22 fouls.

Michael Porter Jr. is a guy who played a role in this contest. Porter ended up shooting 58.8% from the floor but wasn't able to get an assist. He played 34 mins played and totaled 11 rebounds. He finished with 29 points on 10 of 17 shooting.

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Denver comes into this contest with a mark of 52-26 for the campaign. They turn it over 14.4 times per game and as a squad are committing 18.6 personal fouls on a nightly basis. As a unit, Denver is collecting 42.9 rebounds per game and has accounted for 2,261 dimes for the season, which is 2nd in the NBA in terms of passing the ball. The Nuggets are hitting 38.3% on shots from 3-point land (928 of 2,426) and 75.3% from the free throw line. They have an average of 116.1 pts per game (10th in the NBA) while connecting on 50.5% from the field.

On defense, the Nuggets are able to force 13.5 turnovers per contest and they draw 19.7 fouls. They are 17th in the league in giving up assists to the opposition with 2,002 conceded on the campaign. The Nuggets are allowing an opponent shooting percentage of 47.9% (3,254 of 6,800) and they concede 40.6 boards per game as a unit. They give up 34.4% from 3-point land and they rank 9th in the league in opponents PPG (112.4).

When they last stepped on the hardwood, the Rockets took a loss by a score of 134-109 when they faced the Lakers. The Rockets were able to pull down 28 defensive boards and 16 offensive boards for a total of 44 in this game. They also turned it over 8 times, while recording 4 steals in the game. The Lakers committed 9 personal fouls for this game which got the Rockets to the free throw line for 10 attempts. They were able to bury 8 of the free throw attempts for a clip of 80.0%. In relation to shots from beyond the arc, Houston knocked down 13 of their 34 attempts (38.2%). Overall, the Rockets went 44 out of 102 from the field which gave them a rate of 43.1%. The Rockets permitted the Lakers to knock down 52 out of 93 attempts from the floor which had them sitting at 55.9% for this contest. They finished 30.0% from three-point range by shooting 9 of 30 and ended up shooting 21 of 28 from the charity stripe (75.0%). Concerning how they rebounded, Houston allowed Los Angeles to collect 51 in total (11 on the offensive glass).

Jalen Green pitched in for the Rockets for this game. He knocked down 7 out of 21 in this game giving him a field goal percentage of 33.3%, and added 3 rebounds. Green recorded 24 points in his 40 mins of playing time and totaled 7 dimes for the contest.

Houston has a record of 19-60 on the year. As an offense, the Rockets are shooting 45.6% from the field, which has them ranked 29th in the league. Houston has totaled 8,731 points for the season (110.5 per game) and they grab 46.1 boards per game. They are dishing out assists 22.4 times per game (30th in the league) and they cough up possession 16.3 times per contest. The Rockets are responsible for committing 20.6 fouls per game and they connect on 75.5% from the free throw line.

The Rockets defensively are ranked 29th in the NBA in points allowed per contest with 119.0. They are forcing their opponents into 13.0 turnovers per game and allow teams to shoot 48.3% from the floor (22nd in basketball). The Houston defense gives up 37.6% on shots from 3-point land (1,151 of 3,061) and opponents are connecting on 79.8% of their free throw shots. They have given up 26.2 dimes and 41.3 rebounds per game, which has them ranked 25th and 4th in the NBA.

Who will win tonight's NBA game against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Houston (+11)

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