Phoenix Suns vs Dallas Mavericks Prediction, 5/6/2022 Preview and Pick

Game: Phoenix Suns vs Dallas Mavericks

Date: Friday, May 6, 2022

Location: American Airlines Center in Dallas, TX

TV: ESPN

Odds/Point Spread: Phoenix (-1)

American Airlines Center is where the Dallas Mavericks will play the Phoenix Suns on Friday in Game 3 of their series. Phoenix leads 2-0. Dallas opens this matchup as 1-point dogs from Vegas oddsmakers. The total is set at 218.5.

The Suns faced off with the Mavericks and walked away with a win by a score of 129-109 in Game 2. In the matter of personal fouls, the Suns ended up walking away with 28 while the Mavericks recorded 14 personal fouls. They also knocked down 17 of 41 attempts from long range. Dallas walked away from this one shooting 83.3% at the free throw line by converting 20 of their 24 attempts. Furthermore, Dallas grabbed 18 rebounds (7 offensive, 11 defensive) and got 6 blocked shots. Dallas doled out 25 dimes and had 19 steals in this matchup. In relation to defending, Phoenix let their opponent shoot 45.6% from the floor on 36 of 79 shooting. They also recorded 28 assists for the game as well as forcing the opposition into 1 turnovers and having 6 steals. When talking about rebounding, they collected 34 with 4 of them being of the offensive sort. When they shot from the free throw line, the Suns converted 18 of their 21 tries for a rate of 85.7%. Phoenix wrapped up the contest having earned a 64.5% field goal percentage (49 of 76) and knocked down 13 of their 25 shots from beyond the perimeter.

Chris Paul is a player who came through in this matchup. Paul finished shooting 68.8% from the field and totaled 8 assists. He saw the court for 36 mins played and also snagged 6 rebounds. He had 28 points on 11 of 16 shooting.

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Phoenix enters this matchup with a mark of 64-18 so far this season. They are averaging 114.8 pts per game (5th in the league) while hitting 48.5% from the floor. The Suns are shooting 36.4% on shots beyond the perimeter (951 of 2,616) and 79.7% from the free throw line. As a unit, Phoenix is snagging 45.3 rebounds per contest and is sitting with 2,244 dimes for the campaign, which is 4th in the league in terms of passing the rock. They turn it over 12.9 times per game and as a group they commit 19.9 personal fouls on a nightly basis.

When they are on the defensive end, the Suns are able to force 14.7 turnovers per contest while drawing 18.9 fouls. They are currently ranked 3rd in the league in giving up assists with 1,875 surrendered for the year. The Suns defensively are giving up a field goal percentage of 44.4% (3,216 of 7,243) and they concede 44.5 rebounds per game as a group. They give up 34.0% from beyond the arc and they are ranked 8th in basketball in points per game allowed (107.3).

When talking about how they rebounded in Game 2, Dallas permitted Phoenix to collect 30 in total (4 offensive). They finished shooting 52.0% from 3-point land by connecting on 13 of 25 and finished the contest at 18 out of 21 from the free throw line (85.7%). The Mavericks permitted the Suns to convert 49 of their 76 tries from the floor which gave them a shooting percentage of 64.5% in the game. Overall, the Mavericks ended up shooting 36 for 79 from the field which gave them a percentage of 45.6%. Regarding shooting from distance, Dallas converted 17 of 41 attempts (41.5%). They were able to knock down 20 of them for a rate of 83.3%. The Suns had 16 personal fouls for the matchup which took the Mavericks to the free throw line for a total of 24 shots. They turned it over 14 times, while getting 7 steals in this contest. The Mavericks were able to collect 18 defensive rebounds and 7 offensive boards for a total of 25 for this game.

Luka Doncic pitched in for the Mavericks in the game. He made 13 of 22 for this game giving him a rate of 59.1%, and had 5 rebounds. Doncic scored 35 points in his 36 mins on the hardwood and tallied 7 dimes for the matchup.

Dallas has a record of 52-30 this year. As an offense, the Mavericks are shooting 46.1% from the floor, which ranks them 18th in the league. Dallas has accounted for 8,858 pts on the year (108.0 per game) and they pull in 43.0 rebounds per game. Their rate of earning assists is at 23.4 times per contest (25th in basketball) and they cough up possession 12.5 times per game. The Mavericks are responsible for committing 19.7 fouls per game while shooting 77.1% from the charity stripe.

The Dallas defense gives up 34.0% on shots from beyond the arc (895 of 2,635) and their opponents are making 76.7% of their shots from the charity stripe. They concede 23.5 dimes and 43.6 boards per contest, ranking them 6th and 11th in the NBA. The Mavericks on the defensive side of the court are 2nd in the league in points per game surrendered with 104.7. They are able to force 13.1 TO's every game and have allowed teams to shoot 45.7% from the field (12th in the league).

Who will win tonight's NBA game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Dallas (+1)

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