Dallas Mavericks vs Phoenix Suns Prediction, 12/25/2023 Preview and Pick

Game: Dallas Mavericks vs Phoenix Suns

Date: Monday, December 25, 2023

Location: Footprint Center in Phoenix, AZ

TV: AZ Family Sports Network

Odds/Point Spread: Dallas (+6)

The Phoenix Suns (14-14) will try to beat the Dallas Mavericks (17-12) at Footprint Center on Monday. Dallas is 6-point underdogs from oddsmakers. The over/under is 235.5.

The Mavericks took the court against the Spurs and went home with a win by a final score of 144-119 in their last contest. In reference to personal fouls, the Mavericks ended up with 18 and the Spurs finished the game with 16 personal fouls. They also converted 14 of 45 attempts from three-point range. San Antonio finished the contest at 70.8% from the charity stripe by knocking down 17 of their 24 attempts. In addition, San Antonio pulled down 42 rebounds (8 offensive, 34 defensive) and had 6 blocks. San Antonio recorded 32 dimes and had 9 steals for this game. In regard to the defense, Dallas let their opponent shoot 44.9% from the field on 44 of 98 shooting. They also doled out 26 dimes in the game in addition to creating 10 turnovers and getting 7 steals. With respect to hauling in rebounds, they earned 52 with 11 of them being offensive. From the free throw line, the Mavericks converted 17 of their 21 shots for a percentage of 81.0%. Dallas walked away from the contest having earned a 52.0% field goal percentage (52 of 100) and made 23 of their 45 three-point shots.

Luka Doncic is someone who played a role for the matchup. He ended up with 39 points on 13 of 27 shooting. He saw the court for 32 mins played and totaled 12 boards. Doncic finished the contest at 48.1% from the floor and distributed 10 assists.

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Dallas heads into this matchup with a win-loss record of 17-12 so far this year. They are turning it over 11.9 times per contest and as a group they are committing 18.2 personal fouls on a nightly basis. As a team, Dallas is grabbing 42.5 rebounds per contest and has accounted for 729 assists this season, which ranks 21st in the league in terms of passing the rock. The Mavericks are hitting 36.9% on shots from downtown (454 of 1,232) and 75.0% from the free throw line. They have an average of 119.0 pts per game (7th in the NBA) on 46.9% from the floor.

When they are on defense, the Mavericks are forcing 14.1 turnovers per contest while drawing 21.4 personal fouls. They currently rank 22nd in the NBA in allowing assists to the opposition with 785 surrendered for the year. The Mavericks are giving up an opponent FG percentage of 48.6% (1,285 of 2,643) and they surrender 46.3 boards per contest as a team. They are giving up 36.7% on shots from beyond the perimeter and they are ranked 22nd in the NBA in points per game allowed (117.9).

When they last stepped on the court, the Suns took a loss by a final score of 120-105 against the Kings. When it comes to rebounding, Phoenix permitted Sacramento to collect 37 overall (7 on the offensive glass). They finished 31.6% from downtown by going 12 of 38 and ended up going 20 out of 26 at the free throw line (76.9%). The Suns permitted the Kings to make 44 of 83 tries from the field which gave them a rate of 53.0% in the game. At the conclusion of this game, the Suns finished 39 for 88 from the field which gave them a rate of 44.3%. In relation to 3-point attempts, Phoenix buried 5 of 25 tries (20.0%). They were able to knock down 22 of the free throws for a percentage of 78.6%. The Kings committed 24 fouls in the matchup which took the Suns to the charity stripe for 28 attempts. They also turned it over 15 times, while recording 8 steals in this contest. The Suns earned 30 defensive rebounds and 15 offensive boards for a total of 45 in this contest.

Kevin Durant ended up being a major contributor for the Suns for this game. He buried 9 of 14 for the contest giving him a field goal percentage of 64.3%, and had 7 rebounds. Durant earned 28 points in his 34 minutes on the court and had 2 dimes for the game.

Phoenix has a mark of 14-14 on the campaign. The Suns commit 19.0 personal fouls every game and they connect on 82.6% from the charity stripe. They are assisting teammates 26.0 times per contest (16th in the league) and they turn the ball over 14.9 times per game. Phoenix has accounted for 3,206 pts on the season (114.5 per contest) and they pull down 44.1 boards per game. As an offense, the Suns are connecting on 47.1% from the floor, which has them ranked 18th in the NBA.

The Suns on defense are ranked 15th in the NBA in points allowed per game with 114.0. They are able to force 12.5 TO's per game and allow teams to shoot 46.3% from the field (13th in the league). The Phoenix defense allows 35.7% on 3-point attempts (337 of 944) and their opponents are knocking down 79.9% of their free throw attempts. They have conceded 25.1 assists and 41.5 rebounds per contest, which ranks them 7th and 4th in basketball.

Who will win tonight's NBA game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Phoenix (-6)

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