Boston Celtics vs Miami Heat Prediction, 5/23/2023 Preview and Pick

Game: Boston Celtics vs Miami Heat

Date: Tuesday, May 23, 2023

Location: Kaseya Center in Miami, FL

TV: TNT

Odds/Point Spread: Boston (+2)

The Miami Heat will take on the Boston Celtics at Kaseya Center on Tuesday in Game 4 of their series. The Heat lead 3-0. Miami opens this game as 2-point favorites from oddsmakers. The over/under comes in at 214.5.

The Celtics went home with a loss by a final score of 128-102 in Game 3. Regarding fouls, the Celtics finished with 24 while the Heat accumulated 16 fouls. They also made 19 out of their 35 attempts from downtown. Miami ended up going 81.0% at the free throw line by making 17 of 21 attempts. Additionally, Miami snagged 35 rebounds (1 offensive, 34 defensive) and earned 3 rejections. Miami doled out 25 dimes and had 7 steals for the contest. In reference to defending, Boston allowed the other team to go 56.8% from the floor on 46 out of 81 shooting. They also distributed 25 dimes in the game in addition to forcing 9 turnovers and getting 3 steals. In regard to grabbing boards, they compiled 57 with 21 of them being offensive. At the charity stripe, the Celtics converted 13 of their 17 tries for a percentage of 76.5%. Boston walked away from the game having earned a 39.8% FG percentage (39 out of 98) and buried 11 out of their 42 3-point attempts.

Jayson Tatum is one guy who was a major contributor in the matchup. He walked away with 14 points on 6 of 18 shooting. He saw the court for 33 minutes and collected 10 rebounds. Tatum went 33.3% from the floor and also totaled 2 assists.

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Boston comes into this contest with a win-loss mark of 57-25 on the season. They turn the ball over 13.4 times per game and as a group they commit 18.8 fouls per game. As a unit, Boston is pulling in 45.3 rebounds per contest and has 2,186 dimes this year, which is 7th in basketball in terms of passing. The Celtics are hitting 37.7% on three-point shots (1,315 of 3,492) and 81.2% from the charity stripe. They currently have an average of 117.9 points per outing (4th in the NBA) while going 47.5% from the floor.

On the defensive end, the Celtics have forced 12.7 turnovers every game and they draw 19.1 fouls. They rank 2nd in the league in allowing assists to the opposition with 1,895 relinquished on the campaign. The Celtics defense is giving up a field goal percentage of 46.3% (3,425 of 7,394) and they surrender 44.0 rebounds per contest as a unit. They are giving up 34.5% on shots from downtown and they rank 5th in the NBA in points per game from their opponents (111.4).

Regarding cleaning up the glass in Game 3, Miami allowed Boston to snag 57 in total (21 offensive). They finished 26.2% from 3-point land by going 11 of 42 and ended up going 13 out of 17 at the free throw line (76.5%). The Heat permitted the Celtics to convert 39 of 98 attempts from the floor which had them at 39.8% for the matchup. When the final whistle blew, the Heat finished 46 out of 81 from the field which had them shooting 56.8%. In reference to 3-point attempts, Miami made 19 of their 35 tries (54.3%). They were able to knock down 17 of the free throw attempts for a clip of 81.0%. The Celtics were called for 24 fouls in the game which took the Heat to the free throw line for a total of 21 attempts. They gave up possession of the ball 9 times, while getting 7 steals in the game. The Heat snagged 34 defensive boards and 1 offensive boards totaling 35 for the matchup.

Gabe Vincent ended up being a factor for the Heat for the game. Vincent scored 29 points in his 35 minutes on the court and earned 3 assists in the game. He knocked down 11 of 14 in this matchup for a field goal rate of 78.6%, and accumulated 2 rebounds.

Miami has a win-loss mark of 44-38 on the year. The Heat are responsible for committing 18.5 fouls per game and they shoot 83.1% from the charity stripe. Their rate of earning assists is at 23.8 times per contest (25th in the NBA) and they turn the ball over 13.5 times per contest. Miami has scored 8,977 pts so far this year (109.5 per game) and they grab 40.6 rebounds per contest. When it comes to offensive execution, the Heat are shooting 46.0% from the field, which has them ranked 26th in basketball.

The Miami defense surrenders 36.7% on 3-point shots (1,077 of 2,933) and opponents are knocking down 78.1% of their shots from the charity stripe. They surrender 25.6 dimes and 41.8 rebounds per game, which is ranked 14th and 6th in basketball. The Heat on the defensive side of the court are 2nd in basketball in points given up per game with 109.8. They are able to force 15.7 TO's per game and have let teams shoot 48.2% from the field (22nd in the league).

Who will win tonight's NBA game against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Boston (+2)

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