Atlanta Hawks vs Miami Heat Prediction, 3/6/2023 Preview and Pick

Game: Atlanta Hawks vs Miami Heat

Date: Monday, March 6, 2023

Location: FTX Arena in Miami, FL

TV: Bally Sports Sun

Odds/Point Spread: Atlanta (+3)

The Miami Heat host the Atlanta Hawks at FTX Arena on Monday. Miami opens this contest as 3-point favorites. The over/under has been set at 234.

The Hawks took the court against the Heat and took a loss by a score of 117-109 in their last contest. When it comes to personal fouls, the Hawks ended up with 23 and the Heat racked up 19 personal fouls. They also buried 13 out of their 35 shots from long range. Miami finished shooting 87.0% at the charity stripe by converting 20 of their 23 tries. Additionally, Miami grabbed 43 rebounds (12 offensive, 31 defensive) and earned 1 block. Miami doled out 31 dimes and had 5 steals for the game. With regard to defense, Atlanta let their opponent shoot 50.6% from the floor on 42 of 83 shooting. They also dished out 22 assists for the contest while forcing the opposition into 19 turnovers and getting 12 steals. When it comes to rebounding, they earned 37 with 10 of them being of the offensive variety. When they shot from the free throw line, the Hawks knocked down 26 of their 30 shots for a percentage of 86.7%. Atlanta ended the contest with a 46.8% FG percentage (37 of 79) and converted 9 out of their 30 shots from beyond the arc.

Saddiq Bey is a player who came through for this game. Bey finished 58.3% from the floor and also distributed 2 dimes. He played 35 mins and snagged 3 boards. He notched 22 points on 7 of 12 shooting.

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Atlanta comes into this contest with a win-loss mark of 32-32 on the year. They average 117.0 points per game (7th in the league) while connecting on 48.1% from the floor. The Hawks are hitting 35.4% on three-point shots (687 of 1,943) and 82.0% from the charity stripe. As a team, Atlanta is pulling down 43.7 boards per contest and has earned 1,576 dimes this season, which has them ranked 16th in basketball in terms of passing the ball. They cough up possession 12.9 times per game and as a group are committing 19.1 fouls per game.

On defense, the Hawks are forcing 14.5 turnovers every game and they draw 19.7 personal fouls. They concede 34.9% on shots from downtown while they are 21st in the league in points per game allowed (116.9). The Hawks defensively are giving up a field goal percentage of 47.8% (2,751 of 5,753) and they concede 45.1 rebounds per game as a group. They are currently ranked 15th in the league in giving up assists with 1,625 relinquished for the campaign.

For their last game, the Heat went home victorious with a score of 117-109 when they faced the Hawks. In relation to rebounds, Miami permitted Atlanta to grab 37 in total (10 on the offensive side). They finished shooting 30.0% from distance by going 9 of 30 and finished the contest at 26 of 30 at the charity stripe (86.7%). The Heat allowed the Hawks to knock down 37 of their 79 tries from the floor which had them shooting 46.8% for this game. In all, the Heat shot 42 for 83 from the field which gave them a percentage of 50.6%. In relation to three-point attempts, Miami buried 13 of 35 tries (37.1%). They were able to convert 20 of the free throw tries for a percentage of 87.0%. The Hawks were called for 23 fouls in the game which took the Heat to the charity stripe for 23 shots. They coughed up the ball 19 times, while getting 5 steals in the matchup. The Heat recorded 31 defensive rebounds and 12 offensive boards for a total of 43 for this contest.

Bam Adebayo ended up being a factor for the Heat for the matchup. Adebayo recorded 30 points in his 36 mins on the hardwood and added 5 assists in this matchup. He converted 10 of 12 for the contest for a rate of 83.3%, and had 11 rebounds.

Miami has a record of 34-31 this season. The Heat are committing 18.9 fouls every game and they connect on 82.9% from the charity stripe. They are assisting teammates 23.4 times per contest (23rd in basketball) and they turn it over 13.4 times per game. Miami has scored 7,028 points on the campaign (108.1 per game) and they collect 41.2 rebounds per game. As an offensive team, the Heat are hitting on 45.1% from the floor, which has them ranked 30th in basketball.

The Miami defense surrenders 36.8% on shots from 3-point land (853 of 2,321) and opponents are connecting on 77.9% of their foul shots. They relinquish 25.0 assists and 42.2 total boards per game, which is ranked 12th and 8th in the NBA. The Heat on defense are ranked 2nd in basketball in points per game surrendered with 108.8. They have forced 16.0 turnovers per game and have let teams shoot 47.8% from the field (20th in the league).

Who will win tonight's NBA game against the spread?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Atlanta (+3)

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