Denver Nuggets vs Atlanta Hawks Prediction, 12/11/2023 Preview and Pick

Game: Denver Nuggets vs Atlanta Hawks

Date: Monday, December 11, 2023

Location: State Farm Arena in Atlanta, GA

TV: Bally Sports Southeast-Atlanta

Odds/Point Spread: Denver (-3)

State Farm Arena is the location where the Atlanta Hawks (9-12) will compete against the Denver Nuggets (14-9) on Monday. Denver opens this contest as 3-point favorites from oddsmakers. The total is 230.

The Nuggets played the Rockets and took a loss by a final of 114-106 in their last game. When discussing personal fouls, the Nuggets ended up finishing with 24 and the Rockets finished the game with 20 personal fouls. They also buried 13 of their 39 attempts from 3-point range. Houston finished shooting 73.8% at the free throw line by making 31 of 42 attempts. Moreover, Houston pulled down 47 rebounds (11 offensive, 36 defensive) and added 5 blocks. Houston earned 21 dimes and had 3 steals for this contest. In terms of the defense, Denver allowed the other team to shoot 42.7% from the floor on 35 of 82 shooting. They also doled out 22 assists in this game in addition to forcing the opposition into 9 turnovers and earning 4 steals. In regard to rebounding, they collected 47 with 12 of them being offensive. From the free throw line, the Nuggets buried 20 of their 27 attempts for a rate of 74.1%. Denver ended the contest having earned a 42.2% FG percentage (38 out of 90) and made 10 of 28 three-point attempts.

Nikola Jokic is someone who played a role in this game. Jokic walked away from this one shooting 34.6% from the floor and also totaled 5 dimes. He saw the court for 34 minutes and also snagged 16 boards. He accounted for 23 points on 9 of 26 shooting.

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Denver enters this one with a mark of 14-9 for the season. They have an average of 113.6 pts per contest (14th in the league) while connecting on 48.8% from the field. The Nuggets are hitting 36.4% on 3-pointers (264 of 725) and 71.0% from the free throw line. As a team, Denver is grabbing 44.1 boards per game and is sitting with 683 dimes for the campaign, which is 1st in the league in terms of passing. They lose possession by turning the ball over 12.6 times per contest and as a group they commit 19.2 personal fouls per game.

On the defensive end, the Nuggets are forcing 12.5 turnovers on a nightly basis and they draw 18.9 personal fouls. They are giving up 36.3% on 3-point attempts while they are 8th in the league in points per game allowed (110.6). The Nuggets defense is giving up a FG percentage of 46.5% (928 of 1,997) and they surrender 43.0 boards per game as a team. They currently rank 20th in the NBA in giving up assists to their opponents with 570 surrendered on the year.

The last time they took the court, the Hawks took a loss by a final score of 125-114 when they played the 76ers. The Hawks snagged 32 defensive rebounds and 23 offensive boards totaling 55 for this game. They also gave up possession of the ball 13 times, while earning 3 steals in this matchup. The 76ers were called for 14 personal fouls for the game which took the Hawks to the free throw line for 21 shots. They were able to make 19 of them for a clip of 90.5%. With respect to shooting from downtown, Atlanta converted 13 out of their 39 attempts (33.3%). In all, the Hawks went 41 out of 104 from the field which had them at 39.4%. The Hawks allowed the 76ers to convert 42 of their 87 tries from the floor which gave them a shooting percentage of 48.3% in this contest. They finished 36.7% from 3-point land by connecting on 11 out of 30 and walked away from this one shooting 30 out of 37 at the free throw line (81.1%). When discussing rebounding, Atlanta allowed Philadelphia to pull down 48 in total (14 on the offensive side).

De'Andre Hunter pitched in for the Hawks in this game. Hunter totaled 24 points in his 37 minutes on the hardwood and accumulated 1 assist in this contest. He made 9 out of 18 for the contest for a field goal rate of 50.0%, and had 7 rebounds.

Atlanta has a record of 9-12 on the season. The Hawks have committed 18.7 personal fouls every game while shooting 83.4% from the charity stripe. They are assisting teammates 25.1 times per game (22nd in basketball) and they lose possession by turning the ball over 14.2 times per game. Atlanta has scored 2,567 pts for the campaign (122.2 per contest) and they average 45.0 rebounds per contest. On the offensive side of the court, the Hawks are shooting 46.7% from the floor, which ranks them 20th in basketball.

The Hawks on defense are ranked 27th in the NBA in points given up per game with 122.5. They have forced 15.8 TO's per game and have allowed teams to shoot 49.8% from the field (28th in the league). The Atlanta defense surrenders 37.5% on three-point shots (283 of 754) and opponents are connecting on 80.4% of their foul shots. They have relinquished 28.3 assists and 44.3 rebounds every game, which is 29th and 20th in the league.

Who will win tonight's NBA game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Denver (-3)

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