Dallas Mavericks vs Indiana Pacers Prediction, 3/27/2023 Preview and Pick

Game: Dallas Mavericks vs Indiana Pacers

Date: Monday, March 27, 2023

Location: Gainbridge Fieldhouse in Indianapolis, IN

TV: Bally Sports Indiana

Odds/Point Spread: Dallas (-3)

The Indiana Pacers will play the Dallas Mavericks at Gainbridge Fieldhouse on Monday. Indiana is 3-point underdogs. The betting total is set at 230.

The Mavericks stepped onto the hardwood against the Hornets and took a loss by a final of 117-109 in their last contest. With respect to personal fouls, the Mavericks ended up with 19 while the Hornets finished the game with 17 personal fouls. They made 11 of 28 attempts from long range. Charlotte finished 74.1% at the free throw line by making 20 of their 27 tries. In addition, Charlotte totaled 43 boards (6 offensive, 37 defensive) and earned 4 blocked shots. Charlotte dished out 32 dimes and had 7 steals in this game. With regard to defense, Dallas allowed the other team to go 48.3% from the floor on 43 out of 89 shooting. They also dished out 25 assists in this matchup while forcing 8 turnovers and getting 3 steals. With respect to pulling down boards, they collected 45 with 7 of them being offensive. From the free throw line, the Mavericks buried 18 of 24 attempts for a rate of 75.0%. Dallas finished the contest having earned a 48.8% field goal percentage (41 out of 84) and buried 9 of 36 3-point attempts.

Luka Doncic is one player who was a factor for the matchup. Doncic shot 52.2% from the field and also distributed 8 assists. He was on the court for 37 minutes played and grabbed 10 rebounds. He accumulated 34 points on 12 out of 23 shooting.

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Dallas steps onto the hardwood with a record of 36-38 on the campaign. They are averaging 113.8 pts per game (17th in the league) while shooting 47.4% from the field. The Mavericks are hitting 37.0% on shots from downtown (1,112 of 3,006) and 75.3% from the charity stripe. As a unit, Dallas is pulling down 38.7 rebounds per contest and has accumulated 1,678 assists so far this season, which is 29th in the NBA in terms of passing. They lose possession via turnover 12.4 times per game and as a unit they commit 20.8 fouls on a nightly basis.

When they are on defense, the Mavericks have forced 13.3 turnovers per contest and they draw 22.3 personal fouls. They are giving up 35.0% on 3-point attempts and they are ranked 15th in basketball in points per game allowed (113.5). The Mavericks defensively are giving up a shooting percentage of 48.7% (3,071 of 6,312) and they surrender 44.0 boards per game as a unit. They are 9th in the league in allowing assists with 1,830 surrendered on the campaign.

The last time they took the hardwood, the Pacers took a loss by a score of 143-130 when they played the Hawks. The Pacers pulled down 22 defensive boards and 10 offensive rebounds for a total of 32 for the contest. They also turned it over 17 times, while getting 7 steals in this matchup. The Hawks were called for 14 personal fouls for this game which got the Pacers to the charity stripe for a total of 12 tries. They were able to make 12 of those for a rate of 100.0%. With respect to shots from downtown, Indiana made 14 of 37 tries (37.8%). When the game finished, the Pacers finished 52 out of 96 from the floor which had them shooting 54.2%. The Pacers allowed the Hawks to make 53 of their 96 tries from the field which left them with a rate of 55.2% for the game. They shot 50.0% from 3-point land by shooting 15 of 30 and ended up going 22 out of 25 at the charity stripe (88.0%). Regarding team rebounding, Indiana allowed Atlanta to snag 42 in all (15 on the offensive glass).

Jordan Nwora ended up being a major contributor for the Pacers in the matchup. Nwora earned 33 points in his 34 mins of playing time and accounted for 1 assist for the matchup. He knocked down 12 out of 17 in this contest for a rate of 70.6%, and tallied 6 rebounds.

Indiana has a win-loss record of 33-42 on the season. When it comes to offense, the Pacers are shooting 46.8% from the field, which is ranked 22nd in the NBA. Indiana has totaled 8,684 pts so far this year (115.8 per game) and they grab 41.5 boards per contest. They are dishing out assists 26.8 times per contest (6th in the NBA) and they are turning it over 14.9 times per game. The Pacers are committing 21.2 personal fouls every game and they shoot 79.2% from the charity stripe.

The Pacers on the defensive side of the court are 27th in the league in points given up per game with 118.6. They are forcing 15.1 turnovers per game and allow teams to shoot 48.1% from the field (23rd in the league). The Indiana defense concedes 37.3% on shots from beyond the arc (932 of 2,500) and opponents are connecting on 80.2% of their shots from the free throw line. They allow 26.3 assists and 45.3 total boards per game, which is 27th and 27th in the league.

Who will win tonight's NBA game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Indiana (+3)

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