Dallas Mavericks vs Miami Heat Prediction, 4/1/2023 Preview and Pick

Game: Dallas Mavericks vs Miami Heat

Date: Saturday, April 1, 2023

Location: FTX Arena in Miami, FL

TV: Bally Sports Sun

Odds/Point Spread: Dallas (+2)

FTX Arena is the location where the Miami Heat will try to beat the Dallas Mavericks on Saturday. Dallas opens this matchup as 2-point dogs. The total has been set at 232.

The Mavericks took the court against the 76ers and ended up losing by a score of 116-108 in their last contest. When talking about personal fouls, the Mavericks left the arena with 22 and the 76ers racked up 19 personal fouls. They buried 17 out of their 36 shots from beyond the perimeter. Philadelphia walked away from this one shooting 83.3% from the charity stripe by knocking down 25 of 30 shots. Moreover, Philadelphia collected 43 rebounds (11 offensive, 32 defensive) and had 3 rejections. Philadelphia dished out 26 dimes and had 9 steals in the matchup. With regard to defense, Dallas allowed 46.3% from the field on 37 out of 80 shooting. They also distributed 24 assists for the matchup while forcing the opposition into 10 turnovers and having 3 steals. In terms of pulling down boards, they earned 40 with 8 of them being of the offensive sort. From the charity stripe, the Mavericks converted 14 of their 18 shots for a rate of 77.8%. Dallas ended having earned a 45.8% FG percentage (38 of 83) and converted 18 out of their 46 3-point attempts.

Luka Doncic is a player who was a major contributor for the game. Doncic ended up shooting 45.0% from the floor and also distributed 8 assists. He played for 37 minutes and also pulled down 10 boards. He recorded 24 points on 9 of 20 shooting.

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Dallas enters this matchup with a record of 37-40 on the year. They turn it over 12.3 times per game and as a group are committing 20.8 fouls every game. As a team, Dallas is pulling in 38.6 boards per game and has totaled 1,749 assists on the year, which is 27th in the NBA in terms of passing the ball. The Mavericks are connecting on 37.2% on 3-point shots (1,167 of 3,138) and 75.7% from the free throw line. They are averaging 113.8 points per outing (16th in the NBA) while going 47.4% from the field.

When they are on defense, the Mavericks are forcing their opponents into 13.2 turnovers on a nightly basis and they draw 22.1 fouls. They surrender 35.2% on shots from beyond the arc and they are ranked 15th in the league in PPG allowed (113.3). The Mavericks defensively are giving up a field goal percentage of 48.5% (3,186 of 6,573) and they surrender 44.2 rebounds per game as a team. They currently rank 9th in the NBA in giving up assists to their opponents with 1,903 conceded so far this year.

When they last stepped on the hardwood, the Heat took a loss by a final score of 101-92 when they played the Knicks. The Heat snagged 29 defensive boards and 6 offensive boards totaling 35 for the matchup. They turned it over 11 times, while getting 5 steals for the contest. The Knicks committed 14 fouls in this game which took the Heat to the free throw line for a total of 14 shots. They were able to knock down 9 of the free throw tries for a clip of 64.3%. With regard to three-point attempts, Miami converted 13 of 39 attempts (33.3%). At the conclusion of this game, the Heat ended up shooting 35 for 79 from the field which gave them a percentage of 44.3%. The Heat allowed the Knicks to make 38 of 76 tries from the field which gave them a shooting percentage of 50.0% for the game. They finished 41.9% from three-point range by going 13 of 31 and ended up shooting 12 of 23 from the free throw line (52.2%). In reference to attacking the glass, Miami allowed New York to grab 47 overall (9 on the offensive side).

Gabe Vincent ended up being important for the Heat in this game. Vincent racked up 21 points in his 31 mins of playing time and had 3 assists for the game. He made 8 out of 11 for the matchup for a field goal rate of 72.7%, and had 3 rebounds.

Miami has a record of 40-37 this season. On the offensive side of the ball, the Heat are shooting 45.6% from the floor, which ranks 29th in the league. Miami has scored 8,370 pts on the campaign (108.7 per game) and they average 40.6 boards per game. Their rate of dishing out assists is at 23.5 times per contest (25th in the league) and they turn it over 13.5 times per contest. The Heat have committed 18.4 fouls per contest and they go 83.2% from the charity stripe.

The Heat are ranked 2nd in basketball in PPG given up with 109.8. They are forcing 15.7 turnovers per game and have allowed teams to shoot 48.1% from the floor (21st in the league). The Miami defense concedes 37.0% on shots from distance (1,018 of 2,755) and their opposition makes 78.0% of their shots from the free throw line. They have surrendered 25.6 assists and 42.1 total boards per game, which ranks them 14th and 6th in the NBA.

Who will win tonight's NBA game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Dallas (+2)

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