Boston Celtics vs Miami Heat Prediction, 5/27/2023 Preview and Pick

Game: Boston Celtics vs Miami Heat

Date: Saturday, May 27, 2023

Location: Kaseya Center in Miami, FL

TV: TNT

Odds/Point Spread: Boston (-3)

The Boston Celtics are en route to Kaseya Center on Saturday where they will compete against the Miami Heat in Game 6 of their series. Miami leads 3-2. Boston opens this game as 3-point favorites from Vegas oddsmakers. The total is 213.5.

The Celtics earned the victory with a final of 110-97 in Game 5. Regarding personal fouls, the Celtics ended up finishing with 9 while the Heat accounted for 13 personal fouls. They made 9 of 23 shots from three-point range. Miami finished the contest at 80.0% from the charity stripe by knocking down 8 of their 10 shots. Moreover, Miami had 36 rebounds (10 offensive, 26 defensive) and added 4 rejections. Miami earned 20 assists and had 6 steals in the game. With regard to defending, Boston allowed the other team to go 51.3% from the field on 40 out of 78 shooting. They also dished out 23 assists for the matchup as well as creating 16 turnovers and getting 13 steals. In the matter of hauling in boards, they collected 37 with 12 of them being offensive. From the free throw line, the Celtics made 14 of 19 attempts for a rate of 73.7%. Boston finished having earned a 50.6% field goal percentage (40 out of 79) and buried 16 of their 39 three-point attempts.

Derrick White is one player who was a factor for this contest. He ended up finishing with 24 points on 8 of 11 shooting. He was on the court for 37 minutes and also snagged 3 boards. White ended up shooting 72.7% from the field and also earned 1 assist.

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Boston comes into this contest with a mark of 57-25 so far this year. They are turning it over 13.4 times per contest and as a basketball team are committing 18.8 personal fouls every game. As a team, Boston is pulling down 45.3 rebounds per contest and has tallied 2,186 dimes this year, which is 7th in basketball in terms of passing the ball. The Celtics are connecting on 37.7% on shots from beyond the arc (1,315 of 3,492) and 81.2% from the charity stripe. They are averaging 117.9 pts per contest (4th in the league) while connecting on 47.5% from the floor.

Defensively, the Celtics have forced 12.7 turnovers per contest while drawing 19.1 personal fouls. They rank 2nd in basketball in allowing assists to the opposition with 1,895 relinquished on the season. The Celtics are allowing a shooting percentage of 46.3% (3,425 of 7,394) and they surrender 44.0 boards per contest as a squad. They are surrendering 34.5% on 3-point shots and they rank 5th in basketball in opponents PPG (111.4).

In Game 5, the Heat were able to corral 26 defensive boards and 10 offensive boards totaling 36 for this contest. They also gave up possession 16 times, while getting 6 steals in the game. The Celtics were called for 9 fouls for this game which took the Heat to the free throw line for a total of 10 tries. They were able to bury 8 of the free throws for a rate of 80.0%. In reference to shooting from distance, Miami knocked down 9 of their 23 attempts (39.1%). At the conclusion of this game, the Heat ended up going 40 out of 78 from the floor which gave them a percentage of 51.3%. The Heat allowed the Celtics to make 40 out of their 79 tries from the field which left them with a shooting percentage of 50.6% in the matchup. They finished shooting 41.0% from three-point range by connecting on 16 of 39 and finished the game at 14 of 19 at the charity stripe (73.7%). In reference to rebounding, Miami permitted Boston to grab 37 in total (12 offensive).

Duncan Robinson ended up being a major contributor for the Heat for the matchup. Robinson earned 18 points in his 28 mins of playing time and had 9 assists for this game. He buried 7 of 10 in the game giving him a field goal percentage of 70.0%, and earned 4 rebounds.

Miami has a win-loss mark of 44-38 so far this year. The Heat commit 18.5 fouls per game and they hit 83.1% from the free throw line. They are earning an assist 23.8 times per game (25th in the league) and they lose possession via turnover 13.5 times per contest. Miami has accounted for 8,977 pts for the year (109.5 per game) and they pull in 40.6 rebounds per contest. As an offensive unit, the Heat are connecting on 46.0% from the floor, which ranks 26th in the league.

The Miami defense gives up 36.7% on 3-pointers (1,077 of 2,933) and opponents are converting on 78.1% of their foul shots. They have surrendered 25.6 dimes and 41.8 boards per contest, which ranks them 14th and 6th in the NBA. The Heat on the defensive side of the court are 2nd in the NBA in points allowed per contest with 109.8. They are able to force 15.7 TO's per game and allow teams to shoot 48.2% from the field (22nd in basketball).

Who will win tonight's NBA game against the spread?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Boston (-3)

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